A pretty good week for some of the staff, but why dwell on that? This whole business of who's in first, who's in last - it's really a bit tiresome when you think about it. I say we take a week off from recapping the standings - no one will mind, I'm sure.
In any event, a strange slate of games with no home dogs, no point spreads above 7.5 and a few quarterback injuries causing extra uncertainty. We do have two consensus picks: the Lions and Packers.
Enjoy the games
|Bills +7.5 at Chiefs||Bills||Bills||Chiefs||Chiefs||Bills|
|Jaguars +6.5 at Cowboys||Cowboys||Cowboys||Cowboys||Jaguars||Jaguars|
|Panthers +3 at Rams||Rams||Rams||Panthers||Panthers||Panthers|
|Dolphins +2 at Bengals||Bengals||Dolphins||Bengals||Bengals||Bengals|
|Redskins +2 at Lions||Lions||Lions||Lions||Lions||Lions|
|Broncos +1 at 49ers||Broncos||Broncos||49ers||Broncos||Broncos|
|Packers +5.5 at Jets||Packers||Packers||Packers||Packers||Packers|
|Titans +3.5 at Chargers||Chargers||Titans||Chargers||Chargers||Chargers|
|Buccaneers +3 at Cardinals||Cardinals||Buccaneers||Cardinals||Buccaneers||Cardinals|
|Vikings +5 at Patriots||Vikings||Vikings||Patriots||Vikings||Vikings|
|Seahawks +2.5 at Raiders||Raiders||Raiders||Raiders||Seahawks||Raiders|
|Steelers pick 'em at Saints||Saints||Steelers||Saints||Saints||Steelers|
|Texans +5.5 at Colts||Colts||Texans||Colts||Colts||Texans|
|Last Week's Record||10-4||8-6||5-9||9-5||6-8|
|Best Bet Record||1-6||2-4-1||3-4||5-1-1||3-3-1|
|Consensus Pick Record||17-11-1|
This week we have two consensus picks: the Lions and Packers.
Last week we went 3-1 on consensus picks, putting us at 17-11-1 on the year. We finished 2009 at 19-23-1 on consensus picks, and were 24-19-2 on them in 2008.
|Erickson||Blech... There's a good chance for bloodshed with this slate. I thought about making the Cardinals my best bet. This is just their third home game of the year - I know that the QB situation is a mess, but I think the home field will make that defense a lot better at least.|
|Pianowski||I hate this slate about 500 different ways. If I have a winning record at the end of it, I'll breathe a sigh of relief.|
|Liss||Tough slate with no home dogs, but I like the Chargers, Cowboys and Saints this week. Warming up to the 49ers, too.|
|Stopa||I'm sticking with my plan of fading the public when it's a big disparity, and that means Saints, Chargers, Bengals and Lions. Interesting that the public is on the Redskins, but the line has moved 3 points in their favor since the opening. That suggests sharps bet big money on the Lions... It's a similar phenomenon with KC/Buf, as that line has gone down 3 points since opening even though a slight majority is on the Chiefs. But I see no way the Bills stop the Chiefs offense, and even coming off a loss, I'll sell the Bills high, at least their offense anyway... I like buying low on the Saints and Broncos and selling high on the Raiders and Titans. I also like how the line moved in Seattle's favor since it opened... The Bucs strike me as the type of team that can play a 17-16 game every week when they're facing similar competition, so I'll take the points there... I struggled with the Packers and Jaguars. Ultimately, I couldn't lay points with Jon Kitna and a Cowboys team that may quit on Wade Phillips, and if the Packers are the playoff team I think they are, they'll give the Jets a game.|
|Del Don||I struggled coming up with a best bet this week and ultimately went with Detroit, who seems like an odd favorite at 1-5 and playing a 4-3 Redskins team. I actually worry about the return of Matthew Stafford, but the Lions are coming off a bye, and Washington has plenty of fleas - its defense is on pace to allow the second most yards in NFL history, and Donovan McNabb has finished with a QB rating under 80.0 in six of seven games this season.|