Thursday Night Observations

What an insane Thursday night game. I had the Raiders plus three, and I was stewing over the 3rd-and-12, tipped touchdown to Albert Wilson that gave the Chiefs six-point lead. But the Chiefs blew it by going into a shell and trying to run clock rather than running their regular offense, punted it back to the Raiders who converted a 2nd-and-20 and a 4th-and-10 and had two untimed plays following penalties to win on a last-second throw. And then Giorgio Tavecchio, who missed two field-goals just barely made the game-winning PAT. Truly one of the more insane games I’ve watched, Thursday or otherwise.

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OAK vs. KC Thursday Matchup Edge

Oakland vs. Kansas City

Open: 47.5 O/U, KC -2.5
Press time: 46.5 O/U, KC -3

We all know about Marcus Peters, but the two other Chiefs corners who play prominently, Terrance Mitchell and Phillip Gaines, are easy targets in a Kansas City scheme that refuses to move Peters based on matchup. So long as the offensive coordinator in question isn’t hopelessly inept, the best receivers who play against the Chiefs will usually run routes against their worst corners. That’s why the Chiefs are allowing 8.2 yards per target to receivers, and a league-leading nine touchdowns in five games. That’s not a great return when you have a corner as talented as Peters, but this is the choice the Chiefs have stood by to this point.

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Week 6 Observations

What a random day of football. I mean it’s always somewhat random, but usually you get the sense you did well or poorly by the end of it. Week 6 seemed totally arbitrary, some of it even in my favor, but rarely in the way I envisioned. I suppose that’s part of the game, though – not merely that outcomes are uncertain but grasping the extent of the uncertainty and how much it overwhelms the known.

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RotoWire & FanDuel Fantasy Football Championship – Week 6

We have reached the midway point of the RotoWire & FanDuel Fantasy Football Championship, and now is when the action begins to heat up. Contestants have a solid sample size of games to evaluate this year’s talents, throwing all of our preseason beliefs out the window (raise your hand if you correctly predicted that Alex Smith would lead all fantasy quarterbacks through five weeks… put your hand down, liar). Even though we have a good idea of where players stand, there are still values to be had this Sunday. I will be going over a handful of assets that I will be targeting in Week 6 of the RWFC.

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Thursday Night Observations

This was an odd game. It’s rare to see one team so totally unable to run. I’m a Giants fan, so I’ve often seen Paul Perkins or Rashad Jennings run straight into tacklers at the line of scrimmage for no gain these past two seasons, but Jonathan Stewart was losing three or four yards on half of his runs. A coach can force 2nd-and-9 or -10 if he’s stubborn, but 2nd-and-13 is unacceptable even to the dumbest, most thick-skulled troglodytes.

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CAR vs. PHI Matchup Edge

Carolina vs. Philadelphia

Open: 45 O/U, CAR -3
Press time: 45 O/U, CAR -3

Other than maybe Deshaun Watson, there might not be a hotter player in the league over the last two weeks than Cam Newton, who followed up an inconclusive big game against the Patriots with a convincing showing Sunday against a Detroit defense that had arguably been the league’s best in the first month.

RotoWire injury expert Jeff Stotts predicted that Newton would likely start slowly but should pick up steam as his shoulder rebuilt its strength after an offseason surgery to repair a torn labrum. Newton’s velocity noticeably lagged in his first few games, but he seemed to generate more zip last week especially. If Newton is truly himself, he’s likely one of the top quarterbacks in the league for the foreseeable future.

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