NBA Value Meter: Introducing: The Game Changer

Eric Johnson

Eric Johnson writes about fantasy sports for RotoWire.

Posted on Sunday, February 27, 2011

NBA VALUE METER - WEEK 19

This is our weekly cheat sheet based on our player's projected output and number of games. It assumes an eight-category roto style league with the following categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, three-pointers made, free-throw percentage and field-goal percentage.

These are my rankings. They do not necessarily correspond with the RotoWire cheat sheet or our projections for the season. I use both as a rough guide, but I primarily factor in number of games played for the week, current player trends and pertinent information about the team (injuries, time share situations, etc). The Value Meter takes into account games played Monday through Saturday. We will try to update the meter with any breaking news that happens on Sunday, but in most cases, any injuries, lineup changes, etc. that happen on Sunday won't be accounted for on the Value Meter until the following week.

Week 19 - February 28th - March 6th

Five Games:	NONE
Four Games:	ATL, BOS, CHI, DEN, GSW, IND, MIN, NO, NYK, PHO, SAS, WAS
Three Games:	CHA, CLE, DAL, DET, HOU, LAC, LAL, MEM, MIA, MIL, NJ, OKC, ORL, PHI, POR, SAC, TOR, UTA
Two Games:	NONE
One Game:	NONE
	= new to Value Meter

Point Guards
Rank	Player	Eligible	Team	Games	Comment
1	Derrick Rose	[PG]	CHI	4
2	Chris Paul	[PG]	NO	4
3	Rajon Rondo	[PG]	BOS	4
4	John Wall	[PG]	WAS	4	Averaging 15.5 points, 9.0 assists and 1.6 steals for the season.
5	Steve Nash	[PG]	PHO	4
6	Chauncey Billups	[PG]	NYK	4
7	Stephen Curry	[PG,SG]	GSW	4
8	Russell Westbrook	[PG,SG]	OKC	3
9	Deron Williams	[PG]	NJ	3
10	Jason Kidd	[PG]	DAL	3
11	Beno Udrih	[PG,SG]	SAC	3	Averaging 17.7 points and 9.3 assists over last three games.
12	Tony Parker	[PG]	SAS	4
13	Andre Miller	[PG]	POR	3
14	Jose Calderon	[PG]	TOR	3
15	Darren Collison	[PG]	IND	4
16	Devin Harris	[PG,SG]	UTA	3
17	Jrue Holiday	[PG]	PHI	3
18	Brandon Jennings	[PG]	MIL	3
19	D.J. Augustin	[PG]	CHA	3	Averaging 23.0 points, 5.5 assists and 1.5 threes over last two games.
20	Kyle Lowry	[PG,SG]	HOU	3	Value goes up with Aaron Brooks traded to Denver.
21	Mike Conley, Jr.	[PG,SG]	MEM	3
22	Luke Ridnour	[PG]	MIN	4
23	Rodney Stuckey	[PG,SG]	DET	3
24	Ramon Sessions	[PG,SG]	CLE	3	Starter for now but will likely move to bench when Baron Davis (knee) is healthy.
25	Jameer Nelson	[PG,SG]	ORL	3
26	Ty Lawson	[PG]	DEN	4
27	Raymond Felton	[PG,SG]	DEN	4	Value goes way down with trade to Denver. Looks to be in time share with Ty Lawson.
28	Mario Chalmers	[PG]	MIA	3	Averaging 13.3 points, 3.7 assists and 1.3 threes over last three games.
29	Eric Bledsoe	[PG]	LAC	3	Decent short-term play for assists until Mo Williams (ankle) comes back.
30	Toney Douglas	[PG,SG]	NYK	4
31	Jeff Teague	[PG]	ATL	4	Could see bump in minutes (most likely time share with Hinrich) with Mike Bibby gone.
32	Aaron Brooks	[PG,SG]	PHO	4
33	Kirk Hinrich	[PG,SG]	ATL	4
34	Maurice Williams *	[PG,SG]	LAC	3	Day-to-day (ankle).
35	Baron Davis *	[PG]	CLE	3	Day-to-day (knee).

