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2013 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
Smoak entered last season needing to prove he was the long-term answer at first base for the Mariners. He spent most of the season, though, just trying to prove he was better than the Mendoza Line. Th...
June 18, 2013 – Justin Smoak News
RotoWire Fantasy Analysis
Smoak went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in his return from the DL on Tuesday.
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| Year | Age | Lg | Tm | G | PA | AB | R | H | XBH | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | SB | CS | BB | SO | SH | SF | HBP | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 21 | A | Cli | 14 | 62 | 56 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .304 | .355 | .518 | .873 |
| 2009 | 22 | R | AZL | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .667 | .714 | 2.000 | 2.714 |
| 2009 | 22 | AA | FRI | 49 | 222 | 178 | 30 | 58 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 35 | 0 | 2 | 3 | .326 | .450 | .483 | .933 |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA | OKL | 54 | 237 | 197 | 25 | 48 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 45 | 0 | 2 | 3 | .244 | .363 | .360 | .723 |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Okl | 15 | 66 | 50 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .300 | .470 | .540 | 1.010 |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Tac | 35 | 159 | 133 | 23 | 36 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 32 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .271 | .377 | .481 | .858 |
| 2010 | 23 | MAJ | SEA | 30 | 122 | 113 | 11 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .239 | .287 | .407 | .694 |
| 2010 | 23 | MAJ | TEX | 70 | 275 | 235 | 29 | 49 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 57 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .209 | .316 | .353 | .670 |
| 2010 (Multiple Teams) | 23 | MAJ | SEA/TEX | 100 | 397 | 348 | 40 | 76 | 27 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 91 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .218 | .307 | .371 | .678 |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Tac | 4 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .267 | .000 | .267 |
| 2011 | 24 | MAJ | SEA | 123 | 489 | 427 | 38 | 100 | 39 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 105 | 0 | 4 | 3 | .234 | .323 | .396 | .719 |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Tac | 20 | 82 | 66 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .242 | .390 | .364 | .754 |
| 2012 | 25 | MAJ | SEA | 132 | 535 | 483 | 49 | 105 | 33 | 14 | 0 | 19 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 49 | 111 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .217 | .290 | .364 | .654 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Tac | 5 | 22 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .238 | .273 | .333 | .606 |
| 2013 | 26 | MAJ | SEA | 47 | 184 | 158 | 16 | 38 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .241 | .348 | .361 | .709 |
| AccuScore ROS Projections | MAJ | Subscribe now to see the 2013 Rest Of Season AccuScore projections for Justin Smoak | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 RotoWire Projections | MAJ | Subscribe now to see our 2013 projections for Justin Smoak | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3-Year Averages | MAJ | 118 | 473 | 419 | 42 | 93 | 32 | 17 | 0 | 15 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 102 | 0 | 3 | 1 | .222 | .304 | .370 | .674 | ||
| Career (View All) | MAJ | 402 | 1605 | 1416 | 143 | 319 | 110 | 59 | 0 | 51 | 163 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 349 | 0 | 9 | 5 | .225 | .311 | .375 | .686 | ||
Age is determined on July 1st of each season. Jump To: ▼ Advanced Stats ▼ Batter vs. Pitcher Stats ▼ Games By Position
No No Yes| DATE | OPP | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | HBP | SF | E | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun. 18 | @LAA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .241 | .348 | .361 | .709 |
| Jun. 17 | @LAA | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 16 | @Oak | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 15 | @Oak | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 14 | @Oak | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 12 | Hou | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 11 | Hou | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 10 | Hou | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 9 | NYY | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 8 | NYY | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 7 | NYY | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 6 | NYY | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 5 | CWS | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 4 | CWS | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 3 | CWS | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 2 | @Min | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| Jun. 1 | @Min | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| May. 31 | @Min | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| May. 30 | @SD | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| May. 29 | @SD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .240 | .350 | .344 | .694 |
