1.  
Rush Att
256
Rush Yds
1229
Rush TD
11
Rush Avg
4.8
Rec
68
Rec Yds
537
Rec TD
4
Rec Avg
7.9
McCaffrey was the consensus RB1 and first fantasy pick from 2019 to 2021, but injuries in 2020 and 2021 left his ranking up for review after two dud years. That didn't last long. Not only has McCaffrey's health cooperated the last two years, he now has the privilege of playing in a top-three offense. Even with sky-high usage the last two years (516 carries, 152 receptions), McCaffrey's efficiency was at/near a league-leading level (5.0 yards per carry, 6.8 yards per target). Volume is normally a slight downward pressure on efficiency -- the more a defense expects you, the better they tend to defend you -- but McCaffrey has been unstoppable in San Francisco no matter how aggressively opponents try to slow him. While his previous injury troubles raise the understandable fear of similar problems occurring in the future, McCaffrey's overall track record of availability (79 percent of possible games) is about normal for a heavily used RB. Rather than fretting over McCaffrey's past injuries, the more useful frame would be to consider that injuries are likely the only way for any other running back to catch him in the fantasy rankings. That's a statement that would apply to very few running backs throughout history, as a talent like McCaffrey in a scheme like San Francisco's yields an almost perfect projection.
2.  
RB  NYJ
Rush Att
270
Rush Yds
1244
Rush TD
9
Rush Avg
4.6
Rec
55
Rec Yds
408
Rec TD
2
Rec Avg
7.4
Hall's career has largely been defined by starts and stops due to his 2022 ACL tear and the constant shenanigans of the Jets offense. Even so, the verdict is clear: Hall is a star. His combination of speed, power, vision and receiving ability make him capable of finishing as the top fantasy running back multiple times before his career concludes. When entertaining upside scenarios, it's difficult to rule anything out. He's averaged 4.8 YPC to this point in his career and appears capable of leading the league in rushing, yet his 76 receptions from 2023 imply he can also lead NFL running backs in receiving production. Perhaps both in the same season is on the table? Hall should be in much better circumstances this year, assuming 40-year-old QB Aaron Rodgers isn't totally cooked after suffering an Achilles' tear last season. The Jets improved the rest of their offense this offseason, signing LT Tyron Smith and WR Mike Williams, trading for RT Morgan Moses and then drafting OT Ola Fashanu (first round) and WR Malachi Corley (third round). They've now got both depth and high-end talent along the offensive line, a unit that was hard-hit by injuries last year and ultimately had 10 players top 200 snaps. With a better team around him and another year removed from the ACL tear, Hall may be headed for a truly special season.
3.  
WR  DAL
Rec
115
Rec Yds
1455
Rec TD
8
Rec Avg
12.7
Rush Att
15
Rush Yds
82
Rush TD
1
Rush Avg
5.5
Lamb has improved upon his totals for targets, catches, yards and touchdowns with each passing year since the Cowboys drafted him 17th overall in 2020, peaking last season as the highest-scoring wide receiver for both PPR and standard scoring. He finished at WR5/6 overall in 2022, then took a massive leap forward last season with 25 more targets and 390 more receiving yards while posting career highs for catch rate (74.6 percent) and yards per target (9.7). In addition to leading the NFL in catches and targets, Lamb tied for third among WRs with 14 carries and took them for 113 yards and two touchdowns (14 TDs total). Many of his peripheral stats were similar to previous years (e.g. 9.3 aDOT, 5.1 YAC average) but he was targeted on a career-high 28.3 percent of his routes and caught nearly three-fourths of those passes even though defenses knew what was coming. While neither particularly big (6-2. 200) nor fast (4.50), Lamb is silky-smooth both before and after the catch and seems to have an innate understanding of footwork and angles like DeAndre Hopkins or Isaac Bruce. If there's one possible criticism, it's that Lamb was a bit more volume-reliant than fellow elite WR1 Tyreek Hill, who ran 193 fewer routes but was targeted on an incredible 38.2 percent of them. Even that's just nitpicking, though, as Lamb had the sixth-highest target rate over the seventh most routes (641)., i.e., he can afford to lose some volume in 2024 and still be a high-end WR1.
4.  
WR  MIA
Rec
108
Rec Yds
1486
Rec TD
9
Rec Avg
13.8
Rush Att
5
Rush Yds
36
Rush TD
0
Rush Avg
7.2
Hill is the first player ever with multiple seasons of 1,700 receiving yards, having done it in both of his first two years with the Dolphins. He was on pace for a record-breaking 2,098 yards (and 17 TDs) through Week 13 last season, but then a Week 14 ankle injury cost him part of one game and all of another, derailing his MVP candidacy in the process. Coach Mike McDaniel's offense has proven even more fantasy-friendly than the Reid/Mahomes partnership Hill had in Kansas City, with the wideout playing fewer snaps than other top receivers (43.4 per game last year) but drawing targets on an unprecedented share of his routes. Last year, Hill was targeted on 38.2 percent of routes, putting him miles ahead of second-place Davante Adams (31.5). The year before, Hill was a bit lower at 34.0 percent, though still the NFL leader among players with 400 or more routes. Coming off the field on a semi-regular basis allows the league's fastest player to keep his leagues fresh and exert all his energy on each route he runs. Hill has missed just seven games in eight seasons despite heavy usage, and he doesn't seem to have lost a step ahead of his age-30 campaign, setting him up to again lead one of the league's most explosive offenses alongside QB Tua Tagovailoa and WR Jaylen Waddle.
5.  
RB  ATL
Rush Att
247
Rush Yds
1140
Rush TD
8
Rush Avg
4.6
Rec
56
Rec Yds
418
Rec TD
2
Rec Avg
7.5
Tyler Allgeier is a good running back, but it wasn't reasonable for Robinson to only see 214 carries to Allgeier's 186 carries last season. Atlanta team ownership presumably agreed, because previous head coach Arthur Smith was fired and the new coach Raheem Morris likely has an understanding that Robinson's inconsistent 2023 usage was a big reason Smith was fired. If Robinson's rushing workload increases then it could hold explosive results for his fantasy value, especially with Kirk Cousins arriving at quarterback. Robinson is already one of the league's better pass catchers at running back (86 targets last year) yet his efficiency numbers were badly dragged down by Desmond Ridder and Taylor Heinicke. Robinson will likely improve on the 67.4 percent catch rate and 5.8 yards per target figure he had last year, and if that occurs at the same time as a rushing production surge then Robinson would have a clear path to finish the 2024 season not just as a fantasy RB1 in general, but maybe even the top fantasy back in the entire NFL.
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