42-Year-Old Outfielder – Miami Marlins
2016 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
Injuries forced Ichiro into the lineup far more often than Miami would have liked in 2015. While he turned in the second-best contact and walk rates of his career, it was his worst season by any truly...
Ichiro Suzuki Contract Information:
2017 club option exercised by the Marlins in October of 2016.
Suzuki's 2017 club option was exercised by the Marlins on Wednesday, Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald reports.
To instantly reveal our fantasy analysis of every player – including Ichiro Suzuki – simply subscribe now.
|2012 (Multiple Teams)||38||MAJ||SEA/NYY||162||663||629||77||178||43||28||6||9||55||29||7||22||61||5||5||2||.283||.307||.390||.696|
|Preseason||Subscribe now to see our 2016 projections for Ichiro Suzuki||3-Year Averages||148||457||425||48||109||17||11||3||3||26||15||4||26||60||4||2||0||.256||.298||.318||.616|
|Career (View All)||2500||10,466||9,689||1,396||3,030||566||356||96||114||760||508||116||626||1,037||49||48||54||.313||.357||.405||.761|
|Sep. 30||@Was||Did not play.|
|Sep. 25||Atl||Did not play.|
|Sep. 10||LAD||Did not play.|
|Last 7 Games||5||1||2||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||0||.400||.400||.400||.800|
|Last 14 Games||17||1||3||0||0||0||1||0||3||0||0||0||1||0||.176||.167||.176||.343|
|Last 30 Games||69||14||19||2||2||1||9||2||9||0||0||1||1||1||.275||.301||.406||.707|
Ichiro Suzuki: MLB Games Played By Position
Ichiro Suzuki Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
|Year||Age||Lg||Tm||PA||AB||Walk Rate||Strikeout Rate||BB/K Ratio||Contact Rate||BABIP||Isolated Power|
|2012 (Multiple Teams)||38||MAJ||SEA/NYY||663||629||3.3%||9.2%||0.36||90%||.302||.107|
|Preseason||Subscribe now to see our 2016 projections for Ichiro Suzuki||3-Year Averages||457||425||5.7%||13.1%||0.43||86%||.293||.062|
2016 Stat Review for Ichiro Suzuki As compared to the top 200 hitters in 2015 (min 420 PA)
Good contact skills often lead to better fantasy stats.
SLG and ISO are useful indicators of power.
Patience at the plate often leads to positive outcomes.
A couple of useful stats for evaluating a hitter.
Miami Marlins Roster
MajorsBarraclough, Kyle (P)
AAAAndino, Robert (2B)
AAAnderson, Brian (2B)
A+Berry, Tim (P)
AAnderson, Blake (C)
Ichiro Suzuki: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Prior to 2014, Ichiro's decline was a very gradual process, but his age-40 season brought the lowest ISO of his career (.056), a significant spike in his strikeout rate (17.7% – his previous career-high was 11.7%), and a diminished ability to make contact on pitches outside of the strike zone. If this was the swan song, it took place in relative obscurity while most of the attention around the 2014 version of the Yankees focused on Derek Jeter's farewell tour. Since his arrival in North America 2001, Ichiro is second only to Juan Pierre in stolen bases (487). After signing with the Marlins, Suzuki will likely serve as a fourth outfielder.
The end seems near for the great Ichiro, whose batting average dwindled to .262 in 2013 and contributed to him coming off the bench quite a bit as the season wound down. The decline is backed up by his component numbers; his speed and hitting style have traditionally led to a BABIP in the .330s or higher, but that mark fell to just .285 last season, and if he can't leg out infield hits anymore, he is not going to have much value. He did swipe 20 bags last year, and his baserunning instincts are as good as ever, but Ichiro is best suited for a part-time role at this point in his career.
After a mediocre start to the year, Suzuki seemed to get a second wind upon moving to the Yankees in August, putting up a .322 average with the team, and even showing a little pop with five homers in 227 at-bats. Even at age 38, Suzuki is still dangerous on the basepaths, putting up 29 steals in 36 attempts. The years of hitting .350 are likely well behind him, but Suzuki can still provide a helpful batting average and a good amount of steals, making him a significant asset to any fantasy team.
For the first time in his 11-year career, Suzuki finally looked human. He failed to collect his signature 200 hits and bat higher than .300 for the first time stateside. The conventional wisdom is at age 37, Ichiro lost a step. He didn't seem slower on the basepaths, though, where he stole 40 bags, the fifth highest total of his career, on an 85.1-percent success rate, his third highest mark. And though Ichiro's 36 infield hits were off his 2010 pace, they were still more than he legged out in 2003 and 2005 and nearly the same as he had in three other years. It would only be natural if he lost some speed, but he was also very unlucky last season. His BABIP checked in at a career-low .295, far off his career pace. Ichiro is 38 this year, but it wouldn't be shocking if, with a little more luck, he rebounded from last year's disappointing season to return to being a .300+ hitter.
