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Staff Picks: Backing the Redskins, Bucs and Bills

Chris Liss

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

Congratulations to Jeff Erickson who went 10-4 against the spread last week. Unfortunately, he dropped a game in the standings to DDD, Pianow and me as we all went 11-3. Had you simply taken the games that a majority of us took, you'd have gone 12-1 ATS, losing only with Miami on Sam Bradford's roll-out two point conversion throw to Steven Jackson.

This week we have three consensus picks, the Redskins, Buccaneers and Bills.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Seahawks +7.5 at 49ers Seahawks Seahawks 49ers Seahawks Seahawks
Redskins +6 at Giants Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins
Cardinals +6 at Vikings Cardinals Vikings Vikings Vikings Cardinals
Cowboys -1.5 at Panthers Cowboys Panthers Panthers Cowboys Cowboys
Saints -2.5 at Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers
Packers -5 at Rams Rams Packers Rams Rams Rams
Ravens +7 at Texans Ravens Ravens Texans Ravens Ravens
Browns +3 at Colts Colts Browns Browns Browns Colts
Titans +3 at Bills Bills Bills Bills Bills Bills
Jets +11 at Patriots Jets Patriots Patriots Jets Patriots
Jaguars +4 at Raiders Raiders Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars
Steelers -1.5 at Bengals Bengals Steelers Bengals Steelers Steelers
Lions +6 at Bears Bears Lions Bears Lions Bears
Best Bet Buccaneers Redskins Bills Cowboys Colts
Last Week's Record 10-4 11-3 11-3 6-8 11-3
2012 Record 43-46-2 51-38-2 46-43-2 55-34-2 52-37-2
Best Bet Record 1-4-1 4-2 3-3 5-1 3-3
Consensus Pick Record 10-8-1
2011 Record 121-128-7 134-115-7 124-125-7 123-126-7 127-122-7
2010 Record 129-122-5 134-117-5 126-125-5 136-115-5 134-117-5
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have three consensus picks: the Redskins, Buccaneers and Bills. Last week we went 1-0 to put us at 10-8-1 on the season. Last year we were 30-24-2 on consensus picks.

Comments:

WriterComment
EricksonI'm not ready to give credit to the Saints as a road favorite in a division game just yet. That said, I hate this week's slate - my least favorite one so far this year. At least five or six of my picks were 50-50 calls... How much does organizational history matter in a division game? The Steelers have absolutely owned the Bengals, even (especially, maybe) in Paul Brown Stadium. But that defense isn't the same as previous models, particularly with Troy Polamalu out again... I feel like the line has overreacted to the Ravens' defensive injuries - my theory is they also have excellent coaching, which makes up some of the gap... I think home field matters a lot for the Colts, and for Andrew Luck specifically.
PianowskiI would have gone with the Patriots as the Best Bet had the line been a little lower. The Jets secondary is still pretty darn good when the opponent has 1-2 options to worry about, but New England is a quality and a quantity problem. You can't cover everybody.
LissLooks like I'm breaking up a couple would-be consensus picks with heavy favorites - the 49ers and Texans. My best bets are the Bills and Redskins.
Stopa Despite their 2-4 record, I still see Dallas as a playoff-caliber team. That means they'll take care of Carolina, probably the NFC's worst team... Everyone loves the Packers now, so I have to fade them. The Rams D has been really good, and I suspect they'll play more zone than the Texans did... I think the Bills are an 8-8 type of team, whereas the Titans are a 4-12 squad. I'm surprised Buffalo isn't giving a half-point hook... Losing LarDarius Webb is big, but isn't it possible whoever is replacing Ray Lewis is actually better at this stage of his career, and we just don't know it yet? That line moving to a TD seems like an overreaction... The Pats might rebound and blow out the Jets, but you're sure paying a premium if you think so... I bet DDD after Week 1 that the Bucs would win more games than the Saints, so if TB is getting points at home, I have to stick to my guns. Let's see if he does the same.
Del DonI liked about a half dozen games last week more than my "best bet" this week, so make of that what you will. Obviously, that means I found this week's slate particularly tough.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009 and 2011 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.