DraftKings LoL: Wednesday LPL Breakdown

DraftKings LoL: Wednesday LPL Breakdown

This article is part of our DraftKings League of Legends series.

GAMES (EDT)

  • 5:00 a.m: eStar vs. Rogue Warriors
  • 7:00 a.m: Bilibili Gaming vs. Team WE

For detailed player and team stats, check out the 

DraftKings LoL: Wednesday LPL Cheat Sheet

ES vs. RW

This slate is a little tricky because people want to go off recency bias even though matchups are different, meta is different, champions are different and most of the time teams of the same caliber can beat each other at any given moment. Both of these teams have been struggling all split, but RW are finding a little more success, taking down FPX and LGD because their early game has been giving them significant gold leads going into the mid-to-late game. Haro has been playing great with a 100 percent first blood percentage in last four games and a 75 percent kill participation since joining the starting roster. Haro is a big feast-or-famine player where he will be overly aggressive and they can get rolling, but if it doesn't work then RW look like one of the worst teams in the league. Stats shows that he goes through a huge regression after coming off the bench, but he rarely started in 2018, 2019 and 2020 splits, as he was never their go-to jungler. eStar, on the other hand, haven't been picking up series wins but they have been forcing a lot of Game 3s. eStar make the same mistakes in the late game where they force team fights after obtaining huge leads through objectives. I believe this

GAMES (EDT)

  • 5:00 a.m: eStar vs. Rogue Warriors
  • 7:00 a.m: Bilibili Gaming vs. Team WE

For detailed player and team stats, check out the 

DraftKings LoL: Wednesday LPL Cheat Sheet

ES vs. RW

This slate is a little tricky because people want to go off recency bias even though matchups are different, meta is different, champions are different and most of the time teams of the same caliber can beat each other at any given moment. Both of these teams have been struggling all split, but RW are finding a little more success, taking down FPX and LGD because their early game has been giving them significant gold leads going into the mid-to-late game. Haro has been playing great with a 100 percent first blood percentage in last four games and a 75 percent kill participation since joining the starting roster. Haro is a big feast-or-famine player where he will be overly aggressive and they can get rolling, but if it doesn't work then RW look like one of the worst teams in the league. Stats shows that he goes through a huge regression after coming off the bench, but he rarely started in 2018, 2019 and 2020 splits, as he was never their go-to jungler. eStar, on the other hand, haven't been picking up series wins but they have been forcing a lot of Game 3s. eStar make the same mistakes in the late game where they force team fights after obtaining huge leads through objectives. I believe this bodes well for eStar because they are a solid fundamental team that knows how to rotate around the map, pick and choose their fights in the early game and RW are the type of team to keep bashing their face into you until they finally win a team fight. So if eStar don't have to force fights then it plays well into their hands, and even their new midlaner he has the same champion pool as FenFen, so there is either a slight upgrade or a straight swap. 

Prediction: eStar 2-1

  • eStar Players to Target: Everyone

BLG vs. WE

We finally got to see LGD punish Teacherma and the inconsistency of WE early game. This is going to be the battle of the junglers, as both Beishang and Meteor are playing at an S-tier level right now. Meteor has the best kill participation at 79 percent and is second in kill shares at 25.1 percent. Beishang, even though he has played more games, has a 75 percent kill participation and a 25.8 percent kill share. Both junglers are highly involved in their team's success, and this comes down to whoever can punish their weakness first. BLG early game has been one of the best in the league, but they can't close late game. WE are the exact opposite, where they're weak in the early game because of Teacherma but their late-game team-fighting is the best. I am leaning BLG here because WE's game is more exploitable through drafts, early game punishing in the mid lane, and BLG are good at playing the split push game, which doesn't force a lot of team fights in the mid-to-late game where WE excel. BLG also goes through a late-season run where they look like a top team in the league and this trend is going to continue.

Prediction: BLG 2-1

  • BLG Players to Target: Everyone

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Kalvin Thongchamleunsouk
Kalvin started his League of Legends obsession in 2012 during college and has followed the pro scene ever since. He was an original DraftKings LoL DFS player in 2015. Since early 2018, he's been a co-host on The Gold Card Podcast with fellow LoL DFS experts. The pod provides analysis, discussion, and strategy for wagering on professional League of Legends matches (where legal, of course).
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