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Staff Picks: Backing the Chiefs and Rams

Chris Liss

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.


It was another rough week for me, and no one except Pianow did particularly well. Stopa's still a couple games ahead in first place, with Pianow in second. But take a look at our consensus pick record - despite a poor showing overall, we went 2-1 on those to run our season record to 21-12-1. This week's are the Chiefs and Rams.

Enjoy the games.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Ravens +1 at Falcons Falcons Falcons Ravens Ravens Falcons
Lions +3 at Bills Lions Lions Lions Bills Lions
Jets -3 at Browns Browns Jets Browns Jets Browns
Panthers +7 at Buccaneers Buccaneers Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers
Bengals +7 at Colts Colts Colts Bengals Colts Colts
Titans -2 at Dolphins Dolphins Titans Dolphins Titans Titans
Vikings -1 at Bears Bears Vikings Bears Bears Bears
Texans +1.5 at Jaguars Texans Texans Texans Texans Jaguars
Chiefs -1 at Broncos Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
Rams +6 at 49ers Rams Rams Rams Rams Rams
Seahawks +3 at Cardinals Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Cardinals
Cowboys +14.5 at Giants Giants Cowboys Cowboys Giants Cowboys
Patriots +5 at Steelers Patriots Patriots Steelers Steelers Patriots
Eagles -3 at Redskins Redskins Eagles Redskins Eagles Eagles
Best Bet Dolphins Rams Redskins Rams Cowboys
Last Week's Record 5-7-1 8-4-1 3-9-1 4-8-1 6-6-1
2010 Record 66-59-5 68-57-5 60-65-5 70-55-5 64-61-5
Best Bet Record 2-6-1 3-5-1 5-4 5-3-1 4-4-1
Consensus Pick Record 21-12-1
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A


Consensus Picks

This week we have two consensus picks: the Rams and Chiefs.

Last week we went 2-1 on consensus picks, putting us at 21-12-1 on the year. We finished 2009 at 19-23-1 on consensus picks, and were 24-19-2 on them in 2008.

Comments:

WriterComment
EricksonEverything points the Titans way (getting Moss, Dolphins switching QBs), but Miami still has a good team with a good defense, and they're at home... I'm pretty comfortable with the Colts pick, too, sadly enough.
PianowskiSt. Louis remains one of the best values of the season, and they were an easy pick for me here. Otherwise, I hate the slate.
LissI love the way the Skins game sets up - Monday night home dog, Donovan McNabb motivated after last week and facing his old team, Eagles coming off a big win over the Colts.
Stopa I almost always respect the lines Vegas creates - they're incredibly good at what they do. That said, I don't understand Rams/Niners at all. The Niners are 2-6, playing a backup QB, and they're laying nearly a TD against a Rams team that looks like an 8-8 type of team, maybe 9-7 in that division. I think that line is at least two points too high, so I see a lot of value with the Rams... I also like the Seahawks. The Cardinals are overrated, as they've been skating by with return TDs... Speaking of overrated, the Vikings are a whisker from being 1-7 like the Cowboys, the only difference between them being the Vikes edged the Cowboys at home a few weeks ago and got a lucky win at home against a bad Cardinals team last week. If not for the crazy Rams line, I'd make the Bears my best bet... I can't put the Falcons among the NFL's elite until they shore up their pass defense - 7.9 YPA is awful, exceeded only by the Cowboys, Texans and Jaguars. As long as the Ravens game-plan to exploit that weakness, they'll win... Speaking of the Texans and Jags, everyone knows the Texans pass defense has been awful, but the Jags yield an incredible 8.7 YPA (nobody else is above 8.2). This feels like a game that a back-and-forth team like the Texans should win... I like the Colts coming off a loss with the line having moved in their favor... I'll sell the Browns high and buy the Jets low... It feels off that the 0-8 Bills are laying a FG, but they're a different team with Fitzpatrick at QB. Granted, the wins haven't come yet, but their last three games have all been respectable, three-point losses to prospective playoff teams - the Ravens, Chiefs, and Bears. The defense is still terrible, but the team they are, right now, is more like a 6-10 type of team than 0-8... The Panthers is purely a "fade the public" play... Starting Chad Pennington reeks of desperation, and Chris Johnson should go nuts with Randy Moss keeping the safeties honest... The Broncos can't stop the run, and that's what the Chiefs do well... The Steelers are due for a strong performance, and the Patriots have a lot more problems than their record reflects. I wouldn't be surprised to see them miss the playoffs.
Del DonI was close to making Indy my best bet, but ultimately, I backed Dallas, as that's an awful lot of points in a divisional matchup. Maybe the coaching change helps, and with the Cowboys coming off an undressing in primetime while the Giants just destroyed the Seahawks in Seattle, expect some natural regression.


The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: RotoWire Senior Staff Writer. 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Game Capsules and the Barometer. Covers the Eagles and roots for the 49ers.