Tarik Skubal
27-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
6-1
ERA
2.25
WHIP
0.85
K
72
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Skubal underwent left flexor tendon surgery in August of 2022 and his rehab extended through the first three months of last season. He was on a limited pitch count initially upon his return and there were some bumps in the road early, but Skubal eventually rounded into form, going 4-1 with a 1.25 ERA, 0.67 WHIP and 52:6 K:BB in his final six starts (36 innings). A ninth-round pick in 2018, Skubal changed up his formula last season, dialing back his slider usage significantly for more four-seam fastballs and changeups. The changeup proved to be a big swing-and-miss pitch for him (50.6 Whiff% per Statcast) -- he still threw his slider, but the changeup became his primary secondary pitch behind the four-seamer. In total, the southpaw pitched just 95 innings last season, but if healthy, he should approach his career high of 149.1 innings set in 2021. Entering his age-27 season, Skubal will face an uphill battle every time he takes the ball for Detroit, but his skills are enticing. Read Past Outlooks
Comes up short in first loss
Skubal (6-1) took the loss Wednesday as the Tigers were downed 8-3 by the Royals, giving up four runs on six hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
In a matchup of elite southpaws, Skubal wasn't able to keep pace with Cole Ragans and failed to complete six innings for only the second time this season in 10 starts, while tying his season high in runs allowed. Skubal also served up a solo shot to Nelson Velazquez in the fourth inning, just the fourth homer off him in 60 innings. Skubal will take a 2.25 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and 72:10 K:BB into his next outing, which lines up to come at home next week against the Pirates.
In a matchup of elite southpaws, Skubal wasn't able to keep pace with Cole Ragans and failed to complete six innings for only the second time this season in 10 starts, while tying his season high in runs allowed. Skubal also served up a solo shot to Nelson Velazquez in the fourth inning, just the fourth homer off him in 60 innings. Skubal will take a 2.25 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and 72:10 K:BB into his next outing, which lines up to come at home next week against the Pirates.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-18%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .202 | 35 | 6 | 36 | 2 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .217 | 256 | 50 | 167 | 15 | |||
2024vs Left | .158 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | .193 | 59 | 7 | 35 | 4 | |||
2023vs Left | .125 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | |||
2023vs Right | .210 | 98 | 12 | 53 | 3 | |||
2022vs Left | .250 | 18 | 1 | 25 | 1 | |||
2022vs Right | .234 | 99 | 31 | 79 | 8 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-26%
ERA at Home
2024
-29%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 2.55 | 1.00 | 127.0 | 9.9 | 2.3 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.44 | 1.01 | 131.0 | 10.4 | 1.6 | ||||
2024Home | 2.61 | 0.97 | 31.0 | 9.6 | 2.3 | ||||
2024Away | 1.86 | 0.72 | 29.0 | 12.1 | 0.6 | ||||
2023Home | 1.37 | 0.79 | 39.1 | 13.5 | 1.6 | ||||
2023Away | 4.17 | 1.00 | 41.0 | 9.4 | 1.5 | ||||
2022Home | 3.34 | 1.16 | 56.2 | 7.6 | 2.9 | ||||
2022Away | 3.69 | 1.15 | 61.0 | 10.2 | 2.1 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
7.20K/9
10.8BB/9
1.5HR/9
0.6Fastball
96.5 mphERA
2.25WHIP
0.85BABIP
.276GB/FB
1.29Left On Base
74.9%Exit Velocity
81.5 mphBarrels/BBE
3.8%Spin Rate
2043 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
19.6%Swinging Strike
15.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tarik Skubal See More
Dig into the latest Cy Young odds and MLB MVP odds as Adam Warner breaks down the current MLB awards races. Is Detroit's Tarik Skubal primed to run away with the AL Cy Young?
Chris Sale of the Atlanta Braves heads a great group of two-start pitchers in Todd Zola's Weekly Pitcher Rankings.
Zac Gallen and the Arizona Diamondbacks host the Detroit Tigers in the desert, and John Bollman fires off his expert MLB Best Bets and Picks for Saturday, May 18.
One of the hottest pitchers in baseball, Yoshinobu Yamamoto is on the bump twice this week for the Los Angeles Dodgers and he’s leading off Todd Zola’s Weekly Pitcher Rankings.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Early favorite for AL Cy Young
Skubal was the top vote getter in the American League for MLB.com's latest poll for the Cy Young Award.
ANALYSIS
The left-hander received first-place votes from 32 of 41 respondents, which is well earned given his 2.02 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and 60:8 K:BB across 49 innings. Skubal posted a 2.80 ERA and 11.4 K/9 last season, so the production should be sustainable, though he was limited to just 80.1 frames while recovering from 2022 flexor tendon surgery. Workload is the only real concern at this point, as he's topped out at 149.1 innings during a single season in his professional career.
The left-hander received first-place votes from 32 of 41 respondents, which is well earned given his 2.02 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and 60:8 K:BB across 49 innings. Skubal posted a 2.80 ERA and 11.4 K/9 last season, so the production should be sustainable, though he was limited to just 80.1 frames while recovering from 2022 flexor tendon surgery. Workload is the only real concern at this point, as he's topped out at 149.1 innings during a single season in his professional career.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Skubal appeared to be in the middle of a breakout campaign in 2022, but the lefty was unfortunately shut down in early August with left arm fatigue, and he subsequently underwent flexor tendon surgery. Before getting shut down, Skubal had posted a 3.52 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with 117 strikeouts across 117.2 innings. His K/9 dipped from 9.88 in 2021 to 8.95 in 2022, but his numbers were otherwise better across the board, including an impressive 2.95 FIP. Skubal will only be 24 years old when the 2023 season begins, so there's still plenty of potential here down the road, but he's expected to begin the year on the injured list and miss a decent chunk of time. Fantasy managers in standard leagues will want to keep an eye on Skubal, and he could be a decent pickup when he returns, though the Tigers will undoubtedly be cautious with him. He does have more value in keeper and dynasty formats, where his outlook beyond 2023 looks brighter.
More Fantasy News
Six shutout innings for sixth win
Skubal (6-0) allowed just one hit and struck out six over six shutout innings to earn the win Friday over the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Improves to 5-0
Skubal (5-0) earned the win over Houston on Saturday, allowing two runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out seven batters over 6.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Dominates with 12 Ks
Skubal did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing two runs on six hits over six innings against the Yankees. He struck out 12.
ANALYSIS
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Another impressive start
Skubal (4-0) earned the win Sunday, allowing one run on four hits and one walk over seven innings against the Royals. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Dazzles in victory
Skubal (3-0) earned the win Monday against the Rays, allowing three hits and no walks over six shutout innings. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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