This article is part of our NFL Game Previews series.
Atlanta at Tampa Bay (+6), 48.0 o/u – Monday, 8:30 p.m. EST
The Story: The best third-place team in the NFL has found its stride, as the Falcons have won four of five, including a huge victory over the Saints last week to stay in the playoff hunt. One of those victories was also a 34-20 win over the Bucs, and while Jameis Winston wasn't under center for that game, his performance since his return to action hasn't exactly suggested he'll be able to change the outcome. With Tevin Coleman out, Devonta Freeman will get a chance to do what Coleman did while Freeman was sidelined – in those three games, Coleman rang up 243 YFS and four TDs. Tampa in theory has its own backfield dilemma to sort out, though it really shouldn't require that much thought given how good Peyton Barber has been looking compared to Doug Martin. The real problem for the Bucs has been the disappearance of Mike Evans. He hasn't scored since Week 7, and instead of sparking him back to life, Winston's return has suppressed his value even further – after routinely seeing double-digit targets all year, he's inexplicably only gotten 11 in two games with Winston back in charge.
•2017 ATL offense: 22.6 PPG (16th), 116.8 rushing yds/gm (11th), 256.1 passing yds/gm (14th), 17 sacks allowed (T-2nd), 16 turnovers (T-9th)
•2017 TB offense: 20.3 PPG