DraftKings MLB: Thursday Picks

DraftKings MLB: Thursday Picks

This article is part of our DraftKings MLB series.

The main event contests Thursday are comprised of eight games, including a Cincinnati-Colorado matchup at hitter-friendly Coors Field. And while exposure to that game is encouraged, it doesn't do a lot of good to fill this column with low-hanging fruit from the Rockies and Reds.

Additionally, it is worth noting the underwhelming -- albeit cheap -- pitching options, which will open up the spending room to hone in on a few players from the Reds-Rockies duel.

PITCHER

Wade Miley, SEA at SD ($8,900): Target the matchup in pitcher-friendly PETCO Park, as Miley has underwhelmed and allowed at least three runs in seven of his 10 starts. Still, San Diego's 26.6 strikeout percentage against lefties is the second-highest mark in the league, and they sport a middling wOBA (.317) and wRC+ (100) against southpaws. Miley is a prime high-risk, high-reward chase Thursday.

Matt Moore, TB at MIN ($8,100): After fanning seven batters through 6.2 innings last time out, look for Moore to continue his improved work against the Twins, who have a fourth-highest strikeout rate (24.9) against southpaws with an equally target-worthy .275 wOBA and 69 wRC+ against lefties, which both rank 28th in the league.

CATCHER

Francisco Cervelli, PIT at MIA ($3,200): Dating back to the beginning of last season, Cervelli has a solid .831 OPS, .365 wOBA and 135 wRC+ against lefties, and he hits in the heart of the second-ranked lineup in on-base percentage. He is a risk to rest Thursday, so you'll want to double-check, and pivoting to Tucker Barnhart ($3,000) is a viable alternative.

FIRST BASE

Miguel Cabrera, DET vs. NYY ($4,500): The perennial MVP candidate has found his groove through his past 24 games with 14 runs, eight home runs, 20 RBI and a 1.090 OPS, and he grabs a pitching machine Thursday. Michael Pineda has allowed a .391 wOBA and 2.4 HR/9 to right-handed hitters this season, and Cabrera has a .399 wOBA and 157 wRC+ against righties since 2014.

SECOND BASE

Josh Harrison, PIT at MIA ($3,700): A low-priced option with excellent results against left-handed hurlers dating back to the 2014 season (.825 OPS, .359 wOBA and 132 wRC+), Harrison is also a threat on the base paths with eight swipes this season.

THIRD BASE

Maikel Franco, PHI vs. MIL ($3,400): Opposing hurler Chase Anderson has allowed a .401 wOBA and 2.15 HR/9 to right-handed hitters this season, and Franco has a strong .457 slugging percentage and .331 wOBA against righties since entering the league. After a .238 BABIP in May hindered his production, Franco's salary is down, which makes him a strong candidate to return a solid profit Thursday. He'll likely be scarcely owned, too.

SHORTSTOP

Jonathan Villar, MIL at PHI ($4,900): Villar has a .370 on-base percentage against right-handed arms this season and a league-leading 19 stolen bases. Additionally, he'll face Jerad Eickhoff, who has allowed a .371 wOBA to left-handed hitters. With many likely to flock to the Zach Cozart ($4,200) and Trevor Story ($5,300), Villar is contrarian option because of his cap hit.

OUTFIELD

Giancarlo Stanton, MIA vs. PIT ($4,200): While Juan Nicaso has limited right-handed hitters to a .275 wOBA this season, Stanton's upside at this cap hit makes him a great tournament play or source of cap relief. With the rust shaken off following his seven-game injury absence, expect Stanton to cash in Thursday. He boasts a .375 wOBA and 140 wRC+ against right-handed arms since 2014, after all.

Corey Dickerson, TB at MIN ($3,600): As a cheap flier, Dickerson has a nice matchup with Kyle Gibson, who is allowing a .594 slugging percentage and .422 wOBA to left-handed hitters this season. And Dickerson has held his own against right-handed arms this year with a .537 slugging percentage, a .309 ISO, a .336 wOBA and 116 wRC+.

Hyun Soo Kim, BAL vs. BOS ($3,200): While it is a sample size of just 55 plate appearances, Kim has teed off on right-handed pitchers to the tune of a .424 wOBA and 170 wRC+. There have been 39 runs scored through the first three games of this series, so look for another high-event game Thursday, which makes Kim an excellent value at his salary.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Neil Parker plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: naparker77, DraftKings: naparker77.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Neil Parker
A loyal Cubs, Cowboys and Maple Leafs fan for decades, Neil has contributed to RotoWire since 2014. He previously worked for USA Today Fantasy Sports.
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