Handicapping the NBA: Tuesday Picks

Handicapping the NBA: Tuesday Picks

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

Alex Barutha

Two-Leg Parlay (+4450): Joe Ingles 8+ assists and Jazz win vs. LAC + Ben Simmons 11+ assists and Joel Embiid 12+ rebounds vs. ATL -- PointsBet (2:16 PM CT)

With Mike Conley (hamstring) sidelined, Ingles should handle the ball more often and act as a de facto point guard. With Conley off the court, Ingles averages 6.8 assists per 36 minutes at home, and eight assists seems like a reasonable number to hit when combining it with a win at +600 odds as a standalone bet. A win will be tough without Conley, but the Clippers showed plenty of weakness in Round 1, and home-court advantage matters. As for the second bet, which is +550 odds on its own, I just think the number is good, and it helps that a win doesn't have to factor in. Simmons is averaging 10.2 assists per 36 minutes in these playoffs, and Embiid is averaging 9.7 rebounds per 36 minutes. In a nearly-must-win game at home, I think they hit their marks.

Nick Whalen

Bogdan Bogdanovic OVER 16.5 points (-125) at PHI -- DraftKings (11:02 AM CT)

I'm really high on Bogdanovic in this series. He's been the Hawks' second-best player for several months now, and he's established a reliable floor as the No. 2 scorer and initiator behind Trae Young. If the Sixers sell out to slow down Young in Game 2, Bogdanovic is the guy who will be tasked with taking on more responsibility. I also like Bogdanovic OVER 24.5 points + rebounds + assists (-113).

Joel Embiid UNDER 30.5 points (-113) vs. ATL -- DraftKings

Embiid looked surprisingly spry in Game 1, but keep in mind that he had a full week between games after being held out of Game 5 against Washington. With only one off day leading up to Game 2, there's a chance that knee starts to become more of a hindrance. For the sake of the series, I hope that's not the case, but I'll be proceeding with caution when it comes to Embiid props.

Jacob Lebowitz

Trae Young OVER 9.5 Assists (-104) at PHI -- FanDuel (2:00 PM CT)

In Game 1, Young was dominant, so much so that coach Doc Rivers tried using three of his top defenders to slow down Trae Young to no avail. So far, Young is averaging 9.8 assists in the playoffs, getting at least nine in all but one game. Expect the 76ers to focus on stopping Young's scoring, which will likely force him to dish the ball to his teammates, especially in the paint. This should be another high-scoring game, so the Hawks will need efficient playmaking from Young to stay in the game and crank out a Game 2 win. 

Royce O'Neale OVER 1.5 Three-pointers made (-128) vs. LAC -- FanDuel

O'Neale has been brilliant from three-point range in the postseason so far, hitting at least three three-pointers in every contest except for Game 1 against Memphis. He's also making an impressive 52 percent from behind the arc. I expect the Clippers' defense to focus on shutting down Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, which should benefit O'Neale, as he'll have the ball in his hands more and should be forced to put up more shots. 

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Jacob Lebowitz
Jacob writes about fantasy sports and sports betting for RotoWire. He's always doing something sports-related whether that's playing NBA 2K, watching a football game or playing a game of pickup basketball.
Nick Whalen
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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