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FantasyDraft MLB: Monday Values

Juan Carlos Blanco

Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for close to 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, and the NFL for Rotowire.com, including serving as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' beat writer. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports.

PITCHERS:

Clayton Kershaw, LAD at PHI ($26,700):- Kershaw hasn’t quite been himself since returning from his extended DL stint, but on a night where pitching options are fairly thin, he makes for a solid play if you’re spending up. He’s actually been much better on the road this season, as evidenced by a 1.45 ERA, .208 BAA, .249 wOBA allowed and 81:13 K:BB over 74.1 innings. The Phillies also have a .272 wOBA and 24.6 percent hard contact rate versus southpaws at home in the last 21 days.

Jaime Garcia, NYY vs. MIN ($13,200):- The Twins have a 30.9 percent strikeout rate versus southpaws on the road over the last 21 days, along with a .304 wOBA. Garcia has a solid 3.38 ERA and 9.3 K/9 over his first two starts at Yankee Stadium as well and represents a value arm on Monday’s thin pitching slate.

INFIELD

Paul Goldschmidt, ARI at SD ($10,800):- Goldschmidt checks in with a .414 wOBA, .278 ISO, 26.5 percent HR/FB rate and 43.6 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching, while Padres starter has allowed a .336 wOBA (including 12 homers) to righty bats, and a .353 wOBA over his first two starts of September. He’s also yielding a .363 wOBA on his trademark sinker this season, a pitch Goldschmidt owns a .481 wOBA against.

Travis Shaw, MIL at PIT ($8,400):- Pirates starter Jameson Taillon has allowed a .377 wOBA and 4.89 xFIP to left-handed hitters, while Shaw owns a .387 wOBA and .271 ISO versus righties on the road, along with a 39.9 percent hard contact rate versus that handedness overall. He also boasts a 42.1 percent hard contact rate over 63 September plate appearances, and a .479 wOBA against Taillon’s trademark sinker, a pitch the latter has allowed a .402 wOBA on this season.

Chris Taylor, LAD at PHI ($6,900):- Phillies starter Nick Pivetta checks in with a .437 wOBA, 31.3 percent HR/FB rate and 44.9 percent hard contact rate allowed to right-handed hitters at Citizens Bank Park. Meanwhile, Taylor boasts a .397 wOBA, .230 ISO, 21.4 percent HR/FB rate and 36.4 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching on the road. Pivetta also allows a .408 wOBA when throwing his four-seam fastball, a pitch that Taylor owns a .404 wOBA against this season.

OUTFIELD

J.D. Martinez, ARI at SD ($10,800):- The struggles of Padres starter Luis Perdomo versus right-handed hitters were detailed earlier, while Martinez checks in with a .392 wOBA (including 29 homers) and 46.1 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching. He also sports a .601 wOBA (including 11 homers) and 60.5 percent hard contact rate over his first 64 September plate appearances.

Wil Myers, SD vs. ARI ($8,400):- Myers has compiled a .345 wOBA and 54.0 percent hard contact rate against southpaws, and has a .427 wOBA over 59 September plate appearances. D-Backs starter Patrick Corbin has yielded a .347 wOBA (including 18 homers) to right-handed hitters, along with a 32.1 percent hard contract rate.

Jackie Bradley, Jr., BOS at BAL ($6,600):- Bradley has hit 14 of his 17 homers
this season off righties, and owns a .330 wOBA and 37.6 percent hard contact rate versus that handedness on the road. Orioles starter Dylan Bundy has allowed a .325 wOBA, 5.49 xFIP and 39.2 percent hard contact rate to lefty bats, and a .336 wOBA and 40.7 percent hard contact over his first two starts of September.

UTILITY

Justin Turner, LAD at PHI ($8,400):- Phillies starter Nick Pivetta’s struggles versus righty bats at home were detailed earlier, while Turner boasts a .364 wOBA and 36.2 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching. He’s also sporting a .403 wOBA and 40.0 percent hard contact rate over 64 September plate appearances.

Chad Pinder, OAK at DET ($6,300):- Pinder is bargain-priced for a matchup against Tigers starter Buck Farmer, who’s allowing a .527 wOBA and 56.0 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters at Comerica Park over a modest sample. Pinder has 12 of his 14 homers this season off righties, along with a .317 wOBA, 27.8 percent HR/FB rate and 35.9 percent hard contact rate against that handedness on the road. Meanwhile, Tigers relievers have a majors-high 9.10 ERA and allowed a .444 wOBA (including a majors-high eight homers) to righty bats at home in the last 21 days.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.