This article is part of our College Capper series.
A .500 week last week, paired with what appears to be a weak schedule in Week 12, leaves me a man of few words. Just picks.
Middle Tennessee State –3 at Western Kentucky (Friday)
Western Kentucky continues to be one of the more over-valued teams for me. They've dropped three consecutive games by a total of 35 points and their five wins have come over teams who are a combined 10-40. Meanwhile, the Blue Raiders have won consecutive games since welcoming back quarterback Brent Stockstill. They haven't been great on the road, but most of their poor showings came with Stockstill sidelined, and he helped lead them to a win at Syracuse in September. I simply find MTSU to be the better team.
Miami –19 vs. Virginia
Conventional wisdom says the Canes are due for a letdown following two primetime matchups against highly ranked opponents. But early money came in on Miami at –17 and has pushed this line up, and I believe for good reason. Hard Rock Stadium is sold out; for a noon game against Virginia. Miami still has an edge to play with after being ranked third in the latest playoff rankings, and I think the Cavaliers are walking into a buzzsaw. Kurt Benkert has thrown at least one interception in four straight, and the Cavaliers are struggling along their offensive line. Miami's defense will be wearing its chain early and often.
UCF –14 at Temple
Only SMU and Navy have kept within 14