This article is part of our College Capper series.
If not for a touchdown with 43 seconds left, I'd have had a third consecutive winning week, so curses to the Liberty defense and the New Mexico offense for that late cheapy. My one-offs have started to stink, which paired with the official plays recent success has me feeling better about picking the right games. Let's try not to mess that up.
Buffalo +4 vs. Ohio
Buffalo is a team I can't figure out, and won't appear in this column again if it loses. The Bulls dominated Temple at home out of the blue, jumped to a 14-3 lead at Miami (OH) last week before INTs led to their demise. I initially liked Ohio, but did a 180 when seeing the home team has won the last nine games in this series. The Bobcats last three trips to upstate New York have led to three defeats by 38 total points. I'm not overly worried about the potential absence of Buffalo QB Matt Myers, as the Bulls simply don't pass. Ohio is 1-3 ATS to date, and I like Buffalo's 18th-ranked rushing offense to dominate Ohio's 112th-ranked rush defense. Taking the points at home feels right.
Auburn -3 at Florida
This feels like low-hanging fruit, but I just don't see this as a winnable game for Florida. Both sides boast top-20 run defenses, but Auburn ranks 14th in rushing offense while UF is at 88th. The Tigers have a huge advantage with their defensive line against the Gators'