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According to the Data: Are Rookie Quarterbacks the New Rookie Running Backs?

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News, DallasCowboys.com, and NBC.

Are rookie quarterbacks the new rookie running backs?

Chris Johnson, Matt Forte, Maurice Jones-Drew, Adrian Peterson, Doug Martin. Shrewd fantasy owners have known for years that rookie running backs have the potential to offer unbelievable value. Even today, the uncertainty that surrounds first-year backs is often the impetus for dropping them in rankings, even if isn't as significant of a drop as in past years.

Recently, though, we've seen rookie quarterbacks absolutely skyrocket in the final fantasy rankings. It began last year with Cam Newton and Andy Dalton. Dalton's 17th place finish might seem trivial, but it was actually the highest for a rookie quarterback since Matt Ryan's 13th place finish in 2008. Of course, Newton stole the show, using a combination of his legs and rocket arm to finish fourth among quarterbacks in most scoring formats. The results were unprecedented.

In 2012, the trend has continued with Robert Griffin III (first)

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