MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Ryan YarbroughLuis SeverinoYankees1039514299123921:05 PM
    Jordan ZimmermannLucas GiolitoWhite Sox9590122991101069.5-1152:10 PM
    Dallas KeuchelDanny DuffyRoyals1031028510276949.51752:15 PM
    Kyle FreelandMike MinorRangers1171081071101069310.0-1054:05 PM
    Wei-Yin ChenAlex CobbOrioles106103114101121949.5-1504:05 PM
    Luis CastilloIvan NovaPirates969710110383948.5-1204:05 PM
    John LambSean ManaeaAthletics9697849787964:05 PM
    Max ScherzerMarco EstradaBlue Jays9910298101101978.01904:07 PM
    Fernando RomeroCarlos CarrascoIndians11411411010298948.5-2104:10 PM
    Zach EflinJunior GuerraBrewers105103131961081038.5-1454:10 PM
    Jordan LylesSean NewcombBraves1021061169881988.5-1905:10 PM
    Kyle HendricksCarlos MartinezCardinals911029710082958.51058:15 PM
    Steven WrightWade LeBlancMariners919610594971048.51008:15 PM
    Madison BumgarnerAlex WoodDodgers909511396901037.5-1508:15 PM
    Steven MatzPatrick CorbinDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.0-18010:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Madison Bumgarner (L)at LAD122.321.44.217.21.323.461.11$8,500$8,50010322.6
    Carlos Carrasco (R)v MIN290.027.55.821.80.993.481.11$12,300$10,3009420.6
    Luis Castillo (R)at PIT162.325.59.016.41.444.321.23$6,400$7,3009919.2
    Wei-Yin Chen (L)at BAL72.717.89.87.91.365.081.36$4,800$5,9008821.3
    Alex Cobb (R)v MIA235.316.55.810.71.264.511.35$5,400$5,8008422.6
    Patrick Corbin (L)v NYM276.724.67.317.21.173.771.29$12,200$9,5006925.6
    Danny Duffy (L)v HOU223.020.48.212.21.174.321.35$5,100$6,70012520.1
    Zach Eflin (R)at MIL104.016.74.911.81.735.191.33$7,200$8,00010323.8
    Marco Estrada (R)v WAS256.721.18.013.01.585.011.38$5,800$7,0009920.6
    Kyle Freeland (L)at TEX234.317.58.88.71.043.961.40$8,500$7,8009724.6
    Lucas Giolito (R)v DET111.314.011.32.71.375.171.37$4,100$5,5008821.3
    Junior Guerra (R)v PHI136.721.711.310.41.583.951.32$8,200$7,4009226.7
    Kyle Hendricks (R)at STL217.320.86.714.11.243.191.15$6,400$7,5009622.2
    Dallas Keuchel (L)at KC 230.720.17.312.91.053.471.19$9,600$8,1009221.5
    John Lamb (L)at OAK0.00.00.00.000.000.00$4,5009424.0
    Wade LeBlanc (L)v BOS122.019.16.113.01.333.841.20$4,900$6,6008724.7
    Jordan Lyles (R)at ATL129.318.16.911.21.886.401.53$4,600$6,50010320.2
    Sean Manaea (L)v LAA246.319.47.012.51.134.061.25$6,800$7,3009319.7
    Carlos Martinez (R)v CHC262.724.79.515.20.963.391.23$8,900$7,90010620.9
    Steven Matz (L)at ARI125.318.88.510.31.654.881.40$5,300$6,80010724.1
    Mike Minor (L)v COL143.024.46.318.21.073.971.16$4,400$6,2009921.9
    Sean Newcomb (L)v SD 174.023.912.111.80.783.721.43$9,500$8,90010425.3
    Ivan Nova (R)v CIN254.317.34.512.81.384.281.29$6,000$7,7009819.7
    Fernando Romero (R)at CLE41.321.48.812.60.653.921.35$6,200$6,30010721.4
    Max Scherzer (R)at TOR295.335.86.729.10.882.350.88$14,000$12,00010123.3
    Luis Severino (R)v TB 284.329.86.523.30.822.751.01$13,900$11,00010022.1
    Alex Wood (L)v SF 221.324.05.618.40.943.251.10$6,700$7,50010622.3
    Steven Wright (R)at SEA53.716.59.17.41.684.361.42$7,500$6,90011319.9
    Ryan Yarbrough (L)at NYY64.721.57.314.21.113.901.24$5,600$6,00012022.4
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)at CWS191.315.96.39.71.605.881.51$6,600$7,6009624.9

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Madison Bumgarner (L)at LAD28.75.023.80.670.22624.65.419.21.240.292
    Carlos Carrasco (R)v MIN26.97.019.91.380.30526.54.721.80.860.285
    Luis Castillo (R)at PIT22.69.413.21.530.31728.18.719.41.360.303
    Wei-Yin Chen (L)at BAL20.93.817.10.730.29918.27.210.91.700.339
    Alex Cobb (R)v MIA18.07.910.01.490.35515.14.310.81.210.328
    Patrick Corbin (L)v NYM30.29.121.11.250.30020.17.812.31.250.336
    Danny Duffy (L)v HOU27.34.622.70.480.21521.87.614.11.430.337
    Zach Eflin (R)at MIL12.86.36.62.480.37716.74.512.10.960.314
    Marco Estrada (R)v WAS21.88.013.81.270.29021.78.812.91.560.342
    Kyle Freeland (L)at TEX30.26.923.30.960.30313.79.34.41.060.336
    Lucas Giolito (R)v DET12.412.7-0.31.690.36114.710.04.71.560.338
    Junior Guerra (R)v PHI21.211.69.61.190.30321.08.912.21.180.298
    Kyle Hendricks (R)at STL22.57.814.71.100.29021.15.116.00.910.263
    Dallas Keuchel (L)at KC 24.54.020.50.810.26019.27.911.31.130.314
    John Lamb (L)at OAK18.29.19.11.060.32718.310.08.32.040.396
    Wade LeBlanc (L)v BOS16.23.512.61.380.33120.76.214.41.630.306
    Jordan Lyles (R)at ATL13.010.12.91.520.37118.56.312.21.450.355
    Sean Manaea (L)v LAA20.54.416.10.750.25719.87.312.51.290.325
    Carlos Martinez (R)v CHC20.411.78.71.030.32326.76.320.40.670.257
    Steven Matz (L)at ARI16.88.08.80.460.31122.56.815.71.540.326
    Mike Minor (L)v COL29.96.323.60.240.23322.76.316.41.360.333
    Sean Newcomb (L)v SD 25.110.914.20.860.32923.512.511.10.750.307
    Ivan Nova (R)v CIN12.54.18.41.530.36622.14.517.71.200.302
    Fernando Romero (R)at CLE20.96.014.91.150.30821.710.411.30.350.325
    Max Scherzer (R)at TOR27.38.618.71.400.30741.34.137.10.680.196
    Luis Severino (R)v TB 28.38.120.20.990.28627.65.821.80.900.268
    Alex Wood (L)v SF 23.75.718.10.510.28624.76.318.41.030.278
    Steven Wright (R)at SEA19.08.310.60.960.28218.49.19.30.930.320
    Ryan Yarbrough (L)at NYY28.17.820.32.350.33219.57.112.40.730.291
    Jordan Zimmermann (R)at CWS16.56.110.41.430.34714.56.18.41.480.366

    The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Derek VanRiper plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: RotoWireDVR, DraftKings: BentleysChair, Yahoo: d.vanriper,.
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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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