Pablo Lopez
28-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
4-5
ERA
5.25
WHIP
1.17
K
69
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Lopez had an impressive first season in Minnesota by finishing seventh in the AL Cy Young voting and going 2-0 and giving up one run in 12.2 innings in the postseason. Lopez changed his arsenal in the offseason to feature a sweeper as his primary off-speed pitch which resulted in more strikeouts. Lopez had a career-high 29.2% K% and 14.8% swinging K%. He allowed just a .215 wOBA and generated a 36.3% K% on his sweeper. He also set a new high 194 innings while maintaining career-best velocity (94.8 average mph fastball). The Twins signed him to a four-year, $73.54 million contract extension after his trade from Miami as they believe they traded for a true ace and felt validated by his playoff performance. Read Past Outlooks
Hit hard again Sunday
Lopez (4-5) allowed six runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out six over 4.2 innings, taking the loss Sunday versus the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
Corey Seager led the charge against Lopez with two home runs and three RBI. Lopez has now allowed 16 runs and 25 hits over his last 16 innings, with five of those knocks being homers. He had a 3.89 ERA after his May 9 start versus the Mariners, but it's now at 5.25 with a 1.17 WHIP and 69:10 K:BB through 60 innings across 11 outings this season. Lopez is projected to make his next start on the road versus the Astros.
Corey Seager led the charge against Lopez with two home runs and three RBI. Lopez has now allowed 16 runs and 25 hits over his last 16 innings, with five of those knocks being homers. He had a 3.89 ERA after his May 9 start versus the Mariners, but it's now at 5.25 with a 1.17 WHIP and 69:10 K:BB through 60 innings across 11 outings this season. Lopez is projected to make his next start on the road versus the Astros.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Pablo Lopez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Pablo Lopez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-8%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .261 | 212 | 66 | 224 | 32 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .216 | 265 | 45 | 169 | 24 | |||
2024vs Left | .265 | 36 | 4 | 35 | 7 | |||
2024vs Right | .245 | 33 | 6 | 25 | 4 | |||
2023vs Left | .271 | 104 | 27 | 101 | 13 | |||
2023vs Right | .205 | 130 | 21 | 75 | 11 | |||
2022vs Left | .249 | 72 | 35 | 88 | 12 | |||
2022vs Right | .218 | 102 | 18 | 69 | 9 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-22%
ERA on Road
2024
-23%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 4.41 | 1.21 | 218.1 | 9.7 | 2.4 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.42 | 1.11 | 215.2 | 10.1 | 2.2 | ||||
2024Home | 4.64 | 1.24 | 33.0 | 9.5 | 1.4 | ||||
2024Away | 6.00 | 1.07 | 27.0 | 11.3 | 1.7 | ||||
2023Home | 4.21 | 1.17 | 98.1 | 11.3 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Away | 3.10 | 1.14 | 95.2 | 10.4 | 2.2 | ||||
2022Home | 4.55 | 1.25 | 87.0 | 8.1 | 3.0 | ||||
2022Away | 3.00 | 1.09 | 93.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Pablo Lopez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
6.90K/9
10.4BB/9
1.5HR/9
1.7Fastball
94.5 mphERA
5.25WHIP
1.17BABIP
.328GB/FB
1.15Left On Base
62.3%Exit Velocity
81.9 mphBarrels/BBE
5.2%Spin Rate
2247 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.4%Swinging Strike
13.0%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Pablo Lopez See More
This week's FAAB pickups include Giants outfielder Luis Matos, who's making the most of his opportunity in the wake of Jung Hoo Lee's season-ending shoulder injury.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Closing in on long-term deal
Lopez and the Twins are close to finalizing a four-year, $73.5 million contract extension, Craig Mish of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
The deal would begin in 2024, per Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com, which means it would cover what would have been the first three years of free agency for Lopez. Lopez has posted a 1.73 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and 33:6 K:BB across his first 26 innings with Minnesota.
The deal would begin in 2024, per Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com, which means it would cover what would have been the first three years of free agency for Lopez. Lopez has posted a 1.73 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and 33:6 K:BB across his first 26 innings with Minnesota.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Pa-Lo answered the health concerns we highlighted last season as he took the ball all 32 times it was given to him and was one of 27 pitchers to throw at least 180 innings on the season. Yet, 2022 was a bit of a disappointment in his outcomes as he won 10 of the 32 starts for the struggling Miami club while his ERA jumped three quarters of a run from the previous season and his strikeout rate fell four percentage points. He was still tough to hit and stingy with baserunners, but his upside was limited by the misfortunes of the Miami offense. Lopez and Kyle Wright were extremely similar from a statistical profile this past season, yet Wright had 21 wins and a 3.19 ERA thanks to 5.3 runs per game while Lopez was supported with just 3.2 runs per outing. There was nothing wrong with the pitcher, rather, the surrounding cast was limiting his true fantasy upside. That could change after he was traded to Minnesota in January. He'll have a better supporting cast though a slightly less friendly park.
More Fantasy News
Shelled in loss
Lopez (4-3) took the loss Monday against Washington, allowing seven runs on eight hits and one walk over five innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Gets no help in loss
Lopez (4-3) allowed three runs on 10 hits while striking out three over 6.1 innings, taking the loss Wednesday versus the Yankees. He did not walk a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Wins third straight
Lopez (4-2) earned the win Thursday over the Mariners, allowing one run on four hits over 6.1 innings. He struck out 10.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp in win over BoSox
Lopez (3-2) picked up the win Saturday, allowing one run on five hits and a walk over six innings in a 3-1 victory over the Red Sox. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Earns ugly win
Lopez (2-2) allowed four runs on four hits and a walk in five innings Sunday, striking out eight and picking up a win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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