DraftKings EPL DFS Picks for Saturday, September 19: The Three-Game Slate

Three closely matched favorites headline Saturday's DraftKings EPL slate, putting greater emphasis on reliable floors, set pieces and minutes.

Saturday's three-game DraftKings EPL slate features Newcastle at home against Hull City, Everton hosting Ipswich Town and Arsenal visiting Brighton. All three favorites have win probabilities between 54 and 59 percent, while Newcastle-Hull carries the highest implied goal total. With no overwhelming team to stack, the clearest starting points for cash-game builds are Bukayo Saka and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall.

Lineup changes will also shape the slate. Newcastle are without Nico Gonzalez, Amar Dedic and Jacob Ramsey, leaving Lewis Hall, Lewis Miley and Jacob Murphy as their primary set-piece candidates. Murphy carries considerable substitution risk, while Everton's expected lineup could keep Tyrique George in a prominent role. Arsenal offer the most appealing attacking upside against Brighton's high-event style.

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DraftKings EPL DFS Slate for Saturday, Sept. 19

• 10:00 am: Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Arsenal
• 10:00 am: Everton vs. Ipswich Town
• 10:00 am: Newcastle United vs. Hull City

For detailed stats and odds, check out the DraftKings Fantasy Soccer: Premier League Cheat Sheet.

FORWARDS

Bukayo Saka (ARS at BHA, $10,200)

Saka is the safest play on the slate, or he should be. He's going 90 minutes, piling up shots on target and drawing fouls, and he still has a share of Arsenal's corners. His floor holds even in the games where the goal doesn't come. He's about as safe as it gets in cash at the price, and an easy fade in tournaments if you'd rather take the leverage, but the floor is the best on the board.

He'll be popular given the lack of other forward options, so if the goal or assist does come, a lineup without him may be dead.

Tyrique George (EVE vs IPS, $4,900)

George is the cheap forward with a solid floor... usually. Unlike Saka, there's nothing guaranteed about his production. He could sub off early and have a three point floor even in a home game against Ipswich. However, he's cheap and has been elite at doing certain things in the early games, which might be enough for this spot. Give him a few shots and fouls drawn and that hits value for sub $5,000.

Thierno Barry ($6,900) has nine shots across the last two games now that he's playing 90 for Everton, and Christos Tzolis ($8,100) is the cheaper way into the Arsenal attack with Kai Havertz at $9,700.

Mohamed Belloumi ($7,300) has the upside against Newcastle but too shaky a floor for cash, and Abdul Fatawu ($5,100) is the same boom-or-bust profile after his fouls sank him last week. It'll likely be between Fatawu and George for the second most popular spend-down forward.

MIDFIELDERS

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (EVE vs IPS, $9,000)

Dewsbury-Hall is the best play on the slate on a points-per-dollar basis. His floor has tracked right with Saka's all season on crosses, shots and a set-piece share, and at $9,000 he gets it in a softer spot, home against Ipswich Town, at plus-money to score. With only three games and this being close to the best spot, it'll be hard to fade Dewsbury-Hall. Similar to Saka, he'll be popular and with a goal or assist, he easily hits 20-plus points.

Harvey Barnes (NEW vs HUL, $7,700)

Barnes is the way into the highest-scoring game on the board and may not be as popular as some think due to Saka and Dewsbury-Hall. Along with Yoane Wissa ($7,500), Newcastle really only have two attackers who are likely to see 80-plus minutes. You can stack both of them and hope they combine for goals and assists. Otherwise, you're trying to shoot minnows in a pond by selecting another Newcastle piece in hopes of a goal.

James Garner (EVE vs IPS, $6,400)

Garner is the value in the middle. He's back to 90 minutes for Everton at home to Ipswich Town, and at $6,400 that reliability makes him the play I'd take over the pricier Declan Rice, who has been operating too deep to hold a floor this season. Garner still has some risk as a defensive midfielder, but in this spot, I think the $6,400 is fine.

Julio Enciso (IPS at EVE, $5,500)

Enciso is the cash-viable underdog piece. He's on the ball constantly and takes his shots, so even without set pieces he grinds out a floor across 90 minutes, and at $5,500 in a reasonable matchup he's a steadier bet for minutes than the boom-or-bust options around him.

Martin Odegaard ($8,900) and Bruno Guimaraes ($8,300) are the pay-up Arsenal midfielders, and Pascal Gross ($7,600) is a tournament pivot for Brighton coming off a big game. 

The cheap leverage lives with Newcastle's corner-takers: Lewis Miley ($4,000) has maybe a coin-flip shot at splitting set pieces with Lewis Hall, and Regan Slater ($3,900) takes a share for Hull in a game where Newcastle's thinned midfield should concede chances. Jacob Murphy ($5,600), Joe Willock ($4,400) and Matias Fernandez-Pardo ($6,200) are all unreliable despite the matchup.

DEFENDERS

Lewis Hall (NEW vs HUL, $5,700)

Hall is the easy click at the position. He takes a share of Newcastle's corners and is home to Hull City, so at $5,700 you pair the dead-ball work with clean-sheet equity. He's not crazy expensive, which makes him a little easier to suggest on a slate where there aren't a ton of stand out defenders.

Ryan Giles (HUL at NEW, $5,200)

Giles is the value on the other side of that game. He has quietly had one of the better defender floors this season on crosses from wing-back, and the matchup at Newcastle isn't prohibitive, so at $5,200 he's a fine way to get a floor without paying up.

Riccardo Calafiori ($4,900) is the Arsenal option if you want a piece of that defense, and the minimum-tier Everton center-backs pair with Jordan Pickford for a cheap shutout share. This is one of the rare weeks I'd pass on Maxim De Cuyper ($6,500), given the matchup with Arsenal.

GOALKEEPER

Konstantinos Tzolakis (HUL at NEW, $3,600)

I'm punting the position because no team on the slate has a clean-sheet chance above 35 percent, so paying up for a shutout that probably isn't coming is the wrong spend. Tzolakis faces the slate's most dangerous attack in Newcastle, and shots faced is how a cheap keeper pays off, so at $3,600 the saves are the floor and the cap goes to the attack.

Kjell Scherpen ($3,800) is the same idea at Everton, and Bart Verbruggen ($4,000) draws Arsenal. If you insist on spending up, David Raya ($5,400) is rarely this cheap, but I'd rather take the saves and the savings.