This article is part of our College Capper series.
I noted my lack of confidence last week, and the results showed. Line movements were huge too, as opening numbers hit, while the slides by kickoff pushed things the other direction. Here's hoping I saw enough game action in between my sons' soccer tournaments to have a better Week 2.
Tennessee -3.5 vs. BYU
Simply put, the Volunteers have to win this game, or their year, and Jeremy Pruitt's tenure, is going to unravel at the seams. Last week's upset was an anomaly, we think? Prior to that, Tennessee was a projected 10-12 point favorite, so there's some value here despite the line's increase from its -1 opening. The 3.5 number is worrisome, as I expect a lower scoring game, but Tennessee rallies around itself and earns the victory.
Illinois -20.5 at Connecticut
UConn proved yet again it is the worst team in FBS, beating FCS Wagner by three as 23-point favorites in Week 1. Illinois, meanwhile, dismantled Akron with a dominant defensive performance, which will travel. Models have Akron anywhere from a 3-10 point favorite over Connecticut, so the Illini shouldn't have much an issue at least matching last week's 42-3 victory. There's been plenty of line movement too since the 17.5 opening number, but so long as it stays under 21, I see little way Illinois scores too little, or allows too much, to not cover.
Georgia Tech -6 vs. South Florida
Three for three for me with line movement, as this was much more attractive