Shooting Guards
Rank	Player	Eligible	Team	Games	Comment
1	Monta Ellis	[PG,SG]	GSW	4
2	Dwyane Wade	[SG]	MIA	3
3	Kobe Bryant	[SG]	LAL	3
4	Nick Young	[SG,SF]	WAS	4	Averaging 20.8 points and 2.5 threes over last four games.
5	Manu Ginobili	[SG]	SAS	4
6	Joe Johnson	[SG]	ATL	4	Only averaging 12.6 points on 42% shooting from the field over last five games.
7	Ray Allen	[SG]	BOS	4
8	Kevin Martin	[SG]	HOU	3
9	John Salmons	[SG,SF]	MIL	3	Averaging 20.4 points, 5.2 assists and 1.4 threes over last five games.
10	Aaron Afflalo	[SG]	DEN	4
11	Vince Carter	[SG]	PHO	4
12	Landry Fields	[SG]	NYK	4
13	Randy Foye	[PG,SG]	LAC	3	Averaging 28.0 points, 5.0 assists, and 4.5 threes over last two games but value will decrease if Eric Gordon (wrist) returns this week.
14	Wesley Matthews	[SG,SF]	POR	3
15	Jason Richardson	[SG,SF]	ORL	3
16	Jason Terry	[PG,SG]	DAL	3
17	DeMar DeRozan	[SG,SF]	TOR	3
18	James Harden	[SG]	OKC	3	Averaging 14.2 points and 2.0 threes in 25 minutes over last five games.
19	Jamal Crawford	[PG,SG]	ATL	4
20	George Hill	[PG,SG]	SAS	4
21	J.R. Smith	[SG]	DEN	4
22	Brandon Rush	[SG]	IND	4	Moves into starting lineup with Mike Dunleavy (hand out) but could be in time share with Paul George.
23	Paul George	[SG]	IND	4
24	Brandon Roy*	[SG]	POR	3	Back in action (knee) but is on minutes restriction and most likely won't play in back-to-backs.
25	Rudy Fernandez	[SG,SF]	POR	3
26	Ben Gordon	[SG]	DET	3
27	Tony Allen	[SG]	MEM	3
28	Tracy McGrady	[SG]	DET	3
29	Sasha Vujacic	[PG,SG]	NJ	3	Starting at shooting guard but looks to be in time share with Anthony Morrow.
30	Anthony Morrow	[SG,SF]	NJ	3
31	Leandro Barbosa	[PG,SG]	TOR	3
32	Louis Williams	[PG,SG]	PHI	3
33	Jermaine Taylor	[SG]	SAC	3
34	O.J. Mayo	[SG]	MEM	3	Averaging 11.5 points, 1.8 threes and 2.0 steals over last four games.
35	Eric Gordon *	[SG]	LAC	3	Could return this week (wrist).

Small Forwards
Rank	Player	Eligible	Team	Games	Comment
1	Carmelo Anthony *	[SF]	NYK	4	Day-to-day (elbow).
2	Danny Granger	[SF]	IND	4
3	Paul Pierce	[SG,SF]	BOS	4
4	LeBron James	[SF]	MIA	3
5	Kevin Durant	[SG,SF]	OKC	3
6	Luol Deng	[SG,SF]	CHI	4
7	Danilo Gallinari	[SF]	DEN	4
8	Dorell Wright	[SG,SF]	GSW	4
9	Wilson Chandler	[SF,PF]	DEN	4
10	Michael Beasley	[SF,PF]	MIN	4
11	Andre Iguodala	[SG,SF]	PHI	3
12	Stephen Jackson	[SG,SF]	CHA	3
13	Gerald Wallace	[SF,PF]	POR	3	Value could go down a bit with Nicolas Batum in the mix for small forward minutes.
14	Grant Hill	[SG,SF]	PHO	4
15	Trevor Ariza	[SF]	NO	4
16	Richard Jefferson	[SF]	SAS	4
17	Rashard Lewis	[SF]	WAS	4
18	Wesley Johnson	[SF]	MIN	4	Could see increase in minutes and production (22 points in 43 minutes in last game) with Corey Brewer traded and Martell Webster out (back).
19	Josh Howard	[SF]	WAS	4
20	Andrei Kirilenko	[SG,SF]	UTA	3
21	Hedo Turkoglu	[SF,PF]	ORL	3
22	Chase Budinger	[SG,SF]	HOU	3	Looks to be starter at SF with Shane Battier traded to Memphis. Averaging 27.5 points, 7.0 rebounds and 3.5 threes over last two games.
23	Nicolas Batum	[SF]	POR	3	Value takes a hit with arrival of Gerald Wallace.
24	Shawn Marion	[SF,PF]	DAL	3
25	Marvin Williams	[SF]	ATL	4
26	Kyle Korver	[SG,SF]	CHI	4
27	Jared Dudley	[SG,SF]	PHO	4
28	Gerald Henderson	[SG,SF]	CHA	3	Averaging 15.8 points and 4.4 rebounds over last five and is now starting at SF with Gerald Wallace traded.
29	Peja Stojakovic	[SG,SF]	DAL	3
30	Carlos Delfino	[SG,SF]	MIL	3
31	Carl Landry	[SF,PF]	NO	4
32	Thaddeus Young	[SF,PF]	PHI	3
33	Austin Daye	[SF,PF]	DET	3	Could see bump in minutes with Tayshaun Prince (back) out.
34	Corey Maggette	[SF]	MIL	3
35	Sam Young	[SG,SF]	MEM	3	Value goes down with Shane Battier in the mix.

