Justin Morneau

2013

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2012

After missing the second half of 2010 due to a concussion, Morneau returned last year but struggled at the plate amid several injuries – including a setback to his concussion symptoms that puts his career in question. He started the season slow at the plate and quickly developed health issues. He had a had a cortisone shot for a pinched nerve in his left shoulder in early May and then hurt his wrist. He went on the DL with a sprained left wrist on June 14, had neck surgery on June 29 and had a cyst removed from his left knee and a bone spur removed from his right foot on August 19. The biggest concern is that he didn't play after a relapse of concussion symptoms after he dove for a ball while paying first base on August 28. It was a routine play that raises doubt if he'll be able to play in the field again or hold up from a full season of activity even at DH. He also had offseason surgery to repair a tendon in the back of his left wrist. Even when healthy last season, Morneau wasn't the same at the plate as he slugged just .333, hit only four home runs and didn't even draw walks. Before his concussion, Morneau had outstanding power and good plate discipline. However, it's not clear he'll ever be healthy again. There's no pattern in a return from severe concussions as some players miss significant time and return to form (Pierre-Marc Bouchard in the NHL) and others can never take the field again (Corey Koskie). While the Twins have penciled Morneau in at first base for 2012, he's a major injury risk (even aside from the concussion issues) and it's possible his career could be over with another setback.

2011

Morneau was on pace for possibly the best year of his career and another MVP award before his season ended due to a concussion on July 7. He was among the league leaders in home runs and batting average when he took a knee to the head while sliding into second base. He made several attempts to come back over the next three months but wasn't able to make it through full workouts without symptoms and eventually was shut down. After taking time off once the season ended, he started working out in the fall and says he'll be ready for spring training. Team doctors have also assured general manager Bill Smith that Morneau will be ready. However, given the unpredictable nature of concussions we won't know for sure about his health until we see him play in games again. And Morneau had faded the previous two seasons with poor second halves in part due to injury (he missed September 2009 with a back injury). When healthy, Morneau has outstanding power and good plate discipline and has improved the past two seasons against lefties. Normally that would make him a blue-chip option as Minnesota's first baseman. Instead, he's one of the biggest question marks for fantasy baseball in 2011.

2010

Morneau was on his way to perhaps winning a second MVP award before suffering a back injury in early August that ended his season. Morneau was hitting .301/.388/.562 with 28 home runs before his season started to fall apart after Aug. 15. He hit just .100/.200/.229 after that date and later it was revealed he had a stress fracture of the L5 vertebrae in his back and his season ended in early September. He ended up hitting 30 home runs for the third time in four years despite the injury and continued to improve against left-handed pitchers (.836 OPS vs. .778 OPS in 2008) - erasing any fears he'd be benched against lefties. Morneau has good power, plate discipline and the back injury is only the second time he's been on the DL in his career. He's expected to be healthy by spring training and should once again be a top-tier fantasy first baseman.

2009

Morneau just missed out on his second AL MVP award in three seasons, finishing second to Dustin Pedroia. He failed to hit over 30 home runs for the first time in three years (those homers instead turned into extra doubles), but hit over .300 as he continued to show great plate discipline. He also improved against left-handed pitching (.778 OPS vs. .693 in 2007) so he avoided sitting out bad matchups and played in all 163 games. He has good power, plate discipline and has been on the DL just once his career when he was hit by a pitch. He's a blue chip fantasy target as a result.

2008

Morneau wasn't able to duplicate his MVP season but his overall numbers were pretty close. He hit over 30 home runs with over 110 RBI for a second consecutive season. There were some concerns as he seemed to take a step backward against left-handed pitching (hitting just .228/.283/.411 against southpaws), which could see him benched more often against tough lefties. He also faded in the second half of the season, hitting just .243/.318/.384 with only seven home runs after the All-Star break. Still, Morneau has outstanding power and good plate discipline, so another season of 30-plus home runs seems likely. He's a blue chip fantasy first baseman and a 40-homer season wouldn't be a shock.

2007

Morneau had a breakout season as Minnesota's everyday first baseman. It was capped off by winning the AL MVP. He had been one of the top hitting prospects in baseball but had a disappointing 2005 season after several freak injuries. He got off to a slow start again in 2006, but turned his season around and had the best batting average in baseball (.362) after June 8. Morneau has outstanding power and good plate discipline, so his breakout season was no fluke. He also improved against left-handed pitching, hitting 13 homers against lefties, which reduces any fears he'll lose at bats against southpaws. A 40-home run season wouldn't be a surprise.

2006

Much of the reason Minnesota failed to make the playoffs for a fourth consecutive season can be found in Morneau's struggles at the plate. Morneau was considered among the top hitting prospects in baseball before the 2005 season and thought a strong bet to become the first Twins player since 1987 to hit more than 30 home runs. Through his first six months as the full-time first baseman (July '05 to June '06) he lived up to the hype by hitting 27 home runs with 94 RBI and a .341 OBA. But he struggled by hitting just .211/.277/.397 with just 11 home runs after the All-Star break last season. Injuries were a problem as Morneau had a bizarre offseason where he fought through appendicitis, chicken pox and pneumonia. He then missed time in April after suffering a concussion while getting beaned in the head with a fastball and played most of the second half of the season with a bone spur in his left elbow. It would be easy to attribute most of his struggles to injuries, but he still hit poorly in June (.230/.318/.419) when he was his healthiest. He also struggled against left-handed pitching (.586 OPS vs. lefties) which could cause him to be platooned if he doesn't improve. Despite all the negatives, Morneau showed solid power and plate discipline before last season so he's a good bet to rebound. He'll still be the everyday starter for the Twins at first base. Write last year off to the cumulation of injuries or another year of adjusting to major league pitching and grab him this season. He'll likely go cheap in most leagues and given his upside, he could be the kind of value that propels a fantasy team into the money.

2005

Morneau will play first base every day for the Twins after the trade of Doug Mientkiewicz. The highly-touted hitting prospect didn't disappoint after taking over the starting job in August, hitting 17 home runs in the second half of the season. After struggling at the major league level in 2003, Morneau showed he's turned the corner and should take the next step to soon become one of the AL's best at first base. With solid power and plate discipline, Morneau looks like a good bet to become the first Twin since 1987 to hit more than 30 home runs and is one of this year's strongest upside plays.

2004

Morneau may be a nice steal in your draft if your league pays attention to his struggles at the major league level rather than his outstanding minor league numbers. Morneau tore the cover off the ball in the first half of the season, piling up 19 home runs before mid-June at Double-A and Triple-A. Once in the majors, he struggled with fastballs out of the strike zone and changeups behind in the count. If he can make the adjustment, he could start at DH for the Twins or even first base if Doug Mientkiewicz struggles or is traded. Morneau looked back on track hitting .400 with five homers and nine RBIs to help Team Canada qualify for the Olympics last fall. He's shown amazing power early in his career with solid plate discipline and should get an opportunity to win playing time in spring training. Don't let him slip by cheap as a result.

2003

Morneau may be the best hitting prospect in the Minnesota organization, but he's at the wrong position. Not mobile enough to play the outfield and there's already a crowded crop of developing players at 1B and DH. That means Morneau may have to wait another year to get significant playing time at the major-league level, but he still has a lot of upside thanks to strong power stroke. More than likely will spend the year at Triple-A but could get a late-season call up. He could win a starting job in 2004 and eventually become 30-plus HR hitter at the major league level.