Suzuki produced routine Ichiro numbers last season, reaching 200 hits for an MLB-record 10th consecutive season and finishing fifth in the AL in stolen bases. The latter feat was especially heartening after he posted a career-low 26 stolen bases in 2009. Ichiro endured a 30-game summer slump (.236/.276/.268) but rebounded to hit .329/.361/.412 from Aug. 3 on. The slump depressed his final batting average, which probably depressed his owners who gauged his fantasy value with a high average in mind after he hit .352 in 2009. Ichiro is 37 this season but shows no signs of slowing - he led baseball in infield hits last season with 59, 20 more than the next closest player.
Suzuki missed as many games last season, 16, as he had in his previous eight years combined. He still finished with 225 hits, the fourth most of his career, and his 31 doubles were his most since his rookie season. He also reached double digits in homers for the third time in his career with 11, all the while batting .352, second only to batting champ Joe Mauer. Makes you wonder what he could have done with a full 162-game slate. The only downside to his season was his drop in stolen bases. He swiped a career-low 26 bags, attempting only three in his final 35 games. Perhaps he was saving his legs, or maybe it was merely an aberration. Whatever the case, it's something to consider before selecting him on draft day.
Suzuki tied Wee Willie Keeler's record of eight consecutive seasons with 200 hits last year, but 2008 wasn't vintage Ichiro. He posted a career-low .747 OPS, and his .311 batting average was the second lowest of his career. Extra running might have had something to do with it. After nearly three months of going wild on the basepaths (35 attempts in 76 games) and covering extra ground in center field because of incompetent corner outfielders, Ichiro stopped stealing (12 attempts in his last 86 games) and moved to right field in late June. He proceeded to hit .333 the rest of the way, raising his average from a late-June mark of .285. His legs were never 100 percent healthy, as he battled hamstring issues and leg pain late in the season, but playing right field from the start this year should save on the wear and tear. A better lineup around him will help, too. Seattle's No. 9 hitters grounded into an MLB-high 19 double plays last season.
Another typical year for Suzuki: he had 238 hits, the third most of his career; hit .351, the second-highest mark in the majors; stole 37 bases, the third most of his career; and won his seventh consecutive Gold Glove. Along the way, he was named All-Star Game MVP, and he inked a five-year contract that likely means he'll finish his career as a Mariner. Manager John McLaren, though, apparently thinks Ichiro's usual feast has become too pedestrian. He challenged Ichiro to hit .400 this year and steal 80 bases. The latter is likely impossible for runner as cautious as Ichiro on the basepaths. As for the former, well, if anyone can do it, it's Ichiro. And even though Ichiro doesn't have much power (though he still had more XBH than Mariners DH Jose Vidro), he totaled the fifth-most runs created (119.8) among outfielders last season.
The big news in 2006 for Suzuki was that he finally agreed to move to center field. He started 38 games in center toward season's end and is slated to start there this season. More fantasy relevant, Ichiro rebounded from a disappointing (for him) 2005 by hitting .322, the third-highest average of his career, and stealing 45 bases, the most since his rookie year 56. An August slump (.233, two SB) depressed his numbers, but fantasy owners shouldn't grumble too loudly. He posted the second-highest batting average among major league outfielders and his 116 runs created were third-most among American League outfielders. Expect Ichiro to run as much as he did last season, which will help justify a high draft selection, especially if his average dips.
Ichiro hit .303 last season and became the sixth player in major league history to collect 200 or more hits in five consecutive years, but his 2005 was still considered a disappointment coming on the heels of his record-setting 262 hits the previous year. The drop in hits is partly explained by the Mariners' encouragement for him to take more pitches. In 2004, Ichiro had 52 first-pitch hits. Last season, he had 13. Still, Ichiro's 2005 wasn't that out of whack for his career. Two of his five years (2001, 2005) were statospheric, while the remaining three years he's averaged .312 with 208 hits. To justify an early round selection, though, Ichiro needs to hit for a high average because other than steals (33.4 the last four years after 56 in 2001), he only offers runs, which are team dependent.
Ichiro had an amazing 2004 even by his standards. Not only did he break the all-time record for hits in a season with 262, he finished fourth in OPS (.869) among AL right fielders with at least 400 AB, had the highest OBP (.418) among all leadoff hitters in the majors, and led the AL with 19 intentional walks, the first leadoff hitter to lead the league since Wade Boggs in 1991. He also stole 36 bases, the second-most in his career and third in the AL, and was successful on 76.5 percent of his attempts. Importantly, he didn't fade down the stretch as he had done in previous years, though he still had a slow April (.255). Expecting a repeat of 2004 is a little much, but Ichiro will still be a great fantasy play.
Suzuki has posted three consecutive 200-plus hit seasons, only the third major leaguer to reach 200 hits in his first three years. His 662 hits in that span are second only to Lloyd Waner's 678 in 1927-29. Ichiro stumbled out of the gate last season and faded down the stretch, dropping his average to .312. The Mariners' anemic lineup had something to do with that and Ichiro said the pressure of expectations got to him, too. Still, a .312 average, 111 runs and 36 stolen bases are solid fantasy numbers. Expect another Ichiro-esque year.
Ichiro-mania hits year number three, but his sophomore season saw his average, runs batted in and steals go down. New manager Bob Melvin said he has no intention of removing Ichiro from the leadoff spot. The key though is to see if Melvin will run Ichiro a bit more - he went from 56 to 30 stolen bases last season. He's also in a contract season.