Nelson Velazquez

Nelson Velazquez

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Kansas City Royals
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Velazquez played in just 13 games for the Cubs in 2023 before being shipped to the Royals at the trade deadline, and he appeared in 40 games over the final two months of the year. The 25-year-old showed off his power with 17 home runs plus 35 runs and 34 RBI in just 179 plate appearances overall. He improved his strikeout rate three points from his first look in MLB during 2022, though it was still high at 28.5 percent, and he had a solid 8.0 percent walk rate. A 21.4 percent barrel rate trailed only Aaron Judge among players with at least 170 plate appearances, while a 32.1 HR/FB led the league in the same sample size. All of those figures are clearly unsustainable, but Velazquez's power potential is obvious with 23 homers in his first 130 MLB games. He should have plenty of at-bats for Kansas City in 2024, and he appears to be a safe bet for double-digit and possibly 20-plus homers, though the swing-and-miss in Velazquez's stroke still leaves plenty of risk despite the clear upside. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#307
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Royals in February of 2024.
Clubs pair of homers
OFKansas City Royals
May 29, 2024
Velazquez went 2-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI in Wednesday's 6-1 win over the Twins.
ANALYSIS
Velazquez looks to be regaining his power swing with four homers over his last seven contests. He's still lacking in overall consistency at the plate -- he was hitless in his previous three games before his strong effort Wednesday. The 25-year-old is up to seven long balls on the year while adding 19 RBI, 24 runs scored, one stolen base and a .224/.292/.410 slash line over 47 contests. Velazquez is seeing steady playing time between the corner outfield spots and designated hitter.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
5
19
2
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
7
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+36%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+26%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .729 191 29 9 20 0 .204 .304 .425
Since 2022vs Right .755 365 50 21 59 6 .229 .288 .467
2024vs Left .707 55 8 1 4 0 .234 .345 .362
2024vs Right .698 116 16 6 15 1 .220 .267 .431
2023vs Left .708 54 9 4 7 0 .184 .259 .449
2023vs Right .966 125 26 13 27 0 .257 .320 .646
2022vs Left .756 82 12 4 9 0 .197 .305 .451
2022vs Right .599 124 8 2 17 5 .211 .274 .325
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+117%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+27%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .831 287 43 17 46 3 .243 .314 .517
Since 2022Away .657 269 36 13 33 3 .197 .271 .385
2024Home .742 80 13 3 8 0 .250 .325 .417
2024Away .668 91 11 4 11 1 .202 .264 .405
2023Home 1.111 114 26 13 28 0 .297 .368 .743
2023Away .512 65 9 4 6 0 .131 .185 .328
2022Home .574 93 4 1 10 3 .174 .237 .337
2022Away .731 113 16 5 16 2 .232 .327 .404
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Stat Review
How does Nelson Velazquez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.27
 
BB Rate
7.6%
 
K Rate
28.7%
 
BABIP
.280
 
ISO
.186
 
AVG
.224
 
OBP
.292
 
SLG
.410
 
OPS
.703
 
wOBA
.310
 
Exit Velocity
88.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
30.8%
 
Barrels/PA
4.1%
 
Expected BA
.218
 
Expected SLG
.389
 
Sprint Speed
24.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
34.6%
 
Line Drive %
15.9%
 
Fly Ball %
49.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nelson Velazquez See More
Lineup Lowdown: American League
Yesterday
Julio Rodriguez of the Seattle Mariners has moved up and down the batting order, and Ryan Boyer breaks down how he's doing as well as all the American League teams in this week's Lineup Lowdown.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
4 days ago
Erik Siegrist sifts through the free-agent options in the American League as Tigers prospect Colt Keith shows signs of figuring things out in the majors.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Home Cooking
5 days ago
Yordan Alvarez and the Houston Astros get to take aim at all right-handers next week, and Todd Zola delivers his Weekly Hitter Rankings with some teams having favorable matchups on their upcoming schedule.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Hotlanta Heating Up
12 days ago
The potent Atlanta Braves lineup has underperformed thus far in May, but with seven games this week Todd Zola projects them to break out in his Weekly Hitter Rankings.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: In Houston, Offense Isn't the Problem
19 days ago
Juan Soto has six games against right-handers this week, and he’s a player to keep an eye on. Todd Zola steps in the box for the Weekly Hitter Rankings.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Likely ticketed for minors
OFChicago Cubs
March 12, 2023
Patrick Mooney of The Athletic believes Velazquez could begin 2023 in the minors in order to receive consistent playing time.
ANALYSIS
The 24-year-old made his MLB debut last year and had a .659 OPS and 31.6 percent strikeout rate in 77 games. Velazquez would likely serve as a No. 4 outfielder for the big-league club given the offseason additions of Cody Bellinger and Trey Mancini, and seeing regular playing time with Triple-A Iowa could be more beneficial for his development. Regardless, Velazquez shouldn't be expected to have much of a fantasy impact in 2023, at least while the group of current outfielders remains with the club and healthy.
See All MLB Rumors
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Velazquez made his MLB debut in 2022 at the age of 23 and showed some flashes of potential, though it was mostly a struggle overall. He hit six home runs and drove in 26 across 77 games while stealing five bases in seven attempts. However, he also struck out nearly 32 percent of the time, which isn't surprising for a rookie, and his .205 batting average and .286 on-base percentage leave plenty to be desired. With the Cubs in rebuilding mode, Velazquez could get a longer look in 2023 despite his early scuffles. Ian Happ, Christopher Morel and Seiya Suzuki project as the three starting outfielders, but Velazquez could back up any of those players, and he also has a path to playing time at DH, particularly with veteran catcher Willson Contreras no longer around. Velazquez may struggle to hit for a high average, but if he can get to double figures in home runs and steals, there may be some fantasy value here.
More Fantasy News
Homer, double in win
OFKansas City Royals
May 25, 2024
Velazquez went 2-for-5 with a solo home run, an RBI double and two total runs scored in Saturday's 7-4 extra-innings win over the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Knocks homer
OFKansas City Royals
May 22, 2024
Velazquez went 1-for-2 with a solo home run, two walks and two total runs scored in Wednesday's 8-3 win over the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Tuesday
OFKansas City Royals
May 21, 2024
Velazquez is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Taking seat Monday
OFKansas City Royals
May 20, 2024
Velazquez is not in the lineup for Monday's game against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Retreats to bench Wednesday
OFKansas City Royals
May 15, 2024
Velazquez is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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