Joe Burrow
27-Year-Old
Questionable
Injury Wrist
Est. Return 6/15/2024
2023 Pass/Rush Stats
YDS
2309
TD
15
INT
6
YDS
88
TD
0
2024 Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A preseason calf injury last year was a harbinger of Burrow’s season. By Week 4, a gimpy Burrow had just two TD passes, averaging 182 yards a game. He warmed up as he got healthier, passing for 12 TDs and nearly 300 yards per game in his next five games before a Week 11 wrist injury ended his season. The takeaway, though, is the mystery of why Burrow no longer challenges defenses downfield. In 2021, he threw deep at a 12.1 percent clip with an 8.1-yard average target depth, forming one of the league’s best field-stretching tandems with Ja’Marr Chase. The last two years, however, he’s all but stopped looking downfield. In 2022, just 7.9 percent of his attempts traveled beyond 20 yards as his average target depth dropped to 6.8. Last year was even worse -- 6.8 percent and 6.3 yards, the former ranking 30th, the latter last. Burrow is healthy again, but the Bengals offense comes with other questions after Tee Higgins demanded a trade and Tyler Boyd wasn't re-signed. The team drafted Jermaine Burton, a third-round pick with 4.45 speed, and signed TE Mike Gesicki, who went quiet the past two seasons despite his impressive blend of size (6-6, 250) and speed (4.54). Long-time lead back Joe Mixon (52 catches) was traded away and subsequently replaced by former Colts backup RB Zack Moss. The one thing Burrow definitely has going for him is volume. He attempted 606 passes two years ago and was on pace for 620 last year. Even at a poor 6.5 YPA, that works out to 4,000 yards. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Vague on status of wrist
Burrow (wrist) said Tuesday that he'll be ready for the start of the season but doesn't want to put a percentage on his rehab progress, Charlie Clifford of WLWT News 5 Cincinnati reports.
ANALYSIS
Burrow hinted at a more cautious approach with his surgically repaired right wrist than he had with past injuries, noting that he should have "taken more time" after he suffered a calf injury last summer. He averaged just 182 passing yards and 0.5 touchdowns over the first four weeks of the season, but he rebounded in a big way with averages of 296 yards and 2.4 touchdowns over the next five games before he suffered the season-ending wrist injury Week 11. He had surgery Nov. 27 to repair a torn ligament in his wrist, and by early May, he was cleared for everything besides taking contact. Burrow has been lifting weights for more than three months and throwing footballs for more than a month, but he doesn't sound like he'll push himself too hard this summer, at least not until training camp opens in late July.
Burrow hinted at a more cautious approach with his surgically repaired right wrist than he had with past injuries, noting that he should have "taken more time" after he suffered a calf injury last summer. He averaged just 182 passing yards and 0.5 touchdowns over the first four weeks of the season, but he rebounded in a big way with averages of 296 yards and 2.4 touchdowns over the next five games before he suffered the season-ending wrist injury Week 11. He had surgery Nov. 27 to repair a torn ligament in his wrist, and by early May, he was cleared for everything besides taking contact. Burrow has been lifting weights for more than three months and throwing footballs for more than a month, but he doesn't sound like he'll push himself too hard this summer, at least not until training camp opens in late July.
NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Joe Burrow's 2023 advanced stats compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank.
The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
Bad Pass %
15.1%Avg Target Depth
6.5 YdsSack Rate
6.2%Avg Receiver YAC
5.1 YdsReceiver Drop %
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
2023 Joe Burrow Split Stats
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Measurables Review
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How do Joe Burrow's measurables compare to other quarterbacks?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 4"Weight
215 lbsHand Length
9.00 inArm Length
30.88 in
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Scheduled off day
Burrow was held out of mandatory minicamp Tuesday for a scheduled day off as he continues to recover from wrist surgery, Ben Baby of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
There have been some mixed reports about Burrow's status during offseason activities, as he was previously described as not being on a pitch count. However, coach Zac Taylor said the team was defending its star quarterback from himself with the forced absence. It's unclear whether Burrow will have ongoing absences during training camp, but the Bengals have indicated no concern about his availability for the start of the regular season.
There have been some mixed reports about Burrow's status during offseason activities, as he was previously described as not being on a pitch count. However, coach Zac Taylor said the team was defending its star quarterback from himself with the forced absence. It's unclear whether Burrow will have ongoing absences during training camp, but the Bengals have indicated no concern about his availability for the start of the regular season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Burrow led the league in on-target percentage (76.7) for the second year in a row last season and finished second in completion percentage (68.3). Those marks were actually down a bit from the previous year, which is a bit surprising considering Burrow severely curtailed his downfield game. After throwing 20-plus yards on 12.5 percent of his attempts in 2021, Burrow went downfield only 7.5 percent of the time last season (30th). Instead, he went short, as his percentage of passes behind the line of scrimmage jumped to 19.6 percent. His counting stats, more or less, held steady, and he finished QB4 in fantasy with some help from five touchdown runs and 257 rushing yards. Burrow was still good at throwing deep -- he tied Geno Smith with the highest on-target rate on 20-plus yard attempts at 60.0 percent -- but his average target depth was just 7.5 yards (23rd). One apparent reason for the increase in dump-offs was a rebuilt offensive line that often did not live up to preseason hopes. However, the Bengals signed standout left tackle Orlando Brown this offseason, moving Jonah Williams to right tackle, which should help (provided Williams isn’t traded as he’s demanded). Burrow's top three wide receivers return, led by Ja'marr Chase, while Irv Smith is replacing Hayden Hurst at tight end. Better efficiency can help Burrow stay in the top 5 of fantasy QBs even with some expected regression in his rushing TDs.
More Fantasy News
Continues to progress
Burrow (wrist) said Tuesday that he's fully cleared to do everything that doesn't involve contact, Kelsey Conway of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing at minicamp
Burrow (wrist) was on the field throwing at the Bengals' facility Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Facing changes on offense
Burrow (wrist) is slated to enter the 2024 season with a revamped skill-position group, with Joe Mixon set to be traded to the Texans, Zack Moss inking a two-year deal as his replacement, and numerous shifts in the receiving game, Ben Baby of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
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Should be cleared in May
Burrow (wrist) said Sunday that he expects to be "cleared for full contact and everything" by mid-May, Ben Baby of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Anticipates throwing by OTAs
Burrow (wrist) said Monday that he thinks he will be cleared to resume throwing during OTAs this spring, Geoff Hobson of the Bengals' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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