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Staff Picks: Backing the Lions, Titans, Jets and Seahawks

Chris Liss

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

DDD and I both went 10-6 last week, but it won't make a dent in Stopa's lead. DDD and Erickson (a Bengals fan) both like the Steelers as their best bets, and the other best bets (Lions, Seahawks and Jets) are consensus picks.

Happy Holidays.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Falcons -3.5 at Lions Lions Lions Lions Lions Lions
Titans +13 at Packers Titans Titans Titans Titans Titans
Raiders +9 at Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers Raiders
Bills +4 at Dolphins Dolphins Bills Bills Bills Bills
Bengals +3.5 at Steelers Steelers Bengals Bengals Bengals Steelers
Patriots -14.5 at Jaguars Patriots Jaguars Jaguars Patriots Patriots
Colts -7 at Chiefs Colts Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
Saints +2 at Cowboys Cowboys Saints Cowboys Saints Cowboys
Redskins -6.5 at Eagles Redskins Redskins Eagles Eagles Eagles
Rams +3 at Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers Rams Rams Rams
Vikings +8.5 at Texans Vikings Texans Texans Vikings Vikings
Chargers +1.5 at Jets Jets Jets Jets Jets Jets
Browns +13.5 at Broncos Broncos Browns Browns Broncos Browns
Bears -5.5 at Cardinals Bears Cardinals Cardinals Bears Bears
Giants -1.5 at Ravens Giants Ravens Giants Giants Ravens
49ers pick 'em at Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks
Best Bet Steelers Seahawks Lions Jets Steelers
Last Week's Record 7-9 7-9 10-6 8-8 10-6
2012 Record 96-123-5 108-111-5 106-113-5 128-91-5 112-107-5
Best Bet Record 3-10-2 11-4 6-9 8-7 10-5
Consensus Pick Record 20-26-1
2011 Record 121-128-7 134-115-7 124-125-7 123-126-7 127-122-7
2010 Record 129-122-5 134-117-5 126-125-5 136-115-5 134-117-5
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have four consensus picks: Lions, Titans, Jets and Seahawks. Last week we went 1-1 to put us at 20-26-1 on the season. Last year we were 30-24-2 on consensus picks.

Comments:

WriterComment
Erickson Consider this to be the paranoid Bengals fan pick - you get to buy lowest on the Steelers (well, almost lowest - not as low as when Roethlisberger was out) while the Bengals are riding high. I get that there are issues with Todd Haley vs. Big Ben, and Ike Taylor is out, blah blah blah. It's all figured into the line. I think there's too much institutional memory on both sides to overcome.
PianowskiWhile I fully respect the Niners, Seattle has perhaps the best home-field advantage in the league and it needs the game more.
LissI love the Lions at home off their embarrassing loss in Arizona. I like the slate as a whole, but none of the other games jumped out at me quite so much.
Stopa In Weeks 16 and 17, there are always teams that "need" to win, and the public loves to back such teams, but they've historically fallen flat. So I'll keep fading the Colts, sell Dallas high and fade the Washington hype machine... I've been fading the Ravens, and this was probably the week to buy back in, except I want the Giants low even more. Plus, if the NFL has taught us anything this year, it's NFC over AFC... The Sunday night game should be great, as they're the two best teams in the NFC. That could easily be an NFC Championship preview... The Steelers -4 is set as if Pitt, a very public team, will rebound, and I'm not so sure. Ike Taylor is out, Troy Polamalu isn't making plays, the running game stinks - I think Cinci is just better. Even if Roethlisberger pulls it out with a late FG drive, that's still a win for Cinci. Predicting which teams will flat out quit isn't easy at this time of year, but my money is on the West Coast teams traveling east - San Diego (which quit last week - that Rivers slide with the nearest defender 7 yards away was a total disgrace) and Oakland (no explanation needed). The Jets certainly can't be any worse with McElroy at QB, and I struggle to see how San Diego will move the ball. There's no running game at all, the Jets are solid against the pass, and Cro can match up with Danario Alexander. With the typical Rivers turnovers, that could get ugly.
Del DonI really struggled coming up with a best bet this week, and I could easily see Pittsburgh winning by just a field goal, though I would be moderately surprised if the Bengals pull off the upset. I could have gone either way on the Giants/Ravens game, and I don't feel nearly as strong about my 49ers this week as I did last week - hence the Seattle backing.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009 and 2011 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.