DraftKings MLB: Saturday Picks

DraftKings MLB: Saturday Picks

This article is part of our DraftKings MLB series.

PITCHER

Steven Matz, NYM vs. ATL ($10,900): Virtually any lefty going against the Braves is worthy of serious consideration, and when it's a quality southpaw the likes of Matz, the appeal grows exponentially. Atlanta seems to only get worse against left-handed pitching as the season goes on, as they now sport a .257 wOBA and 0.75 ISO versus that handedness, while striking out 22.8 percent of the time. Matz stumbled a bit in his last start against the Brewers, but he could certainly be due for a nice turnaround and potential double-digit strikeouts against the most inept offensive squad in the majors.

Tyler Chatwood, COL at MIA ($8,400): Chatwood has been stymieing road opponents with his highly convincing Cy Young impression all season, generating a microscopic 0.65 ERA, .204 wOBA and .168 average against in games away from Coors Field. The Marlins have been middle-of-the-pack versus right-handed pitching, and Chatwood has scored 21.5, 33.6 and 26.4 fantasy points in three of his last four road starts. With a matchup in a ballpark that's still generally favorable towards pitchers despite some recent adjustments, he offers solid upside at a nice savings over the top-tier options.

CATCHER

Buster Posey, SF at TB ($4,300): The Giants backstop has been swinging a hot bat, with double-digit fantasy points in three of his last four and nine fantasy points on Friday. He'll draw the homer-prone Matt Moore, who, despite a very strong showing in his last start, has still surrendered a whopping 14 homers over 76.2 innings this season. Half of those have come at Tropicana Field, and he's yielded a .344 wOBA, 11 homers and a 35.6 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters overall. Posey has a .385 wOBA versus southpaws that climbs to .396 when facing them on the road, and he is boasting a .343 wOBA in June.

Brian McCann, NYY at MIN ($3,700): McCann is a cost savings option over Posey, offering the chance to enjoy a $600 upgrade elsewhere. He's had a rough go of it this season but could well be worth a flyer in a matchup against Ricky Nolasco. McCann has a robust 62 at-bat history against the Twins starter, against whom he's slashed .339/.354/.806 with a whopping eight homers and 24 RBI. Nolasco has given up a .320 wOBA and 35.6 percent hard contact rate to lefty bats as well this season.

FIRST BASE

Kendrys Morales, KC vs. DET ($2,900) Morales is still flying considerably under the radar given his season-long struggles, but he has been coming out of his offensive malaise over the last 10 games. The veteran is working on a modest six-game hitting streak and is sporting a .314/.400/.514 line with two homers and five RBI over the last 10 games. The switch hitter also has a .387 wOBA, .220 ISO and 34.9 percent hard contact rate versus southpaws and has decimated Tigers starter Matt Boyd over nine career at-bats, touching him up to the tune of a .667/.667/1.333 line with a double, triple, homer and five RBI. Morales has feasted on Tigers pitchers in general this season, averaging 10.4 fantasy points against them over 16 at-bats.

SECOND BASE

Neil Walker, NYM vs. ATL ($4,300): Walker provides an opportunity to pick on hapless Braves starter Aaron Blair, who's given up a .409 wOBA and 6.79 xFIP to left-handed hitters, while the switch-hitting Walker has a solid .329 wOBA and nine of his 14 homers on the season from the left side of the plate.

THIRD BASE

Nolan Arenado, COL at MIA ($4,700): Any time you can grab Arenado at a fair price in any stadium against a pitcher prone to giving up the long ball, he's worthy of strong consideration. Such is the case Saturday, when the Rockies' third baseman is available at a significant discount over the likes of Josh Donaldson ($5,600) and Manny Machado ($5,400). Arenado's bat carries as much upside as anyone, as evidenced by his major league-leading 20 homers and his five games over the last 10 with double-digit fantasy points. Chen has allowed 14 of his 15 homers on the season to right-handed hitters, and he seems to be faltering as the season goes on, yielding a .388 wOBA over 17 June frames and giving up seven homers over that span. Arenado is boasting a whopping .420 wOBA and .299 ISO against southpaws this season as well, only furthering his appeal.

SHORTSTOP

Carlos Correa, HOU vs. CIN ($4,000): Correa represents an opportunity to try and capitalize on rookie Cody Reed's first major league start, as well as a league-worst bullpen that will likely receive some substantial work Saturday. The Astros' shortstop brings plenty of upside, with four double-digit fantasy point outings over the last 10 games, and the Reds' bullpen has given up a whopping 50 homers and 6.08 ERA over 245.2 innings this season as well.

OUTFIELD

Yoenis Cespedes, NYM vs. ATL ($4,900): Cespedes is another opportunity to exploit Aaron Blair's considerable struggles, as he's generated a .357 wOBA and .267 ISO against right-handed pitching, along with a 38.4 percent hard contact rate and 12 of his 16 homers this season. He's picking up steam lately as well, slashing .333/.386/.462 over his last 10 games, while averaging 7.8 fantasy points per game over that span.

Brett Eibner, KC vs. DET ($2,800): Eibner is fresh off the disabled list and is therefore priced at a discount relative to the production he was generating prior to his injury. The rookie actually put together a 2-for-4 performance in his first game back Thursday, with a homer and two RBI. He's hitting a stellar .381 over 21 at-bats this season, while Tigers starter Matt Boyd has struggled against right-handed hitters all season, yielding a .336 wOBA, five homers and 5.06 xFIP to righties this season, along with a 32.9 percent hard contact rate.

Albert Almora, Jr., CHC vs. PIT ($3,400): It's back-to-back hot-hitting rookies to close it out in the outfield, as Almora has continued to excel, posting back-to-back double-digit fantasy point games, and he is now hitting .429 over his first 21 at-bats. He draws a matchup against the homer-prone Jon Niese, who's surrendered a .377 wOBA and 12 of the 14 homers this year to right-handed hitters. Almora has demonstrated only modest power over his minor league career, but he provides a nice upside in a lineup that offers him some solid protection.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Juan Carlos Blanco
Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, NFL, CFL and Arena Football for Rotowire.com, including serving as the beat writer for teams in multiple sports. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports as well.
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