It's the first Monday Night Football of the NFL season, and we have the best anytime TD scorer bets for the Chiefs vs. Broncos inside our new betting tool.
The world is waiting on Patrick Mahomes' first snap since tearing his ACL and LCL last December, as the Chiefs host the Broncos at Arrowhead Stadium (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC). Mahomes is fully cleared and expected to start, but he's not walking into an easy spot. Denver is hot off an AFC Championship run, and now pairs Bo Nix with a new trade acquisition in Jaylen Waddle.
Kansas City is favored at -2.5 (-108) with the total sitting at just 43.5, and the Broncos are getting plus money at +110 on the moneyline. That's a modest number for a Chiefs home game, and it reflects real questions about an offense that scored just 21.8 points a game last season — the lowest for this franchise since 2012 — which is exactly why Kansas City used free agency to add Kenneth Walker III and rebuild the ground game around him.
Below are the best anytime TD bets for the opener based on our model's five years of in-house data. You can use the tool to easily research and place your bets all in one place.
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Chiefs vs. Broncos Anytime TD Odds Tonight
| Player | Team | Odds | Book | Implied Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | -135 | DraftKings | 57.4% |
| Bo Nix | DEN | +550 | BetMGM/Fanatics | 15.4% |
| Patrick Mahomes | KC | +650 | BetMGM | 13.3% |
| Travis Kelce | KC | +196 | Caesars | 33.8% |
| Xavier Worthy | KC | +340 | Fanatics | 22.7% |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | +275 | DraftKings | 26.7% |
| Rashee Rice | KC | +165* | BetMGM | 37.7% |
| Jaylen Waddle | DEN | +210* | DraftKings | 32.3% |
| Courtland Sutton | DEN | +250* | Fanatics | 28.6% |
| J.K. Dobbins | DEN | +180* | Fanatics | 35.7% |
| Tyquan Thornton | KC | +550 | DraftKings | 15.4% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN | +950 | DraftKings | 9.5% |
| Evan Engram | DEN | +525* | Fanatics | 16.0% |
Odds shown are the best confirmed sportsbook price found for each player as of this writing and will move before kickoff — always check your own book's live line before betting. A few additional names with real signal didn't have a clean, attributable sportsbook price at publication time and are covered in the value section below instead of guessed at here.
Best Chiefs Anytime TD Bets Tonight
Kenneth Walker III Anytime Touchdown: -135 (DraftKings)
Kansas City didn't spend real free-agency money on Walker to keep him in a timeshare — he's the back this rebuilt run game was built around, and a short number reflects it. With Mahomes back and the passing game drawing extra attention underneath, Walker's goal-line volume should be the first beneficiary of any red-zone possession. It's not a value price, but it's the single most reliable role on the board tonight.
Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown: +196 (Caesars)
Kelce has been Mahomes' most trusted red-zone target for a decade, and there's no reason to think a first game back changes that. If anything, a quarterback returning from a serious knee injury is more likely to lean on his most experienced, highest-floor option in scoring territory rather than force something new. Plus money on a player with this track record in exactly this situation is worth a look.
Best Broncos Anytime TD Bets Tonight
RJ Harvey Anytime Touchdown: +275 (DraftKings)
Harvey found the end zone 12 times in 2025 and remains part of a Denver backfield that should see real volume in a game Vegas expects to be tight and run-heavy given the total. Kansas City's front seven is a legitimate test, but Harvey's role in short-yardage and goal-line packages gives him a real path to paydirt even in a lower-scoring environment, and this number pays well relative to that role.
Marvin Mims Jr. Anytime Touchdown: +950 (DraftKings)
For a long shot with real logic behind it, Mims at +950 is a bet on Denver's passing game finding an explosive play against a Chiefs secondary that took real hits this offseason. Waddle is the new headline name in that receiving room, but Mims has been Nix's field-stretching weapon since he arrived, and a defense keying on Waddle and Courtland Sutton is exactly the situation where Mims' speed turns one snap into six points. It's a low-probability outcome by design, but at this number it only needs to hit occasionally to be worth a small piece of your card.
More Anytime TD Value to Consider
If you want more ways into this game, Rashee Rice is priced around +145 and profiles as a clear second read for Mahomes now that he's fully cleared from his own knee injury, while Xavier Worthy — also fully cleared and expected to play after offseason shoulder surgery — carries real touchdown equity as Kansas City's field-stretcher, with independent modeling putting him near 27% to score.
On the ground for Denver, J.K. Dobbins offers a change-of-pace look behind Harvey if the Broncos lean into a run-heavy script to protect a total this low. And don't rule out Jaylen Waddle simply adjusting quickly — prediction markets already have him near 31% to score in just his second game in a Denver uniform, which would make him this board's biggest outlier if the connection with Nix clicks early.
Injury & Situational Notes
- Chiefs: LT Josh Simmons (Out, back) and S Chamarri Conner (Out, knee) did not practice all week. DT Chris Jones was held out Saturday as a precaution for calf tightness but carries no formal designation, and Andy Reid said he expects Jones to play. Patrick Mahomes (knee), Rashee Rice (knee) and Xavier Worthy (shoulder) are all fully cleared and expected to play.
- Broncos: Denver has its full 53-man roster available with no absences. WR Marvin Mims Jr. (foot) was a full participant all week and is expected to play.
- Lines used: Chiefs -2.5 (-108) / Broncos +2.5 (-112); Total 43.5 (Over -108 / Under -112); Moneyline Chiefs -130 / Broncos +110.
