This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
Another solid week during the conference championship games (2-0), bringing my playoff record to 8-2. And the two losses were during the Wild Card round on games I deemed coin flips, so it's been a decent run. Hopefully, I can end the year on positive note on the one game on which everyone puts money. To that end...
SUPER BOWL XLIX
Patriots -1 vs. Seahawks
My quick estimate based on what I've seen from these two teams was the Patriots should be about three or four point favorites on a neutral field, a pick 'em were the game in Seattle and favored by nearly a TD were the game in New England. That's not so far off from the current line, but it's well off from the opening Vegas line that had Seattle as three-point favorites, a rare mistake that got beaten down by the market within hours.
My basis fo
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