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FantasyDraft MLB: Saturday Values

Juan Carlos Blanco

Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for close to 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, and the NFL for Rotowire.com, including serving as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' beat writer. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports.

PITCHER

Corey Kluber, CLE at OAK ($23,700): Kluber faces off against an A's team that has a 28.2 percent K-rate against right-handed pitching at home since June 10, and he was excellent against them back on June 1, scoring 35.70 fantasy points thanks to 10 strikeouts over six innings. He has been solid on the road as well, posting a 3.27 ERA while allowing a .265 wOBA and racking up 34 strikeouts over 33 innings. The floor and upside are there for cash games or GPPs, as Kluber has scored between 21.65 and 49.45 fantasy points in 10 of his last 11 starts, including more than 30.00 six times.

Jimmy Nelson, MIL vs. PHI ($18,900): Nelson has scored more than 30.00 fantasy points five times, including once over 40.00, in his last nine starts, and he now draws the Phillies, who have a 26.0 percent strikeout rate and .284 wOBA against right-handed pitching on the road in the month before the All-Star break. He has been particularly strong at Miller Park, posting a 2.35 ERA while allowing a .299 wOBA and 28.9 percent hard contact rate in 65 innings.

INFIELD

Carlos Correa, HOU vs. MIN ($9,200): Correa comes in with a .439 wOBA, .301 ISO, 27.6 percent HR/FB rate and 40.7 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching at home, and he has a solid (albeit very short) history against Twins starter Ervin Santana, hitting .714 with a double and home run in seven plate appearances. The Twins' bullpen has also struggled against right-handed hitters, posting a 5.53 ERA while allowing a .358 wOBA on the road in the month before the All-Star break.

Travis Shaw, MIL vs. PHI ($8,400): Phillies starter Aaron Nola has allowed a .328 wOBA and 4.64 xFIP to left-handed hitters on the road, while Shaw has a .505 wOBA, .348 ISO, 1.239 OPS and 37.5 percent hard contact rate over 28 plate appearances this month. Hes also been strong against right-handed pitching at home this season, tallying a .430 wOBA, .299 ISO, 22.2 percent HR/FB rate and 41.1 percent hard contact rate.

Yadier Molina, STL at PIT ($6,000): Molina is bargain priced regardless of the matchup, while Pirates starter Jameson Taillon has allowed a .367 wOBA and 36.4 percent hard contact rate against right-handed hitters at home this season (63 plate appearances). Additionally, Molina has hit six of his nine homers and posted a 35.1 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching. Hell also draw a solid matchup versus Pirates relievers, who had a 4.88 ERA and allowed a .335 wOBA at home in the last month before the All-Star break.

OUTFIELD

Charlie Blackmon, COL at NYM ($10,400): Blackmon carries a .393 wOBA, .261 ISO and 37.9 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching into a matchup versus Mets starter Seth Lugo, whos allowed a .340 wOBA to lefty bats, including .471 at home over a small 12-batter sample. Lugo has also given up a 26.6 percent line drive rate to left-handed hitters, while Blackmon has a .420 wOBA, .243 ISO and 53.6 percent hard contact rate over his first 40 plate appearances in July. Additionally, the Mets' bullpen had a 5.28 ERA and allowed a .342 wOBA to left-handed hitters at Citi Field in the last month before the All-Star break.

Miguel Sano, MIN at HOU ($8,700): Astros starter Joe Musgrove has allowed a .387 wOBA, seven homers, 5.13 xFIP, 20.0 percent HR/FB rate and 34.1 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters at Minute Maid Park this season while Sano boasts a jaw-dropping .449 wOBA, .406 ISO, 1.099 OPS, 41.4 percent HR/FB rate and 53.1 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching on the road. The Astros' bullpen has also struggled against righty bats at home, allowing a .335 wOBA, including four homers, in the last month before the All-Star break.

Robbie Grossman, MIN at HOU ($6,600): Musgrove has struggled against left-handed hitters as well, allowing a .354 wOBA and 34.0 percent hard contact rate to them this season. Meanwhile, Grossman has hit all six of his homers this year versus righties, while also posting a .339 wOBA and 24.1 percent line drive rate against them on the road. Hes also started July off well, posting a 48.4 percent hard contact rate that would be his highest month of the season if he keeps it up.

UTILITY

Mike Trout, LAA vs. TB ($10,400):Trout made his return from the disabled list Friday and steps into an excellent matchup Saturday against Rays starter Alex Cobb, who hes already touched up for a .556 average, two homers and four RBI over 10 career plate appearances. More importantly, Cobb has allowed a .327 wOBA and 35.8 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters on the road this year while Trout has a .525 wOBA, .533 ISO, 1.359 OPS, 39.1 percent HR/FB rate and 47.1 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching at home over 74 plate appearances.

Josh Harrison, PIT vs. STL ($7,500): Harrison has enjoyed his share of success against Cardinals starter Lance Lynn, posting a .385 average, three doubles, two homers and three RBI over 26 career plate appearances. Lynn has been a different pitcher on the road and has given up a 21.4 percent HR/FB rate and 37.7 percent hard contact rate to right-handed hitters away from Busch Stadium while benefitting from an unsustainable .191 BABIP. Harrison has a .330 wOBA and 33.0 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching, along with a 26.7 percent line drive rate versus that handedness at PNC Park.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.