Power Forwards
Rank	Player	Eligible	Team	Games	Comment
1	Josh Smith	[SF,PF]	ATL	4	Averaging 20.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 1.6 steals and 1.0 blocks over last five games.
2	Channing Frye	[PF,C]	PHO	4	Averaging 21.2 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.8 threes over last five games.
3	Kevin Love	[PF,C]	MIN	4	Averaging 15.2 points and 14.2 rebounds over last five but no blocks (0.4) or threes (0.6).
4	Kevin Garnett	[PF]	BOS	4	Averaging 17.4 points, 10.6 rebounds and 1.6 blocks over last five games.
5	Carlos Boozer	[PF]	CHI	4
6	Tim Duncan	[PF,C]	SAS	4
7	David Lee	[PF]	GSW	4
8	David West	[PF]	NO	4
9	LaMarcus Aldridge	[PF,C]	POR	3
10	Pau Gasol	[PF,C]	LAL	3
11	Blake Griffin	[PF]	LAC	3
12	Zach Randolph	[PF]	MEM	3
13	Dirk Nowitzki	[PF]	DAL	3
14	Paul Millsap	[SF,PF]	UTA	3	Averaging 19.8 points, 9.8 rebounds, 1.4 steals and 1.0 blocks over last five games.
15	Antawn Jamison	[PF]	CLE	3
16	Elton Brand	[PF]	PHI	3
17	Chris Bosh	[PF,C]	MIA	3
18	Luis Scola	[SF,PF]	HOU	3
19	Greg Monroe	[PF,C]	DET	3	Should see bump in minutes with Ben Wallace (personal) out indefinitely. Averaging 16.0 points, 11.0 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 1.0 blocks in 34 minutes over last five games.
20	Jeff Green	[SF,PF]	BOS	4	Minutes and production will most likely decrease as sixth man in Boston.
21	Andray Blatche *	[PF,C]	WAS	4	Day-to-day (hip).
22	Glen Davis	[PF]	BOS	4
23	Kris Humphries	[PF]	NJ	3
24	Lamar Odom	[PF]	LAL	3
25	Amir Johnson	[PF,C]	TOR	3
26	Charlie Villanueva	[PF]	DET	3
27	Boris Diaw	[SF,PF]	CHA	3
28	Josh McRoberts	[PF,C]	IND	4
29	Kenyon Martin	[PF]	DEN	4
30	Al Harrington	[SF,PF]	DEN	4
31	Tyler Hansbrough	[PF]	IND	4
32	Ryan Anderson	[PF]	ORL	3
33	Brandon Bass	[SF,PF]	ORL	3
34	Luc Mbah a Moute	[SF,PF]	MIL	3	Could see bump in minutes this week with Ersan Ilyasova (concussion) out.
35	Jason Thompson *	[PF,C]	SAC	3	Day-to-day (ankle).

Centers
Rank	Player	Eligible	Team	Games	Comment
1	Amare Stoudemire	[C]	NYK	4
2	Al Horford	[PF,C]	ATL	4
3	Joakim Noah	[C]	CHI	4	Averaging 7.3 points, 13.7 rebounds and 1.0 blocks in three games since returning from injury.
4	Nene	[PF,C]	DEN	4
5	Emeka Okafor	[PF,C]	NO	4
6	Dwight Howard	[C]	ORL	3	Averaging 30.8 points, 14.4 rebounds, 3.4 blocks and 1.2 steals over last five games.
7	Al Jefferson	[PF,C]	UTA	3	Averaging 27.0 points, 9.4 rebounds and 2.2 blocks over last five games.
8	Andrea Bargnani	[PF,C]	TOR	3
9	Roy Hibbert	[C]	IND	4
10	Marcin Gortat	[C]	PHO	4
11	Andrew Bogut	[C]	MIL	3
12	Brook Lopez	[C]	NJ	3
13	J.J. Hickson	[PF,C]	CLE	3
14	Andrew Bynum	[C]	LAL	3
15	Marc Gasol	[C]	MEM	3
16	JaVale McGee	[PF,C]	WAS	4
17	Darko Milicic	[PF,C]	MIN	4
18	DeJuan Blair	[PF,C]	SAS	4
19	DeMarcus Cousins	[C]	SAC	3
20	Serge Ibaka	[PF,C]	OKC	3	Should see bump in minutes and production as starting power forward.
21	Tyson Chandler	[C]	DAL	3
22	Chuck Hayes	[PF,C]	HOU	3
23	Samuel Dalembert	[C]	SAC	3	Could see bump in minutes with Jason Thompson (ankle) out. Averaging 14.0 points and 9.8 rebounds in 27 minutes over last five games.
24	Nenad Krstic	[C]	BOS	4
25	Andris Biedrins	[C]	GSW	4
26	Chris Kaman	[C]	LAC	3	Starting to play more minutes than DeAndre Jordan. Averaging 10.4 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.6 blocks over last five games.
27	Kwame Brown	[C]	CHA	3
28	DeAndre Jordan	[C]	LAC	3
29	Robin Lopez	[C]	PHO	4
30	Spencer Hawes	[C]	PHI	3
31	Marcus Camby *	[C]	POR	3	Could make return this week (knee).
32	Erick Dampier	[C]	MIA	3
33	Nick Collison	[C]	OKC	3	Could start at center until Kendrick Perkins (knee) comes back.
34	Brendan Haywood	[C]	DAL	3
35	Marreese Speights	[PF,C]	PHI	3

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NBA Value Meter: Introducing: The Game Changer

Eric Johnson