This article is part of our College Capper series.
Ice cold. There's no other way to slice it. If it weren't for forcing two picks in Week 0 that came through, I'd be looking even worse. It's partly been an issue of highlighting the wrong games, as my random "three for the road" last week all hit. Eventually, I'll make the right decisions, so play or fade at your own risk.
Louisville (-10) vs. Western Kentucky
I don't want to get in to picking games based on effort, but I love the way Louisville has competed under new head coach Scott Satterfield. They Cardinals have established a clear offensive identity, ranking 11th nationally in rushing, averaging 285.5 yards per game (11th) and 6.72 yards per carry thanks to the emergence of freshman home-run hitter Javian Hawkins. It's taken the pressure off of QB Jawon Pass, and the Cards are 2-0 ATS to date, coming off of their first win since September 15, 2018; a 20-17 victory over WKU. The Hilltoppers rebounded last week against FIU after falling to Central Arkansas, but they aren't as good as they were a year ago, and Louisville is better. Close early, but the 'Ville pulls away.
Duke (-6.5) at Middle Tennessee State
I liked this a lot more at opening, where the Blue Devils were only laying 3.5, which is close to a pick 'em. As long as it stays under a touchdown, I'll remain at least somewhat confident, however. MTSU is in a complete rebuild, especially offensively with