This article is part of our Survivor series.
Occasionally, pot odds or not, you have to have an instinct for when something's off, and I missed it entirely. I actually felt the Saints, if anything, were more likely to win than Vegas did. While my 84-percent number was hardly a lock, unlike last year with the Patriots, I felt pretty relaxed about taking them. The worst part of it was they were the chalk, i.e., it can't even be justified as a risky, but necessary pot-odds gamble.
But it is what it is. The Ravens were in retrospect quite obviously the right call as the Packers were lucky to escape, the Steelers tied (which is a loss in most pools) and the Lions got crushed too. The Patriots and Vikings were also fairly easy wins.
Okay, for those of you still alive, let's take a look at Week 2:
Survivor rules and principles.
|Team||Opponent||%Taken*||Vegas ML**||Vegas Odds||Expected Loss|