| May. 28 | SD | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| May. 27 | SD | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| May. 26 | Tex | Did not play. | |||||||||||||||||
| May. 25 | Tex | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .242 | .352 | .346 | .698 |
| May. 24 | Tex | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .247 | .358 | .353 | .711 |
| May. 22 | @LAA | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .240 | .355 | .349 | .704 |
| May. 21 | @LAA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .246 | .363 | .359 | .722 |
| May. 20 | @Cle | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .252 | .366 | .367 | .733 |
| May. 19 | @Cle | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .254 | .371 | .351 | .722 |
| May. 18 | @Cle | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .254 | .374 | .354 | .728 |
| Last 7 Days | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .250 | 1.000 | 1.250 | |
| Last 14 Days | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .250 | 1.000 | 1.250 | |
| Last 30 Days | 31 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .226 | .273 | .548 | .821 | |
| Today's Game AccuScore Projection |
LAA | Subscribe now to see AccuScore's projected stats for Justin Smoak for today's game. | |||||||||||||||||
| Next 7 Days AccuScore Projection |
– | Subscribe now to see AccuScore's projected stats for Justin Smoak over the next seven days. | |||||||||||||||||
Justin Smoak: MLB Games Played By Position
| Year | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | OF | LF | CF | RF | DH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | – | 42 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 |
| 2012 | – | 131 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| 2011 | – | 108 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12 |
| 2010 | – | 94 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 |
Jump To: ▲ Basic Stats ▲ Split Stats ▼ Advanced Stats
Justin Smoak Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
Vs. Left
| Year | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .125 | .146 | .368 |
| 2012 | 170 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 1 | .235 | .400 | .703 |
| 2011 | 127 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 0 | .252 | .394 | .720 |
Vs. Right
| Year | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 110 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 0 | .291 | .455 | .855 |
| 2012 | 313 | 34 | 12 | 34 | 0 | .208 | .345 | .627 |
| 2011 | 300 | 26 | 11 | 42 | 0 | .227 | .397 | .719 |
Home
| Year | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 73 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .247 | .315 | .676 |
| 2012 | 232 | 17 | 4 | 18 | 1 | .198 | .289 | .558 |
| 2011 | 196 | 20 | 10 | 30 | 0 | .224 | .439 | .771 |
Away
| Year | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 85 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .235 | .400 | .737 |
| 2012 | 251 | 32 | 15 | 33 | 0 | .235 | .434 | .743 |
| 2011 | 231 | 18 | 5 | 25 | 0 | .242 | .359 | .674 |
| Year | Age | Lg | Tm | PA | AB | Walk Rate | Strikeout Rate | BB/K Ratio | Contact Rate | BABIP | Isolated Power | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 21 | A | Cli | 62 | 56 | 8.1% | 16.1% | 0.50 | 82% | .326 | .214 | |
| 2009 | 22 | R | AZL | 7 | 6 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 1.00 | 83% | .667 | 1.333 | |
| 2009 | 22 | AA | FRI | 222 | 178 | 17.6% | 15.8% | 1.11 | 80% | .380 | .157 | |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA | OKL | 237 | 197 | 14.8% | 19% | 0.78 | 77% | .297 | .116 | |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Okl | 66 | 50 | 24.2% | 12.1% | 2.00 | 84% | .325 | .240 | |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Tac | 159 | 133 | 14.5% | 20.1% | 0.72 | 76% | .309 | .210 | |
| 2010 | 23 | MAJ | SEA | 122 | 113 | 6.6% | 27.9% | 0.24 | 70% | .297 | .168 | |
| 2010 | 23 | MAJ | TEX | 275 | 235 | 13.8% | 20.7% | 0.67 | 76% | .241 | .144 | |
| 2010 (Multiple Teams) | 23 | MAJ | SEA/TEX | 397 | 348 | 11.6% | 22.9% | 0.51 | 74% | .258 | .153 | |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Tac | 15 | 11 | 20% | 6.7% | 3.00 | 91% | .000 | .000 | |
| 2011 | 24 | MAJ | SEA | 489 | 427 | 11.2% | 21.5% | 0.52 | 75% | .277 | .162 | |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Tac | 82 | 66 | 19.5% | 19.5% | 1.00 | 76% | .320 | .122 | |
| 2012 | 25 | MAJ | SEA | 535 | 483 | 9.2% | 20.7% | 0.44 | 77% | .244 | .147 | |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Tac | 22 | 21 | 0% | 22.7% | 0.00 | 76% | .313 | .095 | |
| 2013 | 26 | MAJ | SEA | 184 | 158 | 13.6% | 22.8% | 0.60 | 73% | .304 | .120 | |
| 2013 Projections | MAJ | Subscribe now to see our 2013 projections for Justin Smoak | ||||||||||
| 3-Year Averages | MAJ | 473 | 419 | 10.6% | 21.6% | 0.49 | 76% | .258 | .148 | |||
| Career | MAJ | 1605 | 1416 | 10.9% | 21.7% | 0.50 | 75% | .264 | .150 | |||
Age is determined on July 1st of each season. Jump To: ▲ Basic Stats ▲ Split Stats ▼ Batter vs. Pitcher Stats ▲ Games By Position
No No2013 Stat Review for Justin Smoak As compared to the top 350 hitters in 2012 (min 200 PA)
Good contact skills often lead to better fantasy stats.
