NFL Staff Picks: Week 4 Winners & Predictions

The RotoWire writers like the Commanders, Bills and Lions in Week 4. Check out all the against-the-spread picks and predictions.
NFL Staff Picks: Week 4 Winners & Predictions

Jim Coventry won last week at 11-5 to improve to a Staff Picks-best 26-21-1. Jeff Erickson and Scott Pianowski nailed their best bets. 

The group went 1-2 on unanimous picks and 9-7 on majority picks. 

This week, three picks are unanimous — Commanders +3.5, Bills -6.5 and Lions -3.5. Five others garnered four votes each. 

As for best bets, each writer took a unique team, with Erickson the only one picking an underdog (Jaguars +2.5). 

Odds from BetMGM. Use the BetMGM Bonus Code for a risk-free bet up to $1,500.

MATCHUPERICKSONPIANOWSKIWHALENCOVENTRYHARTITZ
Steelers -3 at BrownsBrownsBrownsSteelersBrownsSteelers
Colts -3.5 Commanders at LondonCommandersCommandersCommandersCommandersCommanders
Patriots +6.5 at BillsBillsBillsBillsBillsBills
Jaguars +2.5 at BengalsJaguarsJaguarsBengalsJaguarsJaguars
Packers -3.5 at BuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersPackersPackers
Titans +11.5 at RavensRavensRavensTitansRavensRavens
Rams -3 at EaglesRamsRamsEaglesRamsRams
Cardinals -2 at GiantsGiantsGiantsCardinalsCardinalsCardinals
Jets +3.5 at BearsBearsJetsJetsJetsJets
Cowboys +2.5 at TexansCowboysTexansTexansTexansCowboys
Dolphins +10.5 at VikingsVikingsVikingsDolphinsVikingsDolphins
Broncos +2.5 at 49ers49ers49ersBroncosBroncos49ers
Chiefs -4.5 at RaidersRaidersRaidersChiefsRaidersChiefs
Chargers +7 at SeahawksChargersSeahawksSeahawksSeahawksSeahawks
Lions -3.5 at PanthersLionsLionsLionsLionsLions
Falcons +2.5 at SaintsSaintsSaintsFalconsFalconsSaints
Best BetJaguarsRamsLionsVikingsBills
Last

Jim Coventry won last week at 11-5 to improve to a Staff Picks-best 26-21-1. Jeff Erickson and Scott Pianowski nailed their best bets. 

The group went 1-2 on unanimous picks and 9-7 on majority picks. 

This week, three picks are unanimous — Commanders +3.5, Bills -6.5 and Lions -3.5. Five others garnered four votes each. 

As for best bets, each writer took a unique team, with Erickson the only one picking an underdog (Jaguars +2.5). 

Odds from BetMGM. Use the BetMGM Bonus Code for a risk-free bet up to $1,500.

MATCHUPERICKSONPIANOWSKIWHALENCOVENTRYHARTITZ
Steelers -3 at BrownsBrownsBrownsSteelersBrownsSteelers
Colts -3.5 Commanders at LondonCommandersCommandersCommandersCommandersCommanders
Patriots +6.5 at BillsBillsBillsBillsBillsBills
Jaguars +2.5 at BengalsJaguarsJaguarsBengalsJaguarsJaguars
Packers -3.5 at BuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersBuccaneersPackersPackers
Titans +11.5 at RavensRavensRavensTitansRavensRavens
Rams -3 at EaglesRamsRamsEaglesRamsRams
Cardinals -2 at GiantsGiantsGiantsCardinalsCardinalsCardinals
Jets +3.5 at BearsBearsJetsJetsJetsJets
Cowboys +2.5 at TexansCowboysTexansTexansTexansCowboys
Dolphins +10.5 at VikingsVikingsVikingsDolphinsVikingsDolphins
Broncos +2.5 at 49ers49ers49ersBroncosBroncos49ers
Chiefs -4.5 at RaidersRaidersRaidersChiefsRaidersChiefs
Chargers +7 at SeahawksChargersSeahawksSeahawksSeahawksSeahawks
Lions -3.5 at PanthersLionsLionsLionsLionsLions
Falcons +2.5 at SaintsSaintsSaintsFalconsFalconsSaints
Best BetJaguarsRamsLionsVikingsBills
Last Week Record9-79-76-1011-57-9
2026 Record20-27-121-26-120-27-126-21-122-25-1
2026 Best Bet Record1-21-21-20-31-2
2026 Unanimous Pick Record2-8    
2026 Majority Pick Record21-26-1    
2025 Record127-137-8132-132-8118-146-8NANA
2024 Record131-138-3121-148-3127-142-3NAN/A
2023 Record133-131-8125-139-8129-135-8NAN/A
2022 Record127-136-8149-114-8124-139-8NAN/A
2000-2021 Record2,733-2,730-992,435-2,286-99N/ANAN/A
WRITERCOMMENT
EricksonThe Steelers exposed the Bengals' weak points on defense, and I think Liam Coen is quite capable of seeing that on film and exploiting it. Also, I know we don't do totals here, but I *love* the Under 40.0 in the battle of the Bays.
PianowskiThe Eagles have some collapse risk, and the Rams probably deserved to win last week. I do not feel comfortable picking this many favorites, as it goes directly against my usual MO.
WhalenI don't love the number, but I also don't love the amount of injuries hitting the Panthers heading into Week 4. They'll be without three starting offensive linemen, as well as a few key pieces on defense against a Lions team averaging 30-plus points per game.
CoventryMiami is the worst team in the league with no De'Von Achane. I don't see Malik Willis surviving the Brian Flores blitzes.
HartitzThe Patriots are tied with the Dolphins for the fewest points scored this season. Josh Allen got his "I'm 23 again, time to turn the ball over a bunch!" game out of the way last week. Buffalo by however many points they want.

The players:

• Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior Editor, 2001, 2008, 2013, 2015, 2016 Staff Picks champ. Writes the Weekly Rankings. Roots for the Bengals.

• Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to RotoWire. 2009, 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019, 2020, 2022 and 2025 Staff Picks champ. Roots for the Patriots.

• Nick Whalen: RotoWire Senior Media Analyst. Writes Beating the Book. Roots for the Jaguars.

• Jim Coventry: RotoWire Football Writer. Writes NFL Weekly Recap. Roots for the 49ers.

• Ian Hartitz: RotoWire Football Writer. Writes Weekly Position Rankings. Roots for the Cowboys.

 

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Season-long rankings, start/sit calls, and waiver advice from the analysts who wrote this piece.