The UFC heads to Paris, France, on Saturday, September 5, for a solid UFC Paris card. The main event sees a fan-friendly lightweight bout, as Dan Hooker takes on UFC newcomer Salahdine Parnasse.
Below, I'll share my UFC Paris predictions, including my favorite pick, an underdog, a prop, and a two-fighter parlay. All UFC odds are via the DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the post date of this article.
UFC Paris Betting Favorite
Michael Page (25-3) vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (37-9-2) - Middleweight
For my betting favorite at UFC Paris, I like Michael Page to beat Nursulton Ruziboev on the main card. Page is set to fight out his UFC contract, and while he hasn't had the big fights he wanted, this is another fight he should win.
Page is a technical striker, and he should be able to pick Ruziboev apart. 'MVP' is hard to hit, as he keeps his distance well. It won't be the most exciting fight, but he will do enough to win.
I also haven't been impressed with Ruziboev in his UFC tenure. Effectively, I expect Page to keep it standing, avoid the power shots and piece up Ruziboev to get a decision win. When the fight was announced, I thought Page would be around -250, so this is a great price.
UFC Paris Bet: Michael Page (-166)
UFC Paris Underdog
Morgan Charriere (21-12-1) vs. Felipe Lima (14-2) - Featherweight
For my underdog pick at UFC Paris, I'm taking Frenchman Morgan Charriere to get his hand raised at home.
Charriere is 3-3 in the UFC, but I like this matchup for him, as I believe the odds should be way closer. Lima is a bantamweight who's moving up to featherweight, so there are some question marks there with his power and size at 145 pounds.
Lima is coming off a disappointing loss to Payton Talbott in which he was outwrestled. Charriere has good wrestling, so he could use his grappling to control Lima, especially if the size and strength are noticeable.
Charriere also throws more volume, so he should be able to mix in the striking with the wrestling to edge out a close decision.
UFC Paris Bet: Morgan Charriere (+154)
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UFC Paris Prop Bet
Salahdine Parnasse (23-2) vs. Dan Hooker (24-14) - Lightweight
For my prop at UFC Paris, I'm taking Salahdine Parnasse to beat Dan Hooker by KO/TKO/DQ in the main event.
Parnasse is someone I'm high on and felt like should have been in the UFC for years. He now gets his chance and makes his debut at home against Hooker in what should be a fan-friendly fight.
Hooker isn't afraid to throw down, but we have seen him get hurt and knocked out before. Parnasse is a solid striker, so he should come out strong, land some damaging shots and get a TKO win in the first or second round to make a statement at UFC Paris.
Parnasse is a -600 favorite, but taking him by knockout gets him down to -145, which is a great price.
UFC Paris Bet: Salahdine Parnasse by KO/TKO/DQ (-145)
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UFC Paris Parlay
Oumar Sy (12-2) vs. Modestas Bukauskas (20-7) - Light heavyweight
Losene Keita (16-2) vs. Muhammadjon Naimov (13-4) - Featherweight
For my parlay at UFC Paris, I'm taking Oumar Sy and Losene Keita to get their hands raised on Saturday.
Sy takes on Modestas Bukauskas on the prelims, and this is a good matchup for the Frenchman to get the win at home. Bukauskas is coming off a lackluster win over Christian Edwards, and before that was KO'd by Nikita Krylov. Sy has had mixed results, but this is a favorable opponent, so he should land the better shots and find a TKO win.
To close out the parlay, I'm taking Keita to beat Muhammadjon Naimov on the main card. Keita lost his UFC debut, as he didn't have the best performance, but this is a step down and winnable fight for him. I like Keita to keep this fight standing, land the better shots and get a TKO win here to pick up his first UFC victory.
UFC Paris Bet: Oumar Sy & Losene Keita parlay (-114)
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UFC Best Bets
Here is a recap of my best UFC picks for this weekend's UFC Paris card.
- Michael Page (-166)
- Morgan Charriere (+154)
- Salahdine Parnasse by KO/TKO/DQ (-145)
- Oumar Sy & Losene Keita parlay (-114)
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