26-Year-Old Pitcher – Arizona Diamondbacks
2016 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
Miller's first two seasons feel miles apart despite only a 0.68 difference in ERA. His strikeouts plummeted, his walks spiked, and he likely wouldn't have maintained his 3.74 ERA without a .256 BABIP....
Shelby Miller Contract Information:
Signed a one-year, $4.35 million deal with the Diamondbacks in January 2016, avoiding arbitration.
Miller (3-12) threw a rare five-inning complete game, allowing no runs on five hits while striking out five and walking one in a victory over the Nationals on Wednesday. The game was called after five and a half innings due to rain.
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|Preseason||Subscribe now to see our 2016 projections for Shelby Miller||3-Year Averages||28||28||1||163.1||156||71||16||122||62||6||12||0||0||0||3.92||1.34|
|Career (View All)||122||116||5||676.3||631||275||69||553||249||35||47||0||–||–||3.66||1.30|
Age is determined on July 1st of each season. Jump To: ▼ Advanced StatsNo No No
|Last 14 Games (Team)
2 Games Pitched: Avg. 5.5 IP/G
|Last 30 Games (Team)
6 Games Pitched: Avg. 5.3 IP/G
|Last 60 Games (Team)
6 Games Pitched: Avg. 5.3 IP/G
Shelby Miller Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
|Year||Age||Lg||Tm||G||GS||IP||K/9||BB/9||K/BB||HR/9||GB/FB Ratio||Strand %||Fastball||ERA||FIP||BABIP|
|Preseason||Subscribe now to see our 2016 projections for Shelby Miller||3-Year Averages||28||28||163.1||6.73||3.42||1.97||0.88||–||72.8%||–||3.92||4.12||.293|
2016 Stat Review for Shelby Miller As compared to the top 100 starting pitchers in 2015 (min 130 in)
A collection of stats that measure different skills.
A few general measures of a pitcher's effectiveness.
Balls in play avg. and % of runners left stranded.
Arizona Diamondbacks Roster
MajorsAhmed, Nick (SS)
AAABanda, Anthony (P)
AABradley, J.R. (P)
A+Huang, Wei-Chieh (P)
Shelby Miller: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
In November, Miller was sent to Atlanta as part of the Jason Heyward trade, a move that could help the talented righty who's still just 24 years old. Miller was solid again in his second full season as a major leaguer, starting 31 games and posting a 3.74 ERA and striking out 127 batters across 183 innings. His underlying numbers are less impressive, however, as he was helped by a .256 BABIP and a 76.9% LOB percentage, slightly lower than his career norms. His 4.47 xFIP is not inspiring, but he is still very young and Atlanta has always had success in developing pitchers, so the change of scenery could be just what he needed. Unfortunately, the loss of Heyward from the outfield won't do Miller any favors as he's a bit of a flyball pitcher (0.97 GB/FB). Miller should still have a fairly safe floor and a decently high ceiling for 2015, making him a worthy gamble if the price is right.
Miller started the season on fire as one of baseball's best pitchers over the first few months of 2013. Even after cooling a bit in the second half, Miller finished the season with excellent numbers, striking out 169 batters in 173.1 innings and carrying a 3.06 ERA. He struggled with walks at times, but at age-23, he's still capable of ironing out those issues. Miller's mysterious disappearing act during the playoffs led many to speculate that the young flame-thrower might be traded during the offseason, but Miller remains with the team heading into the spring and projects to be a mid-rotation starter for the Cards in 2014.
One of the best pitching prospects in all of baseball, Miller struggled at times with Triple-A Memphis last year, but he had a nice stint with the Cardinals late in the year, including a six-inning scoreless gem on the season's last day. Miller will be given every opportunity to win a job in the rotation this season, and given his stuff, he could be at the top of that rotation within a few years. You might look at his 4.74 ERA and 1.38 WHIP with Memphis and wonder what the big deal is, but check out the 160:50 K:BB ratio in just 136.2 innings. It might already be too late to get him at a good price.
St. Louis may inexplicably give the ball to Kyle Lohse every fifth day, but they have a pitcher down in Springfield that is probably better than Lohse right now. Miller, the top prospect in the St. Louis system, and arguably the top pitching prospect in all of baseball, may get a shot at making the rotation out of spring training, but he's far more likely to pitch in the minors at least for a few more months. His walk rate could use a little work, as it increased a little when he advanced last year, but everything else is already major-league ready. Buy him now before it's too late.
The Cardinals are clearly being cautious about their top draft pick in 2009, but at 19 he put up a dominating 140:33 K:BB ratio in 104.1 IP for Low-A Quad Cities last year, so it won't be long before they start feeling the pressure to bring him up. A .367 BABIP contributed to his not-so-noteworthy ERA and WHIP, so his numbers could improve this year even if he doesn't. He's going to advance quickly, so pick him up in keeper formats while you still can.
Miller was the Cardinals' first-round pick out of high school last year. He's big and throws very hard, but at just 19, he has a long way to go before he reaches the majors. He'll probably spend all of 2010 in Low-A, working on his command.