This article is part of our Beating the Book series.I went 3-1 last week, losing only with my best bet, the Jaguars. This week, the only game on which I feel even moderately set is the Jaguars-Steelers - the line strikes me as too big given Jacksonville's defense. The other three are merely the slightest of leans, and the Saints-Vikings is an outright coin flip for me. And while typically, I like to take favorites in this round, I'm on three dogs.
Falcons -3 at Eagles
The Eagles are probably the sharp play here now that the line has gone all the way to three. It's a home dog with a good defense getting the full field goal after the bye. But the Falcons refuse to die despite arguably the worst loss of any team in NFL history last year, and I don't think the Nick Foles Eagles stop them. Lay the wood.
Falcons 23 - 17
Titans +13.5 at Patriots
The Titans are the type of team you fade in this round because they're not even supposed t
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