The US Open women's final will be played Saturday on the hard courts of New York City's USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Both players are deserving finalists, as they are the top two seeds and have been the two best hard-court players on the WTA Tour all season, having met in the Australian Open final as well.
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All women's singles matches are best of three sets. A mix of players' previous hard court results, recent form and stylistic matchups can help pinpoint intriguing betting opportunities in Saturday's US Open women's championship match.
US Open Tennis Picks: Sabalenka vs. Rybakina
Aryna Sabalenka (56%/-127) vs. Elena Rybakina (44%/+127)
Sabalenka has won her last 20 US Open matches, as she's one win away from her third straight title here and fifth Grand Slam title overall. She is the current world No. 1 but will slip to second in the rankings behind Rybakina after this tournament, regardless of this match's outcome. These two big hitters are quite familiar with each other's games, as they have already faced off 17 times, including three matchups this year. Sabalenka leads their head-to-head 10-7 overall, but they have split 14 hard-court meetings down the middle. Rybakina won a three-setter in the Australian Open final this year, but Sabalenka has won both of their subsequent encounters.
When these two faced off in Australia, Rybakina was the one with more to play for, as Sabalenka held a 4-1 edge in career edge in Grand Slam titles and the No. 1 ranking. Now, Rybakina already has a Grand Slam title under her belt this year and is about to take over the top spot in the rankings for the first time in her career, while Sabalenka will cede the No. 1 ranking for the first time since October of 2024, and a loss here would make this the first season since 2022 in which Sabalenka failed to capture a Grand Slam title. Both players have been tested en route to the final, as Sabalenka survived a third-set tiebreak in the quarterfinals against Wimbledon champion Linda Noskova, while Rybakina overcame a one-set deficit and a hostile crowd to defeat the surging Coco Gauff in the semifinals. The margins are often slim between Sabalenka and Rybakina. Given that Sabalenka has proven she can get the job done on the biggest stage at this tournament and won the last two matchups between these two, the slight edge goes to the Belarusian.
US Open Women's Final Prediction: Sabalenka def. Rybakina 4-6, 7-6, 6-4
