NFL Game Previews: Breaking Down Week 14
NFL Game Previews: Breaking Down Week 14

This article is part of our NFL Game Previews series.

New England at Miami (+11), 47.5 o/u – Monday, 8:30 p.m. EST

The Story: If it were anyone else, you'd wonder if the Patriots peaked too early. Eight straight wins, never allowing more than 17 points in any of them while averaging 27.4 PPG of their own, is pretty darn impressive. It's not as impressive as their recent dominance of Miami, though. The head-to-head record below doesn't do justice to it. The Pats have scored at least 31 points in five of the last six meetings, winning all five (while losing the sixth 20-10 in Miami at the end of the 2015 season) and by an average margin of more than 20 points. There are a couple of rays of hope for the Fish in this one, though. They are 3-2 at home against New England during that five-year period, and last week's sideline tiff between Tom Brady and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels might hint at some dysfunction creeping into the mix for the Pats. It'll probably take them losing, rather than Jay Cutler doing something to win the game, for the prime time upset to happen, though.

The Skinny:
2017 NE offense: 29.0 PPG (3rd), 120.6 rushing yds/gm (9th), 305.8 passing yds/gm (1st), 27 sacks allowed (T-11th), eight turnovers (T-1st)
2017 MIA offense: 17.4 PPG (26th), 84.7 rushing yds/gm (29th), 224.8 passing yds/gm (20th), 27 sacks allowed (T-11th

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Erik Siegrist
Erik Siegrist is an FSWA award-winning columnist who covers all four major North American sports (that means the NHL, not NASCAR) and whose beat extends back to the days when the Nationals were the Expos and the Thunder were the Sonics. He was the inaugural champion of Rotowire's Staff Keeper baseball league. His work has also appeared at Baseball Prospectus.
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