2024 Stats
AVG
.212
HR
7
RBI
33
R
28
SB
8
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Rafaela is such a good athlete that he is a plus defensive center fielder who can also hold his own at shortstop and second base. He stole 39 bases in 136 games across Double-A, Triple-A and the majors and used his elite bat speed to launch 22 home runs in his age-22 season, despite a 5-foot-9 frame. His .319/.373/.579 slash line with a 20.2 K% and 5.9 BB% over his final 82 games in the minors last season earned him his first call to the majors. From a raw tools standpoint, he's a clear big leaguer. However, his hit tool needs refinement. He had a 38.8 Chase% and a 72.1 Contact%, leading to a 31.5 K% and 4.5 BB% in the majors. Working the count will never be Rafaela's strength, but he could eventually follow a path similar to Tim Anderson or Michael Harris, where he's not walking much but is doing enough damage and making enough contact to still be an above-average hitter. It's not clear how quickly that part of his game will advance from here, but his defensive chops will make him a priority addition to the big-league lineup once Boston thinks his bat is ready. Read Past Outlooks
Goes yard twice in win
Rafaela went 2-for-4 with two home runs and five RBI in Friday's 7-3 win over the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
Per Ian Browne of MLB.com, Rafaela has made some tweaks to his swing mechanics in an attempt to get going at the plate, and the adjustments seem to be paying off. The 23-year-old put together his first career multi-homer game by launching a three-run shot off Kenta Maeda in the fourth inning before tagging Joey Wentz for a two-run blast in the sixth that just cleared the Green Monster. Over the last 11 games, Rafaela is batting .289 (11-for-38) with three homers, two steals, nine runs and 10 RBI.
Per Ian Browne of MLB.com, Rafaela has made some tweaks to his swing mechanics in an attempt to get going at the plate, and the adjustments seem to be paying off. The 23-year-old put together his first career multi-homer game by launching a three-run shot off Kenta Maeda in the fourth inning before tagging Joey Wentz for a two-run blast in the sixth that just cleared the Green Monster. Over the last 11 games, Rafaela is batting .289 (11-for-38) with three homers, two steals, nine runs and 10 RBI.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
4
2
4
27
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
4
9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+9%
OPS vs LHP
2024
+15%
OPS vs LHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .676 | 73 | 2 | 8 | .206 | ||||
| Since 2022vs Right | .623 | 227 | 7 | 30 | .225 | ||||
| 2024vs Left | .695 | 46 | 1 | 5 | .214 | ||||
| 2024vs Right | .604 | 165 | 6 | 28 | .212 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .645 | 27 | 1 | 3 | .192 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | .675 | 62 | 1 | 2 | .263 | ||||
| 2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+18%
OPS at Home
2024
Even Split
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | .688 | 149 | 6 | 22 | .223 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | .585 | 151 | 3 | 16 | .218 | ||||
| 2024Home | .623 | 103 | 4 | 18 | .204 | ||||
| 2024Away | .622 | 108 | 3 | 15 | .220 | ||||
| 2023Home | .838 | 46 | 2 | 4 | .268 | ||||
| 2023Away | .494 | 43 | 0 | 1 | .214 | ||||
| 2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ceddanne Rafaela compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.13BB Rate
3.4%K Rate
26.1%BABIP
.250ISO
.175AVG
.211OBP
.239SLG
.387OPS
.626wOBA
.270Exit Velocity
85.3 mphHard Hit Rate
21.4%Barrels/PA
4.3%Expected BA
.214Expected SLG
.352Sprint Speed
25.9 ft/secGround Ball %
36.6%Line Drive %
20.4%Fly Ball %
43.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likely to start 2024 in minors
Rafaela is likely to start next season as the center fielder at Triple-A Worcester, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
Rafaela played regularly down the stretch for the Red Sox and showed flashes but wound up finishing with a .666 OPS and 28:4 K:BB over 89 plate appearances. With Jarren Duran expected to be recovered from toe surgery for the start of next season and slated to reclaim his center field job, Rafaela can return to the minors for more seasoning.
Rafaela played regularly down the stretch for the Red Sox and showed flashes but wound up finishing with a .666 OPS and 28:4 K:BB over 89 plate appearances. With Jarren Duran expected to be recovered from toe surgery for the start of next season and slated to reclaim his center field job, Rafaela can return to the minors for more seasoning.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Rafaela put up impressive offensive numbers in 2022 that oversold his realistic MLB upside, but his center field defense is so good that he should have no problem carving out a big-league career. He doesn't hit the ball very hard and is prone to chasing, but Rafaela still managed a .301/.342/.540 slash line despite an ugly 4.8 BB%. Thankfully, he has plus speed to go with his plus-plus defense, so the 28-for-35 success rate on the bases could translate as he continues to climb. If he can just hit .230 or .240, Rafaela could be allowed to play every day in center field while hitting at the bottom of the order and chipping in 10-to-20 home runs with 20-plus steals. He is on the 40-man roster but may not debut until 2024.
More Fantasy News
Not starting Thursday
Rafaela isn't in Boston's lineup for Thursday's game against Detroit, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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Making adjustments
The Red Sox advised Rafaela to hold his hands lower in his stance, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports. He went 0-for-4 in Wednesday's loss to Baltimore and is batting .206 with a 25.7 strikeout percentage.
ANALYSIS
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Climbs above .200 again
Rafaela went 2-for-3 with a double, a stolen base and a run scored in Sunday's 2-1 win over the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in win
Rafaela went 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI in Monday's 5-0 win over the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Gets break Friday
Rafaela is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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