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Hoops Lab: Speculative Moves

Andre' Snellings

Andre' Snellings

Andre' Snellings writes about fantasy sports for RotoWire.

One of my Twitter followers has been asking me all week about the NBA trade rumor mill and whether he should make any moves based off of the rumors (@ProfessorDrz, follow me). Speculating on the rumor mill is always extremely risky, because if you bank on a trade happening and it doesn't, you could very well end up with much less value than you had anticipated. That said, if you can buy low on a player pre-trade and the trade happens like you hope, it can obviously give you great value. It's a gamble and one that is only worth entertaining if you have a certain risk/reward ratio.

If your team is strong and you are competing for the top spot in your league, there's really no reason for you to risk speculating on rumors. On the other hand, if your team is in the middle of the pack and can only get back into the mix if you start hitting home runs … then this section is for you.

The key to rumor mill speculation is to a) identify players that are likely to be moved, b

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