Logan Gilbert

Logan Gilbert

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Seattle Mariners
2023 Fantasy Outlook
The underlying stats of 2021 gave us enough positive signs that 2022 could be a big year for the sophomore hurler, and that is precisely what we saw from the young righty. Gilbert pitched with poise and polish normally not seen in a 25-year old pitcher as he commanded his fastball and flung five different pitches at hitters preferring to keep them off-balance over always pursuing the strikeout. His four-seam fastball has an above-average whiff rate due to the combination of velocity and extension on the pitch while none of his other offerings possess even an average whiff rate. His fastball command is what makes or breaks the approach and he will go places if he continues to pitch as he did in 2022. The flyball-heavy results leave him somewhat prone to the long ball and it will be interesting to see how the new balanced schedule impacts him as he had a 2.69 ERA against the bottom feeders of the AL West and a 3.45 ERA against the rest of the league. We also do not know how the near 70 inning increase in workload will impact him as it was a significant increase over his previous professional seasons. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year contract with the Mariners in March of 2022.
Goes eight innings in no-decision
PSeattle Mariners
September 30, 2022
Gilbert allowed a run on three hits and two walks while striking out four over eight innings in a no-decision versus the Athletics on Friday.
ANALYSIS
Gilbert pitched well enough to win, but he didn't get the necessary run support. He allowed more than one run just once in six starts in September, yielding eight runs across 36 innings in that span for an ERA of 2.00. His gem Friday lowered his season ERA to 3.20 with a 1.18 WHIP and 174:49 K:BB through 185.2 innings across 32 starts. He is tentatively lined up for one more regular-season start during next week's series versus the Tigers, though the Mariners may opt to hold him in reserve if he figures into their playoff rotation.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2022 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Logan Gilbert generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Logan Gilbert generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-27%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .216 580 151 46 114 29 2 10
Since 2020vs Right .263 689 151 31 168 42 3 26
2022vs Left .201 348 94 29 63 16 2 5
2022vs Right .276 418 80 20 107 25 1 14
2021vs Left .239 232 57 17 51 13 0 5
2021vs Right .243 271 71 11 61 17 2 12
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.85 1.15 147.1 6 8 0 8.8 1.5 1.1
Since 2020Away 3.71 1.20 157.2 13 3 0 9.0 3.0 1.0
2022Home 3.25 1.14 83.0 5 5 0 8.2 1.6 0.9
2022Away 3.16 1.21 102.2 8 1 0 8.6 3.0 1.0
2021Home 4.62 1.17 64.1 1 3 0 9.5 1.4 1.4
2021Away 4.75 1.18 55.0 5 2 0 9.8 2.9 1.1
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Logan Gilbert compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.55
 
K/9
8.4
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
96.2 mph
 
ERA
3.20
 
WHIP
1.18
 
BABIP
.302
 
GB/FB
1.09
 
Left On Base
76.9%
 
Exit Velocity
81.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.9%
 
Spin Rate
2142 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.1%
 
Swinging Strike
11.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Gilbert came out of a tiny pitching factory school in DeLand, Florida, which had already given us both Corey Kluber and Jacob deGrom, and began his efforts to make a name for himself. He made all of one start in Triple-A before coming up to stay in the big leagues and was as impressive as one could realistically expect in his rookie season. His high flyball rate led to more homers than we like to see from starters, but a 19.9 K-BB% as a rookie was impressive. He held the league to a .239 average and had a 1.17 WHIP, but the ERA was higher than expected. In fact, only seven other pitchers have ever posted an ERA over 4.00 with supporting stats such as the ones Gilbert had last season. Two of them also happened in 2021: Aaron Nola and Yu Darvish. Gilbert's big jump in workload increase is something to consider, not to mention there will be additional growing pains in that division.
Gilbert's stock has been steadily trending up over the past couple years, and that trend continued in 2020 at the Mariners' alternate training site. The 6-foot-6, 225-pound righty's fastball is one of the most effective pitches in the minors. It sits in the mid-90s (touches 97) and plays like a 70-grade pitch due to command, extension and riding life. If he can locate that pitch against big-league hitters, he will be successful. His changeup, curveball and slider all have above-average to plus potential, but they will play up even more than that due to the quality of his fastball. His fastball and changeup, specifically, have noticeably improved over the past calendar year. While he is more of a bat misser than a weak contact inducer, once he gets ahead in the count, hitters struggle to square stuff up because they have to be ready for the cheese. He should join Seattle's rotation early this season.
If we just listed Gilbert's arsenal, the hype would be moderate, but his statistical output in his first pro season led to significant excitement in dynasty leagues. The 6-foot-6 righty's low-to-mid-90s fastball plays up as a plus pitch due to excellent extension, but that is his lone 60-grade pitch. He throws two breaking balls that are solid and a changeup that is usable, but even if he developed plus command, Gilbert's ceiling is capped as a mid-rotation starter. He has the frame (225 pounds) to eat innings, and after logging nine starts at Double-A, he could make his big-league debut this summer if he continues to face little resistance in the minors. A No. 3 starter who can throw 180-plus innings is a valuable commodity in redraft leagues, but time and again prospects with that profile end up falling short of that projection for one reason or another. This is a good time to cash him out.
More Fantasy News
Not sharp but takes no-decision
PSeattle Mariners
September 24, 2022
Gilbert allowed five runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out three batters over five innings in a no-decision against Kansas City on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Punches out 11 in win
PSeattle Mariners
September 19, 2022
Gilbert (13-6) allowed one run on four hits and a walk over six innings Monday, striking out 11 and earning a win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Tough-luck loser
PSeattle Mariners
September 13, 2022
Gilbert (12-6) took the loss during Tuesday's 2-0 defeat at the hands of the Padres, allowing one run on four hits and three walks with five strikeouts in five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Excellent again Tuesday
PSeattle Mariners
September 6, 2022
Gilbert (12-5) allowed five hits and hit one batter with a pitch while striking out nine over six shutout innings to earn the win Tuesday over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant against Tigers
PSeattle Mariners
September 1, 2022
Gilbert (11-5) allowed two hits and one walk while striking out nine across six scoreless innings to earn the win Thursday against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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