Tim Lincecum

2013

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2012

Lincecum was his usual dominant self last season, finishing with a 2.74 ERA, 1.207 WHIP and 220 strikeouts over 217.0 innings. His 3.57 BB/9IP was his worst since his rookie year, but he posted an ERA of 1.90 or lower in three of the season's final five months. Encouragingly, his average fastball velocity (92.3) was up a full mph from the previous season, while his change-up remained highly effective. Lincecum's strikeout rate has dropped each of the past three seasons, but there's no real reason to expect it to happen a fourth, as he's forcing just as many swing-and-misses as ever and appears healthy. Lincecum remains an elite fantasy option who might not cost as high a draft pick this year compared to last, and he'll be motivated with a possible big payday looming.

2011

Lincecum's 2010 season wasn't as good as his previous two years in which he won-back-to-back Cy Young awards, but he led the National League in strikeouts for the third straight season and was hardly a bust for his fantasy owners. While his strikeout rate dropped slightly, the main difference in his 2010 campaign was an uptick in homers allowed, as he served up 18 long balls after yielding 21 combined over the previous two years. Lincecum's fastball velocity has dropped every year he's been in the big leagues, bottoming out at 91.3 mph last season, but he posted a 1.94 ERA and a 0.936 WHIP with a 52:8 K:BB ratio over 41.2 innings in September, so he's not exactly free falling into a decline phase. There isn't a stronger bet for strikeouts in all of baseball, and coming off something of a down year, Lincecum's price tag should be cheaper at draft tables. He's a fine investment to make.

2010

Lincecum has won back-to-back Cy Youngs over his first full two years as a starter, as he was somehow even better in 2009 despite seeing his average fastball velocity drop from 94.1 mph in 2008 to 92.4 mph last season. His 10.4 K/9IP mark was second only to Rich Harden (10.9) among qualified starters, and he also showed improved command. His changeup was the single most effective pitch in all of MLB in 2009, and his ability to limit homers is starting to become a trend rather than fluke. Lincecum also improved his groundball rate and held opponents to an MLB-low .561 OPS last year. To put that in perspective, the lowest OPS by a batter (who qualified) last season was Emilio Bonifacio at .611. The Giants� much-improved defense is also great news for Lincecum moving forward. After averaging the most number of pitches per start in MLB in 2008 (109.03), Lincecum averaged the third most last season (107.469), so he�s been worked hard. Still, thanks to the Giants failing to make the playoffs and rarely skipping their fifth starter, Lincecum barely eclipsed the dangerous 3,400-pitch total (3,439), so despite his small frame, he�s no more of an injury risk than any other hurler. He should be the first pitcher off the board in 2010 fantasy drafts.

2009

Lincecum was brilliant in 2008, finishing 18-5 with a 2.62 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 265 strikeouts over 227 innings. He still walks too many batters (3.3 BB/9IP), but that's really the only area to complain about. His 10.51 K/9IP mark led baseball by a wide margin, which was important since he had one of the league's worst defenses playing behind him. Lincecum features a two-seam fastball that can reach 98 mph, which is unheard of. He also possesses one of the game's best curveballs. What really pushed him over the top in 2008, however, was the development of his changeup, which has turned into a third plus pitch. Lincecum's fantastic season earned him a Cy Young award, but high pitch counts and a big jump in innings pitched make him something of an injury risk moving forward. Still, there isn't a pitcher in baseball with more upside.

2008

Lincecum flew through the minors last year, allowing just one run over 31 innings (0.29 ERA). Of the 116 batters he faced, he struck out 46 of them. In other words, he fanned 40 percent of the hitters that stepped up to the plate – historically good. Lincecum didn't quite dominate major league hitters the same way, but he did finish with an impressive 150:65 K:BB ratio over 146.1 innings while holding batters to just a .226 average. He faded down the stretch, but since he threw 50 more innings than he did his previous year in college, that should have been expected. At 5-11, 170 pounds, Lincecum's durability has rightfully been questioned, but he's never had a hint of arm trouble, despite his unique mechanics. His stuff, however, is unquestionably ace material. He has a fastball that reaches the upper 90's, a devastating curveball and a developing changeup that could prove lethal. Once Lincecum improves his command and learns a little bit more about pitching, his potential is endless. While he doesn't come without risk, Lincecum is the type of fantasy pick that could win your league for you.

2007

Lincecum, the 10th overall pick from the 2006 draft, has a devastating curve and a fastball that can reach 100 mph. He averaged 14.3 K/9 in college but slipped in the draft because he's a bit undersized. That certainly didn't prove to be a problem in the minors last year, where he fanned 58 batters in 31.2 IP and compiled a 1.71 ERA. He projects as a No. 1 starter and could be ready to contribute as early as this year. He's definitely someone to watch out for.