Chisholm has channeled his athleticism to become one of the league's best power-speed combos. The power and speed weren't in doubt as he progressed through the minors. The question was whether he had enough plate discipline and contact skills to get on base. Those doubts were front and center in 2020 when his strikeout rate was over 30% and he posted a .242 OBP. While he barely lowered his strikeouts, his .319 BABIP helped push his OBP over .300. He didn't end the season on a high note with a .278 OBP in the second half (.258 OBP in September). Pitchers started adjusting to him by throwing him fewer fastballs (48% to 45%) and fewer pitches in the strike zone. While he has problems getting on base, his power and speed stayed elite with his avgEV up from 87.1 mph in 2020 to 90.2 mph and his sprint speed ranking in the 94th percentile.
Ugly 2020 surface stats masked interesting skills and made Rogers a sleeper pick for many heading into the 2021 season. Those who took the chance were handsomely rewarded. Rogers posted a sparkling 2.64 ERA over 25 starts, and his 28.5 K% was backed up by a 14.1 SwStr% (12th in MLB, min. 120 innings). The lefty comfortably sits in the mid-90s with his four-seam fastball and pulls the string on his changeup about a quarter of the time. The league flailed at the change, batting a combined .193 with one homer and 47 strikeouts against the pitch. His third offering -- the slider -- had a whiff rate north of 40%, per Statcast, and further development of that pitch could propel Rogers toward the top of the SP rankings. Even as is, he's more than capable as a starter, and the cozy confines of Marlins Park help his cause. Thankfully the "sleeper" label still sort of applies despite the breakout already happening.
After a disappointing 2020 season, Reynolds bounced back in a major way. Reynolds and Juan Soto were the only two hitters in 2021 with a batting average north of .300 to go along with more than 90 runs, 90 RBI, 20 homers and five steals. Both his strikeouts (18.4 K%) and BABIP (.345) improved. While he has just been in the league for three seasons, Reynolds has developed a good, not great profile. He's not a zero in any one category, but fantasy managers are always looking for more than roughly 25 homers and five stolen bases. His walk rate jumped to a career-high 11.6% as pitchers no longer throw him fastballs (49% to 46% to 44%). As a switch hitter, he's been better against righties (.874 OPS), but not a drag against lefties (.817 OPS). His near-.300 average is the key for his fantasy value. We saw in 2020 what the downside looks like, but at the same time, there aren't any obvious holes in his game.