26-Year-Old Pitcher – Cincinnati Reds
2014 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
Latos turned into exactly the workhorse at the top of the rotation that the Reds expected when they boldly traded for him in the winter of 2011. Given the travails of Yonder Alonso and Yasmani Grandal...
Mat Latos Contract Information:
Signed a two-year, $11.5 million deal with the Reds in February of 2013.
Latos' (elbow) MRI revealed a flexor mass strain in his forearm, but his UCL is strong, C. Trent Rosecrans of the Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
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Mat Latos Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
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2014 Stat Review for Mat Latos As compared to the top 100 starting pitchers in 2013 (min 140 in)
A collection of stats that measure different skills.
A few general measures of a pitcher's effectiveness.
Balls in play avg. and % of runners left stranded.
Cincinnati Reds Roster
MajorsBailey, Homer (P)
AAAAnderson, Bryan (C)
A+Arias, Junior (OF)
RookieArmstrong, Mark (P)
Career Pitcher vs. Batter Stats (View All Matchup Data)
Worst Matchups for Mat Latos (by OPS against, min 10 AB)
Best Matchups for Mat Latos (by OPS against, min 10 AB)
Mat Latos: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Latos failed to become the staff ace that the Reds hoped he would when they traded for him last December, but that's only because Johnny Cueto was better. After a rough April (5.97 ERA), Latos stabilized to provide exactly what the Reds wanted from him. As expected, he gave up more homers due to the change in ballparks (18 of his 25 homers allowed were in Great American Ballpark, though it's worth noting his home ERA was 3.18, compared to 3.93 on the road), including one game where he allowed five solo shots and still got the win. But even in that department, 17 of those homers allowed occurred over the first half of the season (soul-crushing homers in the playoffs don't count for this exercise). Expect more of the same this season, including possibly a rough April (his career April ERA is 5.73).
After enjoying a career year in 2010, Latos appeared to take a significant step back in 2011. Virtually all of his numbers, ranging form ERA to K/BB to swinging-strike percentage, took a hit. However, if you look at his monthly splits, you'll notice that the overall totals are skewed by a poor start to the season in which Latos was suffering from both velocity and control issues as well as recovering from a sore shoulder in spring training. He made steady improvements and by midseason, had righted the ship, posting a 2.87 ERA with a 3.83 K/BB ratio after the All-Star break, all while holding the opposition to a .205 BAA. Traded to the Reds in December, Latos will now pitch half of his games at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, but his strong peripherals should help him retain most of his value despite an expected uptick in his home-run rate.
In his first full season in the majors, Latos took the National League by storm racking up 14 wins, 189 strikeouts, a 2.92 ERA, and an outstanding 1.083 WHIP. He kept his walk rate down (2.4 BB/9IP) and used a fastball/slider combination that kept hitters off balance. Of course, pitching in PETCO Park also helped. Going into 2011, the biggest concern will be how his body handles the 60-plus innings increase he made from 2009 to 2010. Assuming he can stay healthy, expect an adjustment period as he won't be sneaking up on anyone this time around. Still, his skill set and home park are a great foundation for any young pitcher.
An ankle injury kept him off the mound in April, but Latos hit the ground running thereafter, dominating Double-A and impressing in the Futures Game. His cup of coffee with the Padres was less impressive and showed that he needs work on his secondary pitches. He's in a great spot for a young pitcher and has both the scouting and stats imprimaturs. Look for him to be a league-average starter this season and get better from there as his breaking ball and changeup improve.
Latos, considered by many in the San Diego organization to be their future closer, started the season at Low-A Fort Wayne after staying behind at extended spring training due to shoulder soreness. He then suffered a rib cage injury and when recovered, he was assigned to the Arizona Rookie League where he aggravated an intercostal strain. He finished the season at short-season Eugene (also Low-A). Between his early season shoulder woes and recurring intercostal strain, Latos only threw 56 innings combined over the three levels, starting in 11-of-15 appearances to build up arm strength. While Latos is still viewed as the bullpen stopper, his development was curtailed a bit by the 2008 injuries, so he is going to have to show he is durable enough to handle the role, probably by beginning the season at Double-A Portland. It is encouraging that Latos' arm remained healthy, but the lingering nature of his intercostal strain is a concern.