NASCAR Draft Kit: 2025 Driver Projections

Driver projections for the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season from Mark Taylor who thinks Christopher Bell could be in for a big year. Check out the sortable projections now.

January 6, 2025

NASCAR Draft Kit: 2025 Driver Projections

By:

Mark Taylor

January 6, 2025

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The following are our driver projections for the 2025 season.

Click column headings to sort.

RANK	DRIVER	WINS	POLES	LAPS LED	TOP 5	TOP 10
1	Kyle Larson	5	5	1,625	15	22
2	Ryan Blaney	4	2	643	15	21
3	William Byron	3	3	478	13	20
4	Christopher Bell	3	4	1,115	12	19
5	Denny Hamlin	3	3	975	12	18
6	Tyler Reddick	2	3	515	12	18
7	Joey Logano	3	3	412	11	17
8	Chase Elliott	1	1	457	9	16
9	Alex Bowman	1	2	98	8	15
10	Brad Keselowski	1	1	349	8	15
11	Chris Buescher	1	1	279	7	14
12	Ross Chastain	1	1	378	6	14
13	Ty Gibbs	1	2	425	6	14
14	Kyle Busch	1	1	328	6	12
15	Chase Briscoe	1	2	255	5	11
16	Bubba Wallace	0	1	177	5	11
17	AJ Allmendinger	1	0	72	4	10
18	Austin Cindric	0	0	179	4	10
19	Daniel Suarez	1	0	175	3	9
20	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	1	0	45	3	8
21	Carson Hocevar	0	0	22	2	8
22	Noah Gragson	0	0	25	2	7
23	Riley Herbst	0	0	129	2	6
24	Michael McDowell	1	0	45	2	6
25	Josh Berry	0	0	68	1	5
26	Shane van Gisbergen	1	1	155	2	5
27	Austin Dillon	0	0	55	1	4
28	Ryan Preece	0	0	12	1	4
29	Cole Custer	0	0	56	1	4
30	Zane Smith	0	0	20	1	4
31	John Hunter Nemechek	0	0	42	0	4
32	Todd Gilliland	0	0	35	1	3
33	Erik Jones	0	0	10	0	2
34	Justin Haley	0	0	45	0	2
35	Ty Dillon	0	0	21	0	2
36	Kaz Grala	0	0	0	0	0
37	Cody Ware	0	0	5	0	0
38	J.J. Yeley	0	0	2	0	0
39	Jimmie Johnson	0	0	0	0	0
40	B.J. McLeod	0	0	3	0	0

The following are our driver projections for the 2025 season.

Click column headings to sort.

RANK	DRIVER	WINS	POLES	LAPS LED	TOP 5	TOP 10
1	Kyle Larson	5	5	1,625	15	22
2	Ryan Blaney	4	2	643	15	21
3	William Byron	3	3	478	13	20
4	Christopher Bell	3	4	1,115	12	19
5	Denny Hamlin	3	3	975	12	18
6	Tyler Reddick	2	3	515	12	18
7	Joey Logano	3	3	412	11	17
8	Chase Elliott	1	1	457	9	16
9	Alex Bowman	1	2	98	8	15
10	Brad Keselowski	1	1	349	8	15
11	Chris Buescher	1	1	279	7	14
12	Ross Chastain	1	1	378	6	14
13	Ty Gibbs	1	2	425	6	14
14	Kyle Busch	1	1	328	6	12
15	Chase Briscoe	1	2	255	5	11
16	Bubba Wallace	0	1	177	5	11
17	AJ Allmendinger	1	0	72	4	10
18	Austin Cindric	0	0	179	4	10
19	Daniel Suarez	1	0	175	3	9
20	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	1	0	45	3	8
21	Carson Hocevar	0	0	22	2	8
22	Noah Gragson	0	0	25	2	7
23	Riley Herbst	0	0	129	2	6
24	Michael McDowell	1	0	45	2	6
25	Josh Berry	0	0	68	1	5
26	Shane van Gisbergen	1	1	155	2	5
27	Austin Dillon	0	0	55	1	4
28	Ryan Preece	0	0	12	1	4
29	Cole Custer	0	0	56	1	4
30	Zane Smith	0	0	20	1	4
31	John Hunter Nemechek	0	0	42	0	4
32	Todd Gilliland	0	0	35	1	3
33	Erik Jones	0	0	10	0	2
34	Justin Haley	0	0	45	0	2
35	Ty Dillon	0	0	21	0	2
36	Kaz Grala	0	0	0	0	0
37	Cody Ware	0	0	5	0	0
38	J.J. Yeley	0	0	2	0	0
39	Jimmie Johnson	0	0	0	0	0
40	B.J. McLeod	0	0	3	0	0

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Mark Taylor

Author

Taylor is RotoWire's senior NASCAR writer. A nine-time FSWA finalist, Taylor was named the Racing Writer of the Year in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2016 and 2017. He is also a military historian, focused specifically on World War II and the U.S. Navy's efforts in the Pacific.