This article is part of our Exploiting the Matchups series.
Perhaps I spoke too soon.
After a Week 1 that saw the total points scored in the league drop from an average of 22.7 per team for the last four Week 1's (2013-2016) to 20.2 points per team (a full 2.5 point drop!), I immediately chalked the lack of fantasy action up to an anomaly and told everyone not to worry. Then somehow Week 2 found teams actually go backwards to a 20.1-point average.
The repeat of offensive ineptitude got me thinking about the root of the issue and here's what I've decided: its circumstantial randomness. If we really want to point fingers, we can blame injuries to offensive glue guys like Andrew Luck (shoulder), David Johnson (wrist), Julian Edelman (knee), Cameron Meredith (knee), Allen Robinson (knee) and Sam Bradford (knee). But injuries happen every year, even early on, which is why I'm still calling randomness and reminding everyone to stay the course. Sure, certain critical injuries have had a snowball effect on some teams and changed their offenses for the worse – heck, just ask anyone still holding out hope for T.Y. Hilton to return to stardom. But no matter how much a key player getting hurt can have a ripple effect for one team, the NFL mantra "next man up" remains perhaps its greatest truism. And once those next guys up really get their feet wet, scoring will return to normal levels and balance out. Just ask those who rostered Jay Ajayi last year when Arian Foster predictably