33-Year-Old Pitcher – Minnesota Twins
2016 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
The Twins signed Santana to a four-year, $54 million contract last offseason to fortify the rotation, but he was suspended for 80 games after testing positive for Stanozolol just before the season beg...
Ervin Santana Contract Information:
Agreed to a four-year, $54 million contract in Dec. 2014 that includes a vesting option for 2019 that kicks in if he pitches 200 innings in 2018 or 400+ innings combined in 2017-18, according to the Minneapolis Star Tribune.
Santana (7-5) surrendered two runs on four hits and three walks while striking out three over seven innings in Friday's loss to the Royals.
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|2016 RotoWire Projections||Subscribe now to see our 2016 projections for Ervin Santana|
|Career (View All)||316||313||7||1,990.7||1,931||920||257||1,589||625||126||105||0||–||–||4.16||1.28|
Age is determined on July 1st of each season. Jump To: ▼ Advanced StatsNo No No
|Last 14 Days
3 Games: Avg. 7.0 IP/G
|Last 30 Days
6 Games: Avg. 7.2 IP/G
|Last 60 Days
12 Games: Avg. 6.2 IP/G
Ervin Santana Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
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|2016 RotoWire Projections||Subscribe now to see our 2016 projections for Ervin Santana|
2015 Stat Review for Ervin Santana As compared to the top 100 starting pitchers in 2015 (min 130 in)
A collection of stats that measure different skills.
A few general measures of a pitcher's effectiveness.
Balls in play avg. and % of runners left stranded.
2016 Projected Stats Breakdown for Ervin Santana
2016 projections compared to top pitchers in 2015.
Minnesota Twins Roster
MajorsArcia, Oswaldo (OF)
AAABerrios, Jose (P)
AAAdam, Jason (P)
A+Bard, Luke (P)
ABoer, Madison (P)
Ervin Santana: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Santana was late finding a home in 2014, as the draft pick compensation attached to him deterred a lot of teams, but after Kris Medlen and Brandon Beachy both went down in spring training, the Braves reached out. Betting on himself, Santana signed a one-year, $14.1 million contract, and the immediate returns for Atlanta were significant, as he went 4-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his first six starts. Regression was inevitable, and Santana's ERA more than doubled over his next three outings, but his 3.21 xFIP was more indicative of how he pitched in the first half than his 7-6 record and 4.01 ERA. The right-hander's walk rate went up in the second half (from 2.5 BB/9 to 3.3), but so did his strikeout rate (from 7.8 K/9 to 8.6), and with strong overall results and his health intact, Santana again had the confidence to turn down a qualifying offer ($15.8 million) at the conclusion of the season. He was rewarded for that confidence in the form of a four-year, $54 million contract with Minnesota. Home runs allowed have been a problem for Santana (career 1.2 HR/9), so a move to Target Field will help him as he settle into the No. 2 starter role for the Twins.
After enduring one of his worst seasons in 2012, everything seemed to go just right for the now 31-year-old right-hander in 2013. Santana flourished on the mound for Kansas City, seeing his strikeout rate go up while he lowered his walk rate and maintained an unexpected 3.24 ERA, with a 161:51 K:BB over 211 innings. He gave up fewer home runs, increased his groundball rate and missed plenty of bats, as evidenced by lower contact rates against him and a 10 percent swinging-strike rate. It was a season that both he and the Royals hoped he would have and he was a big part of their reasonably strong showing in the Wild Card race. Of course, a season like that for him meant turning down the Royals' qualifying offer and electing for free agency. The team wants him back, but the price tag may just be too high. At press time though, he remains unsigned.
Santana's final year as an Angel was a gargantuan disappointment, as he finished the season with his worst walk rate since 2007, worst strikeout rate since 2006, and the worst home-run rate of his career. The home runs were especially problematic as Santana led the American League with 39 allowed despite tossing only 178 innings. His astronomical HR/FB rate (18.9%) last season was almost certainly an anomaly, but it's also something that would probably never happen to a pitcher who is both throwing the ball well and pitching half of his games in the pitcher-friendly confines of Angel Stadium. Santana's declining fastball velocity, which fell from an average of 92.8 mph in 2011 to 91.7 mph in 2012, is probably part of the problem and has led to speculation that there is some underlying issue with his elbow. There's really nothing to back that speculation up at this time, but it's hard to know what to expect for Santana in his first season in Kansas City. His upside is probably a good No. 2 pitcher while his downside is the monstrosity of a season that he just produced.
