DFS College Basketball: Thursday Preview

DFS College Basketball: Thursday Preview

This article is part of our DFS College Basketball series.

Today's college hoops slate features several notable teams however the most important matchup for DFS is Creighton at St. John's. The current over/under for this game is an absurd 160 points, making this the ideal starting point for filling out your lineup.

Targets

1. Marcus Zegarowski, G, Creighton ($7,400 DK, $7,300 FD)

Zegarowski is coming off his worst game of the year but that doesn't concern me given his long track record. He plays 32 minutes per game while using the most possessions on the team when on the court. Today's matchup leads me to believe he's arguably the safest fantasy prospect of the day. St. John's currently has the lowest ranked defensive efficiency among all Big East teams while also playing at the 14th fastest tempo in the country.  This combination should give Zegarowski plenty of opportunities to return to form following his rough outing on this past Monday.

2. Julian Champagnie, G/F, St. John's ($9,100 DK, $7,900 FD)

Champagnie is the most expensive player on today's slate, but there's a reasonable chance he's also the most essential when it's all said and done. Champagnie leads the team in both usage rate and minutes per game, but the story doesn't end there. When comparing St. John's and Creighton side-by-side, St. John's has a significant rebounding advantage over Creighton. By the way, Champagnie also leads the team in rebounding. Considering the matchup, the points projection and the fact we have a short slate today, I find it difficult to pass on Champagnie. Keeping the Red Storm's rebounding edge in mind, Isaih Moore ($5,400 DK, $5,700 FD) is another great option as he's the second-best rebounder on the team.

3. Eugene Omoruyi, F, Oregon ($7,300 DK, $7,200 FD)

Oregon is projected to score around 78 points tonight, the second most among all eight teams on the slate. This is mostly because Oregon's offensive efficiency is currently ranked No. 15 while San Francisco's defense isn't exactly great, coming in ranked at No. 87 (per KenPom). Omoruyi has one of the highest usage rates in the country while averaging 29 minutes a game. He seems like a safe fantasy bet given the facts at hand.

I should also note: N'Faly Dante ($5,100 DK, $5,800 FD) is another great option because San Francisco has been vulnerable against rebounding and having their shots blocked. In addition to the matchup advantage, Dante is coming off his two best games of his career. I'm expecting his upward trajectory to continue considering tonight's matchup. 

Fades

1. Christian Braun, G/F, Kansas ($6,300 DK, $7,100 FD)

Braun and the rest of the Jayhawks have the unfortunate challenge of facing the number one defense in the country (per KenPom). Texas Tech's defense has been a buzz saw all season long, hardly a surprise given Chris Beard's recent track record as head coach of the Red Raiders. I'm avoiding all Jayhawks today, especially when the other three games on today's slate are projected to be much much higher scoring. I'm singling out Braun mostly because of his higher cost relative to his lower usage rate among Kansas starters. Braun has scored more than 9 points in only two games this season, making me doubt he'll provide any value in today's contest.

2. Khalil Shabazz, F, San Francisco ($6,600 DK, $6,600 FD)

Shabazz has one of the highest usage rates on the team but also has much lower offensive efficiency rating compared to the other key Dons in Jamaree Bouyea ($7,500 DK, $6,900 FD) and Dzmitry Ryuny ($5,900 DK, $5,200 FD). Shabazz will no doubt put up a good number of shots, but his inefficiency makes me hesitant especially considering that his opponent is no pushover. Oregon's defense enters the game ranked at No. 38, which would be the second best defense in San Francisco's conference, the WCC. There's always a chance Shabazz will make me look bad if his shots start falling, but ultimately I'm fading him because of his inefficiency combined with the matchup.

3. Jared Rhoden, G/F, Seton Hall ($7,100 DK, $6,400 FD)

Rhoden is coming off his worst game of the season and now going against a Marquette team that currently boasts the second best defense in the Big East (in terms of adjusted efficiency). Rhoden plays the second-most minutes on the team and has the second-highest usage rate, so I might get burned with this one, but I'm avoiding Rhoden mostly because he has a much lower offensive efficiency rating compared to Sandro Mamukelashvili ($8,300 DK, $7,700 FD) or Shavar Reynolds ($6,100 DK, $5,800 FD). All things considered, I would much rather take a chance on one of the other aforementioned Pirates.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Steve Peralta plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: Buddusky, DraftKings: Buddusky24.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Steve Peralta
Graduated from USC in 2012 while interning for ESPN and FOX Sports. Following graduation, I started working full-time for FOX Sports and been there ever since. Been an avid fantasy player for over fifteen years. In addition to my fantasy teams, you'll also find me rooting for the USC Trojans and New York Yankees.
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