The Browns take on the Steelers in a game that will be viewed exclusively by football sickos and bettors. If you're the latter, I've got you covered. I went through tonight's slate of NFL player props and highlighted three of our model's favorite bets. Here are three of the bets that received an A or A+ grade from a model that's hitting 60.2% of bets heading into Week 4.
Best Steelers vs Browns NFL Player Props (Week 4)
Player | Bet |
| Denzel Boston | Receiving Yards: OVER 39.5 (+100) |
| K.C. Concepcion | Rushing Yards: OVER 0.5 (+102) |
| Quinshon Judkins | Rushing Yards: UNDER 56.5 (-110) |
All of these prop bets received an A or A+ grade from RotoWire's prop betting tool. Our tool does the math for you — it figures out how confident we are based on our internal projections, checks what the sportsbook is truly charging once you strip out their built-in edge, and grades the bet based on how much better our numbers look than theirs.
In other words, we built a tool to help you win money. Sound good?
Denzel Boston – Receiving Yards: OVER 39.5 (+100)
Denzel Boston's career is going even better than his most ardent supporters (me) could've hoped. Boston generated hype all summer after dominating training camp and he's backed it up on the field. He topped 40 receiving yards in each of his first three NFL games, averaging 65.0 per game. We have him projected for 52.0 yards tonight, putting him comfortably over the line to beat. He already has receptions of 55 and 46 yards this season, meaning he has a real shot to clear this on one catch.
K.C. Concepcion – Rushing Yards: OVER 0.5 (+102)
In a decidedly un-Browns twist, Cleveland suddenly has one of the league's most exciting young skill-position groups. K.C. Concepcion hasn't been quite as effective as Boston so far, but he's flashed big-time potential, and Todd Monken appears determined to get him the rock. He has four carries so far this season and has logged at least one rushing attempt in two of his three appearances. He should only need one opportunity to cash this bet. At +102, it's a nice value.
Quinshon Judkins – Rushing Yards: UNDER 56.5 (-110)
Let's close out with another of Cleveland's rising stars. But unlike the other two, Quinshon Judkins has not gotten off to a great start this year. He was held under 34 rushing yards in two of his first three outings this season. He put up 70 last week, but that came against a Panthers' defense that has given up 580 rushing yards thus far – the worst mark in the NFL. Add in the fact that this looks like an unfavorable game script, as Cleveland should be playing from behind, and it's hard to see Judkins getting to 57 yards.
All Steelers vs Browns NFL Player Props
All subscribers will have access to the tool that generated these grades. Please note: non-subscribers will only have access to a limited experience.
Season-Long NFL Player Props Record
For full transparency, we'll track this tool's performance every week. We'll track the outcome of every pick that was graded A or A+. Here's how we're doing heading into the Week 3 Monday Night Football Game.
- A Grades: 36-25 (59.0%)
- A+ Grades: 26-16 (61.9%)
- Combined: 62-41 (60.2%)
Unit Tracking:
- A Units: +8.62u (14.1% ROI)
- A+ Units: +11.32u (26.9% ROI)
- Combined Units: +19.93u (19.4% ROI)