Santana won just 11 games last season, but he posted a career-best 3.38 ERA and struck out 178 batters in 228.2 innings. He'll be arguably the best fourth starter in the league in 2012 on a team that should score more runs than it did last season, so Santana could provide a nice return on his mid-round selection if his offense can get him a few more wins.
Santana bounced back from a rough 2009 season to win a career-high 17 games for the Angels last season. None of his other stats were overly impressive, but the 28-year-old's peripherals were in line with his career norms. Santana is in the prime of his career; but while his numbers are more likely to improve than decline, don't expect him to reach the 214 strikeouts he recorded in 2008.
A sore elbow and subsequent forearm pain prevented Santana from building on his breakthrough 2008 campaign, although he showed enough on his good nights – two shutouts, eight quality starts and 2.48 ERA in his last 11 starts – that you can still see a No. 2 starter in him. Talk up the 5.01 ERA, his crazy home/road splits and the missed time, then snag him late and be very, very happy.
Santana transformed from a fringe starter in spring training into one of the Angels’ best starting pitchers by the end of the season. Santana went 16-7 with a 3.49 ERA and 214 strikeouts in 2007 and helped ease the loss of Kelvim Escobar. Santana’s success last season can be attributed to one thing – his ability to pitch on the road. Santana, who had an 8.38 road ERA in 2007, posted a 3.02 ERA and won 11 games away from home last season. Now that he's taken the leap, we expect similar results in 2009.
Santana’s home ERA: 3.37. Santana’s road ERA: a disastrous 8.38. No other pitcher in the league has home/away splits that resemble these numbers. Still, Santana possesses a high-90s fastball and a dynamite slider. He has obvious talent, but until he figures out how to pitch on the road, he won't have a permanent place in the Angels' starting rotation. Santana will battle Joe Saunders for the No. 5 starter's job this spring, with the loser likely heading to the bullpen. With uncertainty about his spot in the rotation and is inability to pitch in the road, you'll want to limit how much of an investment you make him on draft day. That said, his talent alone makes him an enticing late-round pick if he wins a spot in the Angels rotation.
Santana is further along at age 23 than teammate John Lackey was, providing hope that he'll show the same improvement Lackey did after the same age. The dip in strikeout rate isn't a big deal because it was paired with improvement in command. More valuable with the Angels--with whom he gets 20 or more starts in pitchers' parks--than he'll be if he gets traded.
Like rotation mate John Lackey, Santana picked things up considerably the second half of 2005. He went from a 6.20 ERA in the first half, to 9-4 with a 3.97 ERA in the second half. He'll only be 23 to start the season so look for continued improvement with decent upside.
Santana missed time last season with tendonitis in his right elbow and shoulder. He's the top pitching prospect in the Angels farm system but the nagging arm injuries are a concern. He should be healthy by spring and the organization has high hopes for him. At 22, it's unlikely he'll rise above Triple-A until late in 2005.
Santana went 11-3 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 26 starts between Double-A Arkansas and Single-A ball last season. He'll probably spend 2004 in Double-A, but may get a shot at Triple-A if he continues to excel. Anahiem's top starter prospect probably won't be a factor in the majors until 2005 at the earliest.
Signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2000, the now 20-year old has aged 10 months but remains a top power-pitching prospect. He’s begun filling out his 6’4” frame and now tops the scales at over 170 lbs. His fastball can touch the upper-nineties and he regularly works around the 94-95 mph range. He has a hard slider and good change up to compliment the heat, but both need refining. He’s able to command all three pitches, which bodes well for his future as a major league starter. The 2003 season should find him at High Class-A and if successful could wind up the season in Double-A. It’s probable his development won’t find him in the majors until some time in 2005, but the projection as a top-of-the-rotation pitcher is not unreasonable. Formerly Johan Q. Santana.