Explain This
SLG and ISO are useful indicators of power.
Explain This
Patience at the plate often leads to positive outcomes.
Explain This
A couple of useful stats for evaluating a hitter.
Explain This
2013 Projected Stats Breakdown for Justin Smoak
2013 projections compared to top 300 hitters in 2012 (min 250 PA)
2013 projections compared to top first basemen in 2012 (min 250 PA)
Seattle Mariners Roster
Majors
Bay, Jason (OF)AAA
Ackley, Dustin (2B)AA
Almonte, Denny (OF)A+
Choi, Ji-Man (1B)A
Austin, Jamal (OF)Rookie
Burgess, Jarrett (OF)Career Batter vs. Pitcher Stats (View All Matchup Data)
Best Matchups for Justin Smoak (by OPS, min 4 AB)
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB | AVG | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Lewis | TEX | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .571 | 1.286 | 1.857 |
| Felipe Paulino | KC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 1.167 | 1.667 |
| Joe Saunders | SEA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.167 | 1.667 |
| Jeff Francis | COL | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .800 | .800 | 1.600 |
| Scott Downs | ANA | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .571 | 1.000 | 1.571 |
| Jerry Blevins | OAK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 1.000 | 1.500 |
| Zack Greinke | LA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .400 | 1.000 | 1.500 |
| Justin Verlander | DET | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .400 | 1.000 | 1.500 |
| Dan Hudson | AZ | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .400 | 1.000 | 1.400 |
| Craig Breslow | BOS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .600 | .800 | 1.400 |
Worst Matchups for Justin Smoak (by OPS, min 4 AB)
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB | AVG | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hisanori Takahashi | CHI-N | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Josh Tomlin | CLE | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Fernando Rodney | TB | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Scott Kazmir | CLE | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Mark Lowe | WAS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jordan Walden | ATL | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Alex Cobb | TB | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Ernesto Frieri | ANA | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Luke Gregerson | SD | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| A.J. Griffin | OAK | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
Note: Stats are from 2002 through the 2012 season. Jump To: ▲ Basic Stats ▲ Split Stats ▲ Advanced Stats ▲ Games By Position
Justin Smoak: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
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Subscribe to RotoWire now to instantly reveal our analysis.RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
2013
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2012
After a promising start to the season, Smoak's 2011 turned rocky by early summer. He struggled through July, watching his average drop nearly 50 points from its late-June high of .264. He played only three games in August because of separate injuries. And all that came after his father passed away earlier in the year. Instead of solidifying his spot in the middle of the lineup, Smoak still has questions to answer. The Mariners are in the market for more power, but if they sign a first baseman, Smoak likely would be kept around as the DH. Either way, Smoak has something to prove in 2012.
2011
Smoak was the centerpiece of the Cliff Lee deal last season, heading to Seattle with the opportunity to be a middle-of-the-order power bat and first baseman for the foreseeable future. He struggled at times with Texas after his callup, and then the Mariners sent him to Triple-A after a .439 OPS in 16 games. He returned in mid-September and warmed up over the final 10 games with 15 hits, three doubles, three homers, nine RBI and seven walks. If he can carry that over to 2011, he'll be in fine shape. If not, he'll have plenty of time to figure things out as he has first base all to himself.
2010
Smoak struggled at Triple-A Oklahoma City, hitting just .244/.363/.360 in 197 at-bats following a decent showing at Double-A Frisco (.326/.450/.483 in 178 at-bats). He continues to show an excellent batting eye, drawing 52 walks and fanning just 55 times in 375 at-bats on the season. The lack of power is a tad troubling, though we'll give him another go at Triple-A Oklahoma City before we get too concerned. Where he fits in behind Chris Davis once he arrives in Texas will largely depend on how each player progresses over the next 12-18 months.
2009
Smoak draw comparisons to Chipper Jones and Mark Teixeira after being a first-round pick in June, and his brief pro debut (.304/.355/.518 in 56 at-bats) at Low-A Clinton was solid after agreeing to terms right at the deadline in early August. His AFL campaign was solid as well, and he should see time at Double-A Frisco by year's end. Where he fits long-term with Chris Davis at first base remains to be seen, but it's a nice problem to have.
