Nestor Cortes
29-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
3-5
ERA
3.59
WHIP
1.12
K
80
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The crafty lefty cemented his spot in the Yankees' starting rotation in 2022 with a 2.44 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 163:38 K:BB across 158.1 innings, but he made just 12 starts in 2023 due to a rotator cuff strain. Cortes also struggled when available last season and finished with a 4.97 ERA over 63.1 innings to go along with a 1.6 HR/9 and a career-worst 40.1 percent hard-hit rate. A 3.71 xERA indicates some unfortunate results, while a 4.84 xFIP paints a less favorable underlying picture. Cortes' reliance on different arm angles and deliveries leaves less margin for error on his pitches, especially since his stuff doesn't really stand out. It also makes him more difficult to evaluate, as the numbers themselves tell less of a story than with most pitchers. A positive regression seems likely in 2024, but Cortes' lack of year-to-year track record leaves some risk coming off a poor campaign. Read Past Outlooks
Goes seven strong in no-decision
Cortes allowed two runs on six hits and two walks while striking out two over seven innings during Thursday's 4-3 loss to the Royals. He didn't factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
Cortes ran into some trouble in the fourth inning with two runs allowed but otherwise kept Kansas City off the board, pitching deep into yet another start. This was his fifth outing this season of seven or more innings, which is tied for the second most in the American League. The two strikeouts tied for a season low, and the veteran lefty has now gone four straight starts without a win. He will take a 3.59 ERA into his next start, which lines up to come against the Orioles next week.
Cortes ran into some trouble in the fourth inning with two runs allowed but otherwise kept Kansas City off the board, pitching deep into yet another start. This was his fifth outing this season of seven or more innings, which is tied for the second most in the American League. The two strikeouts tied for a season low, and the veteran lefty has now gone four straight starts without a win. He will take a 3.59 ERA into his next start, which lines up to come against the Orioles next week.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Nestor Cortes generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Nestor Cortes generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-30%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-8%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .158 | 63 | 13 | 29 | 3 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .226 | 247 | 63 | 218 | 36 | |||
2024vs Left | .224 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | .244 | 64 | 14 | 67 | 12 | |||
2023vs Left | .163 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 2 | |||
2023vs Right | .261 | 53 | 18 | 52 | 9 | |||
2022vs Left | .110 | 33 | 7 | 9 | 1 | |||
2022vs Right | .202 | 130 | 31 | 99 | 15 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-42%
ERA at Home
2024
-68%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 2.48 | 0.90 | 170.2 | 9.0 | 2.0 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.28 | 1.23 | 138.2 | 9.1 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Home | 1.77 | 0.81 | 45.2 | 8.7 | 1.2 | ||||
2024Away | 5.57 | 1.45 | 42.0 | 7.7 | 2.6 | ||||
2023Home | 4.58 | 1.18 | 37.1 | 8.9 | 2.2 | ||||
2023Away | 5.54 | 1.35 | 26.0 | 10.4 | 3.8 | ||||
2022Home | 1.95 | 0.82 | 87.2 | 9.1 | 2.4 | ||||
2022Away | 3.06 | 1.05 | 70.2 | 9.4 | 1.9 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Nestor Cortes compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.44K/9
8.2BB/9
1.8HR/9
1.2Fastball
91.7 mphERA
3.59WHIP
1.12BABIP
.289GB/FB
0.60Left On Base
76.4%Exit Velocity
83.0 mphBarrels/BBE
5.2%Spin Rate
2315 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.7%Swinging Strike
11.1%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Option for Opening Day
Manager Aaron Boone said Thursday that Cortes "could be" in the mix to start for the Yankees on Opening Day, reports Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
Boone acknowledged the team will need to shift some pitchers' schedules around in the wake of Gerrit Cole's elbow injury, and Cortes could be the best remaining option for Opening Day. He's coming off a rough 2023, as he made just 12 starts due to a shoulder strain and posted a 4.97 ERA across 63.1 innings. Regardless of whether or not he pitches in the opener, the 29-year-old will be a key rotation piece for the Yankees in 2024.
Boone acknowledged the team will need to shift some pitchers' schedules around in the wake of Gerrit Cole's elbow injury, and Cortes could be the best remaining option for Opening Day. He's coming off a rough 2023, as he made just 12 starts due to a shoulder strain and posted a 4.97 ERA across 63.1 innings. Regardless of whether or not he pitches in the opener, the 29-year-old will be a key rotation piece for the Yankees in 2024.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
If you go back and look at Cortes's 2022 outlook, you can see he teased at what was possible, but without a large body of work, everyone was right to be skeptical of what Cortes would be as a starter. Those who took the chance in the late rounds were greatly rewarded by one of the best late round steals in 2022 as the lefty picked up where he left off in 2021 for most of the 2022 season. Cortes uses varying arm angles, deliveries, and pitches to frustrate hitters all season. 75% of what he threw were four-seamer and cutters, and those two pitches were paired so well that the league hit below .200 against both pitches while all five of his offerings had whiff rates above 20%. In 330 innings of work, he has a career 80% LOB rate and a .266 BABIP, so his 2022 numbers ( 79%, .243) are not terribly out of line and a continuation of what he did in 2021. The stuff is not paritcularly special, but his ability to spin and sequence it is certainly special and being a lefty in Yankee Stadium doesn't hurt either. The big question is if he can put up consecutive seasons of workload as he has never done so.
More Fantasy News
Drops contest against Dodgers
Cortes (3-5) took the loss against the Dodgers on Saturday, allowing four runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out four batters over 5.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Coughs up three runs
Cortes allowed three runs on seven hits over 4.1 innings in a no-decision Sunday. He struck out seven during the win over San Francisco.
ANALYSIS
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Decent in no-decision
Cortes allowed two runs on five hits and struck out four without walking a batter over 5.1 innings in a no-decision versus the Angels on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Steady in Wednesday's win
Cortes (3-4) earned the win Wednesday over the Mariners, allowing three hits and three walks while striking out six over five scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp in second win
Cortes (2-4) picked up the win in Friday's 4-2 victory over the White Sox, allowing one unearned run on five hits and a walk over seven innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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