Projecting Tight End Production Based on Age
Over the past few weeks, I've been attempting to break down fantasy output for each position based on age. I think there are a lot of practical uses for age breakdowns, particularly in dynasty or keeper leagues. It's much easier to understand a player's three-year outlook if you know how similar players at the same age have performed in the past.
Today, it's the tight ends' turn. Below, I charted tight end production over the past decade-plus, sorted by age.
If that graph were a mountain, it would be difficult to climb on both ends. That's because tight ends have historically had a smaller range of peak years than quarterbacks, receivers and even running backs. Tight ends take a long time to develop - the probability of a rookie tight end posting respectable fantasy numbers is almost zero - and they see a steep decline in their early-